Serie A · Regular Season - 30 March 22, 2026 18:00

AS Roma

#3 · 21 pts

1 – 0

Final score

Lecce

#14 · 9 pts

✓Model correct — prediction AS Roma

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave AS Roma a 59% win probability (draw 25%, Lecce 14%). The final result was AS Roma 1–0 Lecce. In 2 previous meetings, AS Roma have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Lecce.

Match statistics

2

Shots on target

3

0.84

Actual xG

1.08

67%

Possession

33%

10

Corners

2

Pre-match prediction

59.68%

AS ←

25.88%

X

14.44%

Lecce

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (AS Roma) 59.68% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

AS

1.52

0.84

-0.68

Lecce

0.72

1.08

+0.36

xG dominance was balanced (0.84 – 1.08). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Inter	9	25
2	Lazio	9	25
3	AS Roma	9	21
4	Como	9	20
5	AC Milan	9	18
6	Napoli	9	14
7	Frosinone	8	14
8	Juventus	9	14
9	Torino	9	13
10	Cagliari	9	13
11	Bologna	9	11
12	Atalanta	8	10
13	Genoa	9	10
14	Lecce	8	9
15	Sassuolo	9	8
16	Monza	9	7
17	Udinese	9	5
18	Parma	9	5
19	Fiorentina	8	4
20	Venezia	9	3