Super League
· Relegation Group - 4
April 22, 2026 19:00
J. Bartolo
17'
F. Macheda
(ast. J. Bartolo)
62'
13'
(ast. J. Aguirre)
Farley Rosa
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Panetolikos a 34% win probability (draw 38%, Asteras Tripolis 27%). The final result was Asteras Tripolis 2–1 Panetolikos. In 4 previous meetings, Asteras Tripolis have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Panetolikos.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
6
5
Shots on target
5
1.42
Actual xG
1.06
4
Saves
3
42%
Possession
58%
1
Corners
2
13
Tackles
10
6
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
13'
ast. J. Aguirre ·
Farley Rosa⚽
⚽J. Bartolo
17'
49'
J. Aguirre
⚽F. Macheda
· ast. J. Bartolo
62'
64'
Esteban Diego
/
G. Satsias
64'
C. Manrique
/
A. Apostolopoulos
C. Almyras
65'
O. Alagbe
69'
F. Macheda
72'
80'
L. Smyrlis
/
A. Bouchalakis
80'
Y. Badji
/
J. Aguirre
80'
Lenny Lobato
/
K. Aleksic
J. Bartolo
/ N. Kaltsas
81'
F. Macheda
/ O. M. Chidera
81'
O. M. Chidera
87'
N. Kaltsas
88'
89'
(missed pen.)
Farley Rosa⚽
K. Ketu
/ S. Mitrovic
90'+5
E. Gonzalez
/ T. Tzandaris
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
27.07%
Asteras ←
38.28%
X
34.66%
Panetolikos
we assigned to the actual result (Asteras Tripolis)
27.07%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.62
1.42
+0.8
0.88
1.06
+0.18
Asteras Tripolis dominated by xG (1.42 vs 1.06).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
69
D
13
Konstantinos Triantafyllopoulos
D
Konstantinos Triantafyllopoulos
D
3
Nikola Šipčić
D
64
Panagiotis Deligiannidis
M
Panagiotis Deligiannidis
M
68
Christos Almyras
M
Christos Almyras
M
10
Eder González
89'
M
Eder González
89'
M
17
N. Alho
M
N. Alho
M
40
89'
F
41
F. Macheda
1 ⚽
81'
F
F. Macheda
1 ⚽
81'
F
7
Julián Bartolo
1 ⚽
1 👟
81'
F
Julián Bartolo
1 ⚽
1 👟
81'
F
Bench
27
A. Tereziou
D
A. Tereziou
D
26
C. Okoh
9'
F
4
I. Sylla
D
22
Miki Muñoz
M
Miki Muñoz
M
20
N. Kaltsas
9'
F
N. Kaltsas
9'
F
75
S. Mitrović
1'
F
S. Mitrović
1'
F
99
Y. Kucherenko
G
Y. Kucherenko
G
65
64'
D
16
Christos Sielis
D
Christos Sielis
D
2
G. Granath
D
G. Granath
D
35
C. Mavrias
D
C. Mavrias
D
19
Farley Rosa
1 ⚽
M
Farley Rosa
1 ⚽
M
41
A. Bouchalakis
80'
M
A. Bouchalakis
80'
M
18
G. Satsias
64'
M
G. Satsias
64'
M
14
K. Aleksić
80'
M
K. Aleksić
80'
M
10
A. Mățan
F
A. Mățan
F
9
80'
F
Bench
30
A. Bregou
M
A. Bregou
M
15
Christian Manrique
26'
D
Christian Manrique
26'
D
31
Juan Manuel García
F
7
Lampros Smyrlis
10'
F
Lampros Smyrlis
10'
F
70
Lenny Lobato
10'
F
Lenny Lobato
10'
F
28
L. Kojić
M
L. Kojić
M
25
Y. Badji
10'
F
Y. Badji
10'
F
12
Živko Živković
G
Best on the pitch
Julián Bartolo
F · Asteras
9.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots
· 19 pass
Panagiotis Deligiannidis
M · Asteras
8.00
· 27 pass
Y. Kucherenko
G · Panetolikos
7.90
· 36 pass
G · Asteras
7.50
· 13 pass
Farley Rosa
M · Panetolikos
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 16 pass
Y. Badji
F · Panetolikos
7.20
· 2 pass
Asteras Tripolis — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 35% | 2 | 1 | — | |
| Konstantinos Triantafyllopoulos | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 53 | 49% | — | — | — |
| Nikola Šipčić | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 57 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| Panagiotis Deligiannidis | M | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 27 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| Christos Almyras | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 25 | 21% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Eder González | M | 89 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 36% | — | — | — |
| N. Alho | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| F | 89 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 11% | 2 | — | — | |
| F. Macheda | F | 81 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 7 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| Julián Bartolo | F | 81 | 9.20 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Okoh | F | 9 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
| N. Kaltsas | F | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | 2 | 1 | — |
| S. Mitrović | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
Panetolikos — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Kucherenko | G | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 29% | — | — | — |
| D | 64 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | — | — | — | |
| Christos Sielis | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 63 | 59% | — | — | — |
| G. Granath | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 70 | 62% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Mavrias | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 51 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| Farley Rosa | M | 90 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 16 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Bouchalakis | M | 80 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 63 | 56% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Satsias | M | 64 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Aleksić | M | 80 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Mățan | F | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 29% | — | — | — |
| F | 80 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | — | 1 | — | |
| Christian Manrique | D | 26 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Lampros Smyrlis | F | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Lenny Lobato | F | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Y. Badji | F | 10 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Asteras Tripolis vs Panetolikos?
The final score was Asteras Tripolis 2–1 Panetolikos.
What did the model predict before Asteras Tripolis vs Panetolikos?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Asteras Tripolis win, 38% to a draw, and 34% to an Panetolikos win.