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Aluminij - NK Domzale

1. SNL May 02, 2026 17:00 Sportni park Aluminij, Kidricevo
Aluminij
#5 · 13 pts
vs
NK Domzale
Weather at kick-off ☀️ Clear sky 22.1°C 💨 4 km/h · Kidricevo
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.3%
Win
Aluminij
30.24%
Draw
36.46%
Win
NK Domzale
1.02
Expected xG
1.22

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (13.3%)
1X2 Result
1 33%
X 30%
2 36%
Double Chance
1X 64%
X2 67%
12 70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 79%
Over 2.5 39%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives NK Domzale a 36% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Aluminij. Expected goals are 1.0 for Aluminij and 1.2 for NK Domzale (total 2.2), with a 79% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 13.3% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Aluminij have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for NK Domzale.

Season Stats

Aluminij
4W 2D 9L
NK Domzale
3W 3D 9L
Averages per game
1.2
Goals
0.9
1.8
Conceded
2.1
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
87%
73%
O 2.5
60%
67%
BTTS
60%
13%
Clean Sht
13%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in 1. SNL. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
32%
O 3.5
74%
BTTS
Aluminij
3W 2D 5L · at home
NK Domzale
1W 1D 7L · away
1.3
gls/g
0.9
1.6
Conceded
2.4
30%
Win %
11%
50%
Win or Draw
22%
80%
O 1.5
100%
70%
O 2.5
78%
30%
O 3.5
33%
80%
BTTS
67%
10%
Clean Sht
0%
20%
Failed to Score
33%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Aluminij NK Domzale →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.7% 13.0% 7.9% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2%
1 10.9% 13.3% 8.1% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2%
2 5.5% 6.8% 4.1% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.9% 2.3% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% —
4 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% — —
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

Aluminij Aluminij
D Maribor 2–2
W Mura 1–6
D Bravo 0–0
L Celje 0–2
L Koper 0–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 12%
NK Domzale NK Domzale
L Koper 2–1
W Bravo 1–0
L Celje 0–2
L Aluminij 3–1
D Mura 3–3

Playing profile

Aluminij Aluminij
Attack
38
Defence
72
Form
53
NK Domzale NK Domzale
Attack
28
Defence
54
Form
35
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

2
Aluminij
0
Draw
0
NK Domzale
8 Nov 2025 1. SNL 3–1
22 Aug 2025 1. SNL 2–0

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Maribor Maribor 10 20
2 Koper Koper 10 18
3 Bravo Bravo 10 18
4 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 10 14
5 Aluminij Aluminij 10 13
6 Nafta Nafta 10 13
7 Celje Celje 9 12
8 Brinje-Grosuplje Brinje-Grosuplje 10 11
9 Mura Mura 10 9
10 Radomlje Radomlje 9 5
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Aluminij vs NK Domzale?
The model gives Aluminij a 33% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 36% for an NK Domzale win.
How many goals are expected in Aluminij vs NK Domzale?
Expected goals: Aluminij 1.0, NK Domzale 1.2 (total 2.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 79%.
What is the most likely score in Aluminij vs NK Domzale?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.3%.