T. Handwerker
81'
8'
(ast. A. Markhiev)
M. A. Zoma
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Arminia Bielefeld a 43% win probability (draw 29%, 1. FC Nürnberg 27%). The final result was Arminia Bielefeld 1–1 1. FC Nürnberg. In 2 previous meetings, Arminia Bielefeld have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for 1. FC Nürnberg.
Match statistics
4
Total shots
7
2
Shots on target
3
1.22
Actual xG
1.05
2
Saves
1
67%
Possession
33%
2
Corners
2
15
Tackles
17
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
8'
ast. A. Markhiev ·
M. A. Zoma⚽
25'
R. Lubach
/
M. A. Zoma
35'
J. Fernandez
C. Lannert
/ M. Worl
46'
S. Telalovic
/ R. Uldrikis
46'
46'
P. Scobel
/
A. Grimaldi
B. Boakye
/ F. Hagmann
59'
59'
T. Baack
/
J. Justvan
J. Grodowski
/ T. Momuluh
67'
70'
E. Porstner
/
F. O. Becker
70'
R. Nzingoula
/
J. Fernandez
M. Corboz
/ I. Young
78'
⚽T. Handwerker
81'
S. Russo
90'+2
M. Bauer
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
43.25%
Arminia
29.5%
X ←
27.24%
1.
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
29.5%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.25
1.22
-0.03
0.95
1.05
+0.1
xG dominance was balanced (1.22 – 1.05).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
G
29
T. Handwerker
1 ⚽
D
T. Handwerker
1 ⚽
D
19
M. Großer
D
M. Großer
D
5
M. Bauer
D
M. Bauer
D
24
C. Lannert
45'
D
C. Lannert
45'
D
22
J. Rochelt
M
J. Rochelt
M
21
S. Russo
M
S. Russo
M
6
M. Corboz
78'
M
M. Corboz
78'
M
27
Benjamin Bediako Boakye
59'
F
Benjamin Bediako Boakye
59'
F
7
Semir Telalović
45'
F
Semir Telalović
45'
F
11
J. Grodowski
67'
F
J. Grodowski
67'
F
Bench
14
M. Momuluh
23'
F
M. Momuluh
23'
F
38
M. Wörl
45'
M
M. Wörl
45'
M
37
Noah Sarenren Bazee
F
Noah Sarenren Bazee
F
28
R. Uldriķis
45'
F
R. Uldriķis
45'
F
1
G
21
Berkay Yilmaz
D
Berkay Yilmaz
D
24
D
4
F. Gruber
D
F. Gruber
D
8
H. Koudossou
D
H. Koudossou
D
6
A. Marhiev
1 👟
M
A. Marhiev
1 👟
M
20
J. Fernandez
70'
M
J. Fernandez
70'
M
10
J. Justvan
59'
M
J. Justvan
59'
M
25
F. Becker
70'
M
F. Becker
70'
M
23
M. Zoma
1 ⚽
25'
F
M. Zoma
1 ⚽
25'
F
33
Adriano Grimaldi
45'
F
Adriano Grimaldi
45'
F
Bench
27
J. von der Hitz
M
39
P. Scobel
45'
F
P. Scobel
45'
F
18
Rafael Lubach
65'
M
Rafael Lubach
65'
M
22
R. Nzingoula
20'
M
R. Nzingoula
20'
M
5
T. Baack
31'
M
T. Baack
31'
M
Best on the pitch
T. Handwerker
D · Arminia
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 63 pass
M. Zoma
F · 1.
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
M. Großer
D · Arminia
7.70
· 77 pass
Berkay Yilmaz
D · 1.
7.60
2 shots
· 24 pass
M. Bauer
D · Arminia
7.30
· 83 pass
J. Rochelt
M · Arminia
7.30
· 43 pass
Arminia Bielefeld — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 24% | — | — | — | |
| T. Handwerker | D | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 63 | 50% | 4 | — | — |
| M. Großer | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 77 | 75% | — | — | — |
| M. Bauer | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 83 | 78% | — | 1 | — |
| C. Lannert | D | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 29 | 20% | 5 | — | — |
| J. Rochelt | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 43 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Russo | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 67 | 59% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Corboz | M | 78 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Benjamin Bediako Boakye | F | 59 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Semir Telalović | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
| J. Grodowski | F | 67 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Momuluh | F | 23 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Wörl | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 18 | 12% | — | — | — |
| R. Uldriķis | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 5% | — | — | — |
1. FC Nürnberg — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 35 | 19% | — | — | — | |
| Berkay Yilmaz | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 11% | 7 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 20% | 1 | — | — | |
| F. Gruber | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Koudossou | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Marhiev | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 21 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Fernandez | M | 70 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 10% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Justvan | M | 59 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| F. Becker | M | 70 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Zoma | F | 25 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adriano Grimaldi | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| P. Scobel | F | 45 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 10 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Rafael Lubach | M | 65 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| R. Nzingoula | M | 20 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| T. Baack | M | 31 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | 3 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
The final score was Arminia Bielefeld 1–1 1. FC Nürnberg.
What did the model predict before Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Arminia Bielefeld win, 29% to a draw, and 27% to an 1. FC Nürnberg win.