2. Bundesliga
· Regular Season - 30
April 18, 2026 15:00
T. Handwerker
81'
8'
(ast. A. Markhiev)
M. A. Zoma
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Arminia Bielefeld a 43% win probability (draw 29%, 1. FC Nürnberg 27%). The final result was Arminia Bielefeld 1–1 1. FC Nürnberg. In 1 previous meetings, Arminia Bielefeld have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for 1. FC Nürnberg.
Match statistics
4
Total shots
7
2
Shots on target
3
1.22
Actual xG
1.05
2
Saves
1
67%
Possession
33%
2
Corners
2
15
Tackles
17
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
8'
ast. A. Markhiev ·
M. A. Zoma⚽
25'
R. Lubach
/
M. A. Zoma
35'
J. Fernandez
C. Lannert
/ M. Worl
46'
S. Telalovic
/ R. Uldrikis
46'
46'
P. Scobel
/
A. Grimaldi
B. Boakye
/ F. Hagmann
59'
59'
T. Baack
/
J. Justvan
J. Grodowski
/ T. Momuluh
67'
70'
E. Porstner
/
F. O. Becker
70'
R. Nzingoula
/
J. Fernandez
M. Corboz
/ I. Young
78'
⚽T. Handwerker
81'
S. Russo
90'+2
M. Bauer
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
43.25%
Arminia
29.5%
X ←
27.24%
1.
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
29.5%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.25
1.22
-0.03
0.95
1.05
+0.1
xG dominance was balanced (1.22 – 1.05).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
G
29
T. Handwerker
1 ⚽
D
19
M. Grosser
D
5
Maximilian Bauer
D
24
C. Lannert
45'
D
22
J. Rochelt
M
21
S. Russo
M
6
Mael Corboz
78'
M
27
B. Boakye
59'
F
7
S. Telalovic
45'
F
11
J. Grodowski
67'
F
Bench
14
Monju Momuluh
23'
F
38
M. Worl
45'
M
37
N. Sarenren Bazee
F
28
Roberts Uldriķis
45'
F
1
G
21
Berkay Yılmaz
D
Berkay Yılmaz
D
24
D
4
Fabio Gruber
D
Fabio Gruber
D
8
Henri Koudossou
D
Henri Koudossou
D
6
Adam Markhiev
1 👟
M
Adam Markhiev
1 👟
M
20
Javier Fernandez
70'
M
Javier Fernandez
70'
M
10
Julian Justvan
59'
M
Julian Justvan
59'
M
25
Finn Ole Becker
70'
M
Finn Ole Becker
70'
M
23
Mohamed Ali Zoma
1 ⚽
25'
F
Mohamed Ali Zoma
1 ⚽
25'
F
33
Adriano Grimaldi
45'
F
Adriano Grimaldi
45'
F
Bench
27
J. von der Hitz
M
39
Piet Scobel
45'
F
Piet Scobel
45'
F
22
Rabby Nzingoula
20'
M
Rabby Nzingoula
20'
M
18
Rafael Lubach
65'
M
Rafael Lubach
65'
M
5
T. Baack
31'
M
Best on the pitch
T. Handwerker
D · Arminia
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 63 pass
Mohamed Ali Zoma
F · 1.
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
M. Grosser
D · Arminia
7.70
· 77 pass
Berkay Yılmaz
D · 1.
7.60
2 shots
· 24 pass
Maximilian Bauer
D · Arminia
7.30
· 83 pass
J. Rochelt
M · Arminia
7.30
· 43 pass
Arminia Bielefeld — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 24% | — | — | — | |
| T. Handwerker | D | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 63 | 50% | 4 | — | — |
| M. Grosser | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 77 | 75% | — | — | — |
| Maximilian Bauer | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 83 | 78% | — | 1 | — |
| C. Lannert | D | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 29 | 20% | 5 | — | — |
| J. Rochelt | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 43 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Russo | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 67 | 59% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Mael Corboz | M | 78 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 15% | — | — | — |
| B. Boakye | F | 59 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 20% | — | — | — |
| S. Telalovic | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
| J. Grodowski | F | 67 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Monju Momuluh | F | 23 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Worl | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 18 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Roberts Uldriķis | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 5% | — | — | — |
1. FC Nürnberg — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 35 | 19% | — | — | — | |
| Berkay Yılmaz | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 11% | 7 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 20% | 1 | — | — | |
| Fabio Gruber | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Henri Koudossou | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Adam Markhiev | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 21 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Javier Fernandez | M | 70 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 10% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Julian Justvan | M | 59 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Finn Ole Becker | M | 70 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Mohamed Ali Zoma | F | 25 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adriano Grimaldi | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Piet Scobel | F | 45 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 10 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Rabby Nzingoula | M | 20 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Rafael Lubach | M | 65 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| T. Baack | M | 31 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | 3 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
The final score was Arminia Bielefeld 1–1 1. FC Nürnberg.
What did the model predict before Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Arminia Bielefeld win, 29% to a draw, and 27% to an 1. FC Nürnberg win.