T. Handwerker
81'
8'
(ast. A. Markhiev)
M. A. Zoma
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Arminia Bielefeld a 43% win probability (draw 29%, 1. FC Nürnberg 27%). The final result was Arminia Bielefeld 1–1 1. FC Nürnberg. In 1 previous meetings, Arminia Bielefeld have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for 1. FC Nürnberg.
Match statistics
4
Total shots
7
2
Shots on target
3
1.22
Actual xG
1.05
2
Saves
1
67%
Possession
33%
2
Corners
2
15
Tackles
17
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
8'
ast. A. Markhiev ·
M. A. Zoma⚽
25'
R. Lubach
/
M. A. Zoma
35'
J. Fernandez
C. Lannert
/ M. Worl
46'
S. Telalovic
/ R. Uldrikis
46'
46'
P. Scobel
/
A. Grimaldi
B. Boakye
/ F. Hagmann
59'
59'
T. Baack
/
J. Justvan
J. Grodowski
/ T. Momuluh
67'
70'
E. Porstner
/
F. O. Becker
70'
R. Nzingoula
/
J. Fernandez
M. Corboz
/ I. Young
78'
⚽T. Handwerker
81'
S. Russo
90'+2
M. Bauer
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
43.25%
Arminia
29.5%
X ←
27.24%
1.
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
29.5%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.25
1.22
-0.03
0.95
1.05
+0.1
xG dominance was balanced (1.22 – 1.05).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
G
29
T. Handwerker
1 ⚽
D
T. Handwerker
1 ⚽
D
19
Maximilian Großer
D
Maximilian Großer
D
5
Maximilian Bauer
D
Maximilian Bauer
D
24
C. Lannert
45'
D
C. Lannert
45'
D
22
Jannik Rochelt
M
Jannik Rochelt
M
21
Stefano Russo
M
Stefano Russo
M
6
Mael Corboz
78'
M
Mael Corboz
78'
M
27
B. Boakye
59'
F
7
Semir Telalović
45'
F
Semir Telalović
45'
F
11
J. Grodowski
67'
F
J. Grodowski
67'
F
Bench
38
Marius Wörl
45'
M
Marius Wörl
45'
M
14
Monju Momuluh
23'
F
Monju Momuluh
23'
F
37
Noah Sarenren Bazee
F
Noah Sarenren Bazee
F
28
Roberts Uldriķis
45'
F
Roberts Uldriķis
45'
F
1
G
21
Berkay Yilmaz
D
Berkay Yilmaz
D
24
D
4
Fabio Gruber
D
Fabio Gruber
D
8
Henri Koudossou
D
Henri Koudossou
D
6
A. Marhiev
1 👟
M
A. Marhiev
1 👟
M
20
Javier Fernandez
70'
M
Javier Fernandez
70'
M
10
J. Justvan
59'
M
J. Justvan
59'
M
25
F. Becker
70'
M
F. Becker
70'
M
23
M. Zoma
1 ⚽
25'
F
M. Zoma
1 ⚽
25'
F
33
Adriano Grimaldi
45'
F
Adriano Grimaldi
45'
F
Bench
27
J. von der Hitz
M
39
Piet Scobel
45'
F
Piet Scobel
45'
F
22
Rabby Nzingoula
20'
M
Rabby Nzingoula
20'
M
18
Rafael Lubach
65'
M
Rafael Lubach
65'
M
5
Tom Baack
31'
M
Tom Baack
31'
M
Best on the pitch
T. Handwerker
D · Arminia
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 63 pass
M. Zoma
F · 1.
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
Maximilian Großer
D · Arminia
7.70
· 77 pass
Berkay Yilmaz
D · 1.
7.60
2 shots
· 24 pass
Maximilian Bauer
D · Arminia
7.30
· 83 pass
Jannik Rochelt
M · Arminia
7.30
· 43 pass
Arminia Bielefeld — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 24% | — | — | — | |
| T. Handwerker | D | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 63 | 50% | 4 | — | — |
| Maximilian Großer | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 77 | 75% | — | — | — |
| Maximilian Bauer | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 83 | 78% | — | 1 | — |
| C. Lannert | D | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 29 | 20% | 5 | — | — |
| Jannik Rochelt | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 43 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| Stefano Russo | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 67 | 59% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Mael Corboz | M | 78 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 15% | — | — | — |
| B. Boakye | F | 59 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Semir Telalović | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
| J. Grodowski | F | 67 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Marius Wörl | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 18 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Monju Momuluh | F | 23 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| Roberts Uldriķis | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 5% | — | — | — |
1. FC Nürnberg — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 35 | 19% | — | — | — | |
| Berkay Yilmaz | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 11% | 7 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 20% | 1 | — | — | |
| Fabio Gruber | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Henri Koudossou | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Marhiev | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 21 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Javier Fernandez | M | 70 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 10% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Justvan | M | 59 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| F. Becker | M | 70 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Zoma | F | 25 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adriano Grimaldi | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Piet Scobel | F | 45 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 10 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Rabby Nzingoula | M | 20 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Rafael Lubach | M | 65 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Tom Baack | M | 31 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | 3 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
The final score was Arminia Bielefeld 1–1 1. FC Nürnberg.
What did the model predict before Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Arminia Bielefeld win, 29% to a draw, and 27% to an 1. FC Nürnberg win.