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Serie A · Regular Season - 30 March 22, 2026 19:00
AS Roma
#5 · 67 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Lecce
#17 · 32 pts
✓Model correct — prediction AS Roma

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave AS Roma a 59% win probability (draw 25%, Lecce 14%). The final result was AS Roma 1–0 Lecce. In 1 previous meetings, AS Roma have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Lecce.

Match statistics
2
Shots on target
3
0.84
Actual xG
1.08
67%
Possession
33%
10
Corners
2
Pre-match prediction
59.68%
AS ←
25.88%
X
14.44%
Lecce
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (AS Roma) 59.68% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
AS
1.52
0.84
-0.68
Lecce
0.72
1.08
+0.36
xG dominance was balanced (0.84 – 1.08). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Inter Inter 36 85
2 Napoli Napoli 36 70
3 Juventus Juventus 36 68
4 AC Milan AC Milan 36 67
5 AS Roma AS Roma 36 67
6 Como Como 36 65
7 Atalanta Atalanta 36 58
8 Bologna Bologna 36 52
9 Lazio Lazio 36 51
10 Udinese Udinese 36 50
11 Sassuolo Sassuolo 36 49
12 Torino Torino 36 44
13 Parma Parma 36 42
14 Genoa Genoa 36 41
15 Fiorentina Fiorentina 36 38
16 Cagliari Cagliari 36 37
17 Lecce Lecce 36 32
18 Cremonese Cremonese 36 31
19 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 36 20
20 Pisa Pisa 36 18
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of AS Roma vs Lecce?
The final score was AS Roma 1–0 Lecce.
What did the model predict before AS Roma vs Lecce?
The model assigned 59% probability to a AS Roma win, 25% to a draw, and 14% to an Lecce win.