← Brasileirão Série A
Brasileirão Série A · Regular Season - 10 April 06, 2026 00:30
Atletico-MG
#13 · 18 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Atletico Paranaense
#5 · 23 pts
Victor Hugo 6'
Gustavo Scarpa (ast. Natanael) 80'
88' (ast. Joao Cruz) Julimar

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atletico-MG a 41% win probability (draw 28%, Atletico Paranaense 30%). The final result was Atletico-MG 2–1 Atletico Paranaense.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
6
5
Shots on target
3
1.27
Actual xG
0.43
2
Saves
3
49%
Possession
51%
2
Corners
8
13
Tackles
16
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽Victor Hugo
6'
19'
Juan Felipe Aguirre
46'
J. Portilla / Jadson ↕
46'
Julimar / S. Mendoza ↕
46'
Joao Cruz / Dudu Kogitzki ↕
↕ Cuello / Dudu
69'
↕ Reinier / Bernard
70'
↕ T. Perez / M. Cisse
70'
75'
Leozinho / Leo Derik ↕
↕ Victor Hugo / Gustavo Scarpa
77'
⚽Gustavo Scarpa · ast. Natanael
80'
↕ Hulk / M. Cassierra
85'
88'
Bruninho / Luiz Gustavo ↕
88'
ast. Joao Cruz · Julimar⚽
Pre-match prediction
41.23%
Atletico-MG ←
28.71%
X
30.05%
Atletico
we assigned to the actual result (Atletico-MG) 41.23% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Atletico-MG
1.49
1.27
-0.22
Atletico
1.17
0.43
-0.74
Atletico-MG dominated by xG (1.27 vs 0.43). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Palmeiras Palmeiras 15 34
2 Flamengo Flamengo 14 30
3 Fluminense Fluminense 15 27
4 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 15 24
5 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 15 23
6 Bahia Bahia 14 22
7 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 15 20
8 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 15 20
9 Coritiba Coritiba 15 20
10 Vitoria Vitoria 14 19
11 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 15 19
12 Botafogo Botafogo 14 18
13 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 15 18
14 Internacional Internacional 15 18
15 Santos Santos 15 18
16 Corinthians Corinthians 15 18
17 Gremio Gremio 15 17
18 Mirassol Mirassol 14 13
19 Remo Remo 15 12
20 Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 14 9
Lineups
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 4-4-2
22
G 7.50
16 Renan Lodi Renan Lodi D 6.50
14 Vitor Hugo Vitor Hugo D 7.20
4 Ruan Ruan D 7.50
2 Natanael Natanael 1 👟 D 7.20
28 T. Cuello T. Cuello 69' M 6.90
21
A. Franco M 6.60
25 Tomás Pérez Tomás Pérez 70' M 7.00
30
Victor Hugo 1 ⚽ 77' M 8.90
19 Reinier Reinier 70' F 6.60
7
Hulk 85' F 6.30
Bench
5 Alexsander Alexsander M
23 Ángelo Preciado Ángelo Preciado D
11 Bernard Bernard 20' M 6.30
92 Dudu Dudu 21' F 7.00
10
Gustavo Scarpa 1 ⚽ 13' M 7.30
17 Igor Gomes Igor Gomes M
13
Lyanco D
39 Mamady Cissé Mamady Cissé 20' M 6.50
9 Mateo Cassierra Mateo Cassierra 10' F 6.50
Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 3-4-2-1
23 Santos Santos G 6.30
37
L. Esquivel D 6.70
33 Juan Felipe Aguirre Juan Felipe Aguirre D 6.50
4 Arthur Dias Arthur Dias D 6.90
6
75' M 6.70
14 Luiz Gustavo Luiz Gustavo 88' M 7.30
16 Jádson Jádson 45' M 6.90
29
Gastón Benavídez M 6.90
7 Stiven Mendoza Stiven Mendoza 45' F 6.30
53 Dudu Dudu 45' F 6.20
9
K. Viveros F 6.20
Bench
48 Bruno Braga Ramos Bruno Braga Ramos 2' M
10 Bruno Zapelli Bruno Zapelli M
27 Juan Portilla Juan Portilla 45' M 6.90
20
Julimar 1 ⚽ 45' F 7.30
Best on the pitch
Victor Hugo
M · Atletico-MG
8.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 28 pass
G · Atletico-MG
7.50
· 32 pass
Ruan
Ruan
D · Atletico-MG
7.50
· 53 pass
Julimar
F · Atletico
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 14 pass
Gustavo Scarpa
M · Atletico-MG
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 4 pass
Luiz Gustavo
Luiz Gustavo
M · Atletico
7.30
1 shots · 63 pass
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.50 — — — 32 24% — — —
Renan Lodi D 90 6.50 — — 2 69 62% 1 — —
Vitor Hugo D 90 7.20 — — — 64 62% 1 — —
Ruan D 90 7.50 — — — 53 49% 1 — —
Natanael D 90 7.20 — 1 — 38 31% 6 — —
T. Cuello M 69 6.90 — — 2 20 17% — — —
A. Franco M 90 6.60 — — — 38 36% — — —
Tomás Pérez M 70 7.00 — — — 47 44% 1 — —
Victor Hugo M 77 8.90 1 — 2 28 24% 2 — —
Reinier F 70 6.60 — — — 41 36% 1 — —
Hulk F 85 6.30 — — — 20 16% — — —
Bernard M 20 6.30 — — — 5 5% — — —
Dudu F 21 7.00 — — 1 10 9% — — —
Gustavo Scarpa M 13 7.30 1 — 1 4 4% — — —
Mamady Cissé M 20 6.50 — — — 10 9% — — —
Mateo Cassierra F 10 6.50 — — — 1 1% — — —
Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Santos G 90 6.30 — — — 18 14% — — —
L. Esquivel D 90 6.70 — — 1 60 56% 5 — —
Juan Felipe Aguirre D 90 6.50 — — — 46 46% — 1 —
Arthur Dias D 90 6.90 — — — 60 54% 1 — —
M 75 6.70 — — — 32 30% 3 — —
Luiz Gustavo M 88 7.30 — — 1 63 57% 1 — —
Jádson M 45 6.90 — — — 22 18% 3 — —
Gastón Benavídez M 90 6.90 — — — 56 49% — — —
Stiven Mendoza F 45 6.30 — — 1 13 10% 1 — —
Dudu F 45 6.20 — — — 7 4% 1 — —
K. Viveros F 90 6.20 — — — 13 11% — — —
Bruno Braga Ramos M 2 — — — — 1 1% — — —
Juan Portilla M 45 6.90 — — 1 34 32% 1 — —
Julimar F 45 7.30 1 — 2 14 13% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atletico-MG vs Atletico Paranaense?
The final score was Atletico-MG 2–1 Atletico Paranaense.
What did the model predict before Atletico-MG vs Atletico Paranaense?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Atletico-MG win, 28% to a draw, and 30% to an Atletico Paranaense win.