← Super League
#4 · 32 pts
2 – 1
Final score
#3 · 35 pts
J. Bartolo 17'
F. Macheda (ast. J. Bartolo) 62'
13' (ast. J. Aguirre) Farley Rosa

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Panetolikos a 34% win probability (draw 38%, Asteras Tripolis 27%). The final result was Asteras Tripolis 2–1 Panetolikos. In 2 previous meetings, Asteras Tripolis have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Panetolikos.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
6
5
Shots on target
5
1.42
Actual xG
1.06
4
Saves
3
42%
Possession
58%
1
Corners
2
13
Tackles
10
6
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
13'
ast. J. Aguirre · Farley Rosa
J. Bartolo
17'
49'
J. Aguirre
F. Macheda · ast. J. Bartolo
62'
64'
Esteban Diego / G. Satsias
64'
C. Manrique / A. Apostolopoulos
C. Almyras
65'
O. Alagbe
69'
F. Macheda
72'
80'
L. Smyrlis / A. Bouchalakis
80'
Y. Badji / J. Aguirre
80'
Lenny Lobato / K. Aleksic
J. Bartolo / N. Kaltsas
81'
F. Macheda / O. M. Chidera
81'
O. M. Chidera
87'
N. Kaltsas
88'
89'
(missed pen.) Farley Rosa
K. Ketu / S. Mitrovic
90'+5
E. Gonzalez / T. Tzandaris
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
27.07%
Asteras ←
38.28%
X
34.66%
Panetolikos
we assigned to the actual result (Asteras Tripolis) 27.07% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Asteras
0.62
1.42
+0.8
Panetolikos
0.88
1.06
+0.18
Asteras Tripolis dominated by xG (1.42 vs 1.06). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Atromitos Atromitos 34 43
1 Levadiakos Levadiakos 31 31
1 AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC 31 71
2 Kifisia Kifisia 34 37
2 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 31 65
2 Aris Thessalonikis Aris Thessalonikis 31 28
3 Panetolikos Panetolikos 34 35
3 OFI OFI 31 20
3 PAOK PAOK 31 63
4 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 34 32
4 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 31 51
4 Volos NFC Volos NFC 31 17
5 Panserraikos Panserraikos 34 28
6 Larisa Larisa 34 27
Lineups
1
G 7.50
69
D 6.90
13 Konstantinos Triantafyllopoulos Konstantinos Triantafyllopoulos D 6.60
3 Nikola Šipčić Nikola Šipčić D 6.50
64 Panagiotis Deligiannidis Panagiotis Deligiannidis M 8.00
68 Christos Almyras Christos Almyras M 6.50
10 Eder González Eder González 89' M 7.20
17 Nikolai Alho Nikolai Alho M 6.30
40
89' F 7.20
41 F. Macheda F. Macheda 1 ⚽ 81' F 7.20
7 J. Bartolo J. Bartolo 1 ⚽ 1 👟 81' F 9.20
Bench
27 Alexandros Tereziou Alexandros Tereziou D
26 Chidera Micheal Okoh Chidera Micheal Okoh 9' F 6.00
4
I. Sylla D
22 Miguel Muñoz Mora Miguel Muñoz Mora M
20 Nikolaos Kaltsas Nikolaos Kaltsas 9' F 6.70
75
S. Mitrovic 1' F
Panetolikos Panetolikos 4-4-1-1
99 Yevhenii Kucherenko Yevhenii Kucherenko G 7.90
65
64' D 6.00
16 Christos Sielis Christos Sielis D 7.00
2 Gustav Granath Gustav Granath D 6.30
35 Charis Mavrias Charis Mavrias D 6.00
19 Farley Rosa Farley Rosa 1 ⚽ M 7.30
41 Andreas Bouchalakis Andreas Bouchalakis 80' M 7.00
18 Giannis Satsias Giannis Satsias 64' M 6.60
14 Kosta Aleksić Kosta Aleksić 80' M 6.30
10 Alexandru Mățan Alexandru Mățan F 7.00
9
80' F 6.70
Bench
30 Adriano Bregou Adriano Bregou M
15 Christian Manrique Christian Manrique 26' D 6.70
31 Juan Manuel García Juan Manuel García F
7 Lampros Smyrlis Lampros Smyrlis 10' F 6.30
70 Lenny Lobato Lenny Lobato 10' F 6.70
28 L. Kojić L. Kojić M
25 Y. Badji Y. Badji 10' F 7.20
12 Živko Živković Živko Živković G
Best on the pitch
J. Bartolo
J. Bartolo
F · Asteras
9.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots · 19 pass
Panagiotis Deligiannidis
Panagiotis Deligiannidis
M · Asteras
8.00
· 27 pass
Yevhenii Kucherenko
Yevhenii Kucherenko
G · Panetolikos
7.90
· 36 pass
G · Asteras
7.50
· 13 pass
Farley Rosa
Farley Rosa
M · Panetolikos
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 16 pass
Y. Badji
Y. Badji
F · Panetolikos
7.20
· 2 pass
Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.50 13 10%
D 90 6.90 1 40 35% 2 1
Konstantinos Triantafyllopoulos D 90 6.60 53 49%
Nikola Šipčić D 90 6.50 1 57 48% 1
Panagiotis Deligiannidis M 90 8.00 27 21% 2
Christos Almyras M 90 6.50 3 25 21% 2 1
Eder González M 89 7.20 1 42 36%
Nikolai Alho M 90 6.30 17 12%
F 89 7.20 1 13 11% 2
F. Macheda F 81 7.20 1 3 7 6% 1
J. Bartolo F 81 9.20 1 1 3 19 14% 2
Chidera Micheal Okoh F 9 6.00 2 2% 1
Nikolaos Kaltsas F 9 6.70 1 2 1% 2 1
S. Mitrovic F 1 1
Panetolikos Panetolikos — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Yevhenii Kucherenko G 90 7.90 36 29%
D 64 6.00 25 21%
Christos Sielis D 90 7.00 63 59%
Gustav Granath D 90 6.30 70 62% 2
Charis Mavrias D 90 6.00 51 40% 2
Farley Rosa M 90 7.30 1 2 16 15% 1
Andreas Bouchalakis M 80 7.00 63 56% 2
Giannis Satsias M 64 6.60 1 25 23% 2
Kosta Aleksić M 80 6.30 1 22 15% 1
Alexandru Mățan F 90 7.00 1 32 29%
F 80 6.70 13 10% 1
Christian Manrique D 26 6.70 11 8%
Lampros Smyrlis F 10 6.30 2 2%
Lenny Lobato F 10 6.70 1 3 3%
Y. Badji F 10 7.20 2 1%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Asteras Tripolis vs Panetolikos?
The final score was Asteras Tripolis 2–1 Panetolikos.
What did the model predict before Asteras Tripolis vs Panetolikos?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Asteras Tripolis win, 38% to a draw, and 34% to an Panetolikos win.