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← 2. Bundesliga
#14 · 4 pts
1 – 1
Final score
#2 · 13 pts
T. Handwerker 81'
8' (ast. A. Markhiev) M. A. Zoma
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Arminia Bielefeld a 43% win probability (draw 29%, 1. FC Nürnberg 27%). The final result was Arminia Bielefeld 1–1 1. FC Nürnberg. In 2 previous meetings, Arminia Bielefeld have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for 1. FC Nürnberg.

Match statistics
4
Total shots
7
2
Shots on target
3
1.22
Actual xG
1.05
2
Saves
1
67%
Possession
33%
2
Corners
2
15
Tackles
17
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
8'
ast. A. Markhiev · M. A. Zoma
25'
R. Lubach / M. A. Zoma
35'
J. Fernandez
C. Lannert / M. Worl
46'
S. Telalovic / R. Uldrikis
46'
46'
P. Scobel / A. Grimaldi
B. Boakye / F. Hagmann
59'
59'
T. Baack / J. Justvan
J. Grodowski / T. Momuluh
67'
70'
E. Porstner / F. O. Becker
70'
R. Nzingoula / J. Fernandez
M. Corboz / I. Young
78'
T. Handwerker
81'
S. Russo
90'+2
M. Bauer
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
43.25%
Arminia
29.5%
X ←
27.24%
1.
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 29.5% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Arminia
1.25
1.22
-0.03
1.
0.95
1.05
+0.1
xG dominance was balanced (1.22 – 1.05). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Hertha BSC Hertha BSC 5 15
2 1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg 5 13
3 1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 5 12
4 1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg 5 9
5 VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 5 8
6 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1. FC Kaiserslautern 5 8
7 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 5 7
8 VfL Bochum VfL Bochum 5 7
9 FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 5 6
10 VfL Osnabrück VfL Osnabrück 5 6
11 SpVgg Greuther Fürth SpVgg Greuther Fürth 5 5
12 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 5 5
13 Eintracht Braunschweig Eintracht Braunschweig 5 4
14 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 5 4
15 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 5 4
16 SV Darmstadt 98 SV Darmstadt 98 5 4
17 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 5 4
18 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 5 3
Lineups
1
G 7.20
29 T. Handwerker T. Handwerker 1 ⚽ D 7.90
19 M. Großer M. Großer D 7.70
5 M. Bauer M. Bauer D 7.30
24 C. Lannert C. Lannert 45' D 6.50
22 J. Rochelt J. Rochelt M 7.30
21 S. Russo S. Russo M 6.50
6 M. Corboz M. Corboz 78' M 6.00
27 Benjamin Bediako Boakye Benjamin Bediako Boakye 59' F 6.90
7 Semir Telalović Semir Telalović 45' F 6.30
11 J. Grodowski J. Grodowski 67' F 6.70
Bench
14 M. Momuluh M. Momuluh 23' F 6.90
38 M. Wörl M. Wörl 45' M 6.60
37 Noah Sarenren Bazee Noah Sarenren Bazee F
28 R. Uldriķis R. Uldriķis 45' F 6.30
1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg 4-1-3-2
1
G 6.50
21 Berkay Yilmaz Berkay Yilmaz D 7.60
24
D 6.60
4 F. Gruber F. Gruber D 7.20
8 H. Koudossou H. Koudossou D 7.20
6 A. Marhiev A. Marhiev 1 👟 M 7.20
20 J. Fernandez J. Fernandez 70' M 7.20
10 J. Justvan J. Justvan 59' M 6.70
25 F. Becker F. Becker 70' M 6.30
23 M. Zoma M. Zoma 1 ⚽ 25' F 7.70
33 Adriano Grimaldi Adriano Grimaldi 45' F 6.30
Bench
27
J. von der Hitz M
39 P. Scobel P. Scobel 45' F 6.00
18 Rafael Lubach Rafael Lubach 65' M 5.90
22 R. Nzingoula R. Nzingoula 20' M 6.70
5 T. Baack T. Baack 31' M 6.90
Best on the pitch
T. Handwerker
T. Handwerker
D · Arminia
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 63 pass
M. Zoma
M. Zoma
F · 1.
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
M. Großer
M. Großer
D · Arminia
7.70
· 77 pass
Berkay Yilmaz
Berkay Yilmaz
D · 1.
7.60
2 shots · 24 pass
M. Bauer
M. Bauer
D · Arminia
7.30
· 83 pass
J. Rochelt
J. Rochelt
M · Arminia
7.30
· 43 pass
Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.20 35 24%
T. Handwerker D 90 7.90 1 1 63 50% 4
M. Großer D 90 7.70 77 75%
M. Bauer D 90 7.30 83 78% 1
C. Lannert D 45 6.50 29 20% 5
J. Rochelt M 90 7.30 43 37% 2
S. Russo M 90 6.50 67 59% 1 1
M. Corboz M 78 6.00 2 21 15%
Benjamin Bediako Boakye F 59 6.90 21 20%
Semir Telalović F 45 6.30 1 8 5%
J. Grodowski F 67 6.70 14 9% 1
M. Momuluh F 23 6.90 7 3% 2
M. Wörl M 45 6.60 18 12%
R. Uldriķis F 45 6.30 12 5%
1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.50 35 19%
Berkay Yilmaz D 90 7.60 2 24 11% 7
D 90 6.60 1 24 20% 1
F. Gruber D 90 7.20 34 16% 1
H. Koudossou D 90 7.20 21 19% 1
A. Marhiev M 90 7.20 1 21 14% 1
J. Fernandez M 70 7.20 14 10% 2 1
J. Justvan M 59 6.70 11 7%
F. Becker M 70 6.30 1 24 18% 1
M. Zoma F 25 7.70 1 1
Adriano Grimaldi F 45 6.30 6 3%
P. Scobel F 45 6.00 10 3%
Rafael Lubach M 65 5.90 2 10 6%
R. Nzingoula M 20 6.70 4 2%
T. Baack M 31 6.90 9 8% 3
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
The final score was Arminia Bielefeld 1–1 1. FC Nürnberg.
What did the model predict before Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Arminia Bielefeld win, 29% to a draw, and 27% to an 1. FC Nürnberg win.