Serie A · Regular Season - 30 March 22, 2026 18:00

AS Roma

#2 · 9 pts

1 – 0

Final score

Lecce

#10 · 6 pts

✓Model correct — prediction AS Roma

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave AS Roma a 59% win probability (draw 25%, Lecce 14%). The final result was AS Roma 1–0 Lecce. In 2 previous meetings, AS Roma have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Lecce.

Match statistics

2

Shots on target

3

0.84

Actual xG

1.08

67%

Possession

33%

10

Corners

2

Pre-match prediction

59.68%

AS ←

25.88%

X

14.44%

Lecce

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (AS Roma) 59.68% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

AS

1.52

0.84

-0.68

Lecce

0.72

1.08

+0.36

xG dominance was balanced (0.84 – 1.08). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Lazio	4	10
2	AS Roma	3	9
3	Inter	3	9
4	Cagliari	4	9
5	AC Milan	4	8
6	Como	3	7
7	Juventus	3	7
8	Frosinone	4	7
9	Atalanta	4	6
10	Lecce	4	6
11	Sassuolo	3	4
12	Udinese	3	4
13	Napoli	3	3
14	Torino	3	3
15	Fiorentina	4	3
16	Bologna	3	1
17	Parma	3	1
18	Monza	4	1
19	Genoa	4	1
20	Venezia	4	0