Serie A
· Regular Season - 35
May 02, 2026 20:45
✗Model wrong — prediction Atalanta, result Pareggio
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atalanta a 53% win probability (draw 25%, Genoa 20%). The final result was Atalanta 0–0 Genoa. In 2 previous meetings, Atalanta have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Genoa.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
5
7
Shots on target
2
1.35
Actual xG
0.54
2
Saves
7
60%
Possession
40%
6
Corners
2
17
Tackles
18
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
19'
Amorim
56'
C. Ekuban
/
L. Colombo
G. Scamacca
/ G. Raspadori
57'
B. Djimsiti
/ I. Hien
57'
Ederson
64'
69'
Junior Messias
/
Amorim
70'
R. Malinovskyi
/
J. Ekhator
C. De Ketelaere
/ L. Samardzic
76'
M. De Roon
/ M. Pasalic
76'
N. Krstovic
78'
D. Zappacosta
/ Y. Musah
85'
86'
P. Masini
/
Vitinha
86'
A. Martin
/
S. Sabelli
Pre-match prediction
53.87%
Atalanta
25.68%
X ←
20.45%
Genoa
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
25.68%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.38
1.35
-0.03
0.81
0.54
-0.27
Atalanta dominated by xG (1.35 vs 0.54).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
29
Marco Carnesecchi
G
Marco Carnesecchi
G
69
D
19
B. Djimsiti
57'
D
42
Giorgio Scalvini
D
Giorgio Scalvini
D
59
Nicola Zalewski
M
Nicola Zalewski
M
13
Éderson
M
Éderson
M
15
Marten de Roon
76'
M
Marten de Roon
76'
M
77
Davide Zappacosta
85'
M
Davide Zappacosta
85'
M
17
C. De Ketelaere
76'
F
C. De Ketelaere
76'
F
90
N. Krstović
F
N. Krstović
F
9
G. Scamacca
57'
F
G. Scamacca
57'
F
Bench
18
Giacomo Raspadori
40'
F
Giacomo Raspadori
40'
F
4
Isak Hien
40'
D
Isak Hien
40'
D
10
Lazar Samardžić
21'
M
Lazar Samardžić
21'
M
8
M. Pašalić
21'
M
M. Pašalić
21'
M
16
Raoul Bellanova
D
Raoul Bellanova
D
23
Sead Kolašinac
D
Sead Kolašinac
D
16
Justin Bijlow
G
Justin Bijlow
G
22
D
5
Leo Østigård
D
Leo Østigård
D
27
D
20
Stefano Sabelli
86'
M
Stefano Sabelli
86'
M
32
Morten Frendrup
M
Morten Frendrup
M
4
Alexsandro Amorim
69'
M
Alexsandro Amorim
69'
M
77
Mikael Ellertsson
M
Mikael Ellertsson
M
21
Jeff Ekhator
70'
F
Jeff Ekhator
70'
F
9
Vitinha
86'
F
Vitinha
86'
F
29
Lorenzo Colombo
56'
F
Lorenzo Colombo
56'
F
Bench
3
Aarón Martín
11'
D
Aarón Martín
11'
D
18
Caleb Ekuban
41'
F
Caleb Ekuban
41'
F
10
Junior Messias
28'
F
17
R. Malinovskyi
27'
M
R. Malinovskyi
27'
M
34
S. Otoa
D
Best on the pitch
Justin Bijlow
G · Genoa
8.50
· 54 pass
Nicola Zalewski
M · Atalanta
8.20
1 shots
· 40 pass
Leo Østigård
D · Genoa
7.90
1 shots
· 35 pass
D · Genoa
7.70
· 39 pass
D · Atalanta
7.50
2 shots
· 46 pass
C. De Ketelaere
F · Atalanta
7.50
2 shots
· 44 pass
Atalanta — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marco Carnesecchi | G | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 22% | — | — | — |
| D | 97 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 46 | 41% | 3 | — | — | |
| B. Djimsiti | D | 57 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Giorgio Scalvini | D | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 54% | 2 | — | — |
| Nicola Zalewski | M | 97 | 8.20 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| Éderson | M | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 43 | 36% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Marten de Roon | M | 76 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 46 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Davide Zappacosta | M | 85 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| C. De Ketelaere | F | 76 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 44 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Krstović | F | 97 | 5.90 | — | — | 4 | 23 | 13% | 1 | 1 | — |
| G. Scamacca | F | 57 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Giacomo Raspadori | F | 40 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Isak Hien | D | 40 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Lazar Samardžić | M | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| M. Pašalić | M | 21 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
Genoa — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Bijlow | G | 97 | 8.50 | — | — | — | 54 | 37% | — | — | — |
| D | 97 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 39 | 32% | 3 | — | — | |
| Leo Østigård | D | 97 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 27% | 3 | — | — |
| D | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 21% | 3 | — | — | |
| Stefano Sabelli | M | 86 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Morten Frendrup | M | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| Alexsandro Amorim | M | 69 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 19 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| Mikael Ellertsson | M | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Jeff Ekhator | F | 70 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Vitinha | F | 86 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 3% | 3 | — | — |
| Lorenzo Colombo | F | 56 | 5.90 | — | — | 3 | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Aarón Martín | D | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Caleb Ekuban | F | 41 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 4 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Junior Messias | F | 28 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Malinovskyi | M | 27 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atalanta vs Genoa?
The final score was Atalanta 0–0 Genoa.
What did the model predict before Atalanta vs Genoa?
The model assigned 53% probability to a Atalanta win, 25% to a draw, and 20% to an Genoa win.