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← Brasileirão Série A
Brasileirão Série A · Regular Season - 10 April 05, 2026 22:30
Atletico-MG
#7 · 40 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Atletico Paranaense
#3 · 49 pts
Victor Hugo 6'
Gustavo Scarpa (ast. Natanael) 80'
88' (ast. Joao Cruz) Julimar
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atletico-MG a 41% win probability (draw 28%, Atletico Paranaense 30%). The final result was Atletico-MG 2–1 Atletico Paranaense.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
6
5
Shots on target
3
1.27
Actual xG
0.43
2
Saves
3
49%
Possession
51%
2
Corners
8
13
Tackles
16
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽Victor Hugo
6'
19'
Juan Felipe Aguirre
46'
J. Portilla / Jadson ↕
46'
Julimar / S. Mendoza ↕
46'
Joao Cruz / Dudu Kogitzki ↕
↕ Cuello / Dudu
69'
↕ Reinier / Bernard
70'
↕ T. Perez / M. Cisse
70'
75'
Leozinho / Leo Derik ↕
↕ Victor Hugo / Gustavo Scarpa
77'
⚽Gustavo Scarpa · ast. Natanael
80'
↕ Hulk / M. Cassierra
85'
88'
Bruninho / Luiz Gustavo ↕
88'
ast. Joao Cruz · Julimar⚽
Pre-match prediction
41.23%
Atletico-MG ←
28.71%
X
30.05%
Atletico
we assigned to the actual result (Atletico-MG) 41.23% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Atletico-MG
1.49
1.27
-0.22
Atletico
1.17
0.43
-0.74
Atletico-MG dominated by xG (1.27 vs 0.43). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Flamengo Flamengo 28 60
2 Palmeiras Palmeiras 28 57
3 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 28 49
4 Fluminense Fluminense 28 48
5 Bahia Bahia 28 46
6 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 28 45
7 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 27 40
8 Santos Santos 27 38
9 Coritiba Coritiba 28 38
10 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 27 36
11 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 27 36
12 Botafogo Botafogo 28 35
13 Vitoria Vitoria 28 33
14 Corinthians Corinthians 28 32
15 Mirassol Mirassol 28 32
16 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 27 31
17 Gremio Gremio 28 29
18 Internacional Internacional 28 28
19 Remo Remo 28 23
20 Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 27 18
Lineups
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 4-4-2
22
G 7.50
16 Renan Lodi Renan Lodi D 6.50
14 Vitor Hugo Vitor Hugo D 7.20
4 Ruan Tressoldi Ruan Tressoldi D 7.50
2 Natanael Natanael 1 👟 D 7.20
28 T. Cuello T. Cuello 69' M 6.90
21 Alan Franco Alan Franco M 6.60
25 T. Pérez T. Pérez 70' M 7.00
30 Victor Hugo Victor Hugo 1 ⚽ 77' M 8.90
19 Reinier Reinier 70' F 6.60
7 Hulk Hulk 85' F 6.30
Bench
5 Alexsander Alexsander M
23 Ángelo Preciado Ángelo Preciado D
11 Bernard Bernard 20' M 6.30
92 Dudu Dudu 21' F 7.00
10 Gustavo Scarpa Gustavo Scarpa 1 ⚽ 13' M 7.30
17 Igor Gomes Igor Gomes M
13 Lyanco Lyanco D
39 Mamady Cisse Mamady Cisse 20' M 6.50
9 M. Cassierra M. Cassierra 10' F 6.50
Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 3-4-2-1
23 Santos Santos G 6.30
37 L. Esquivel L. Esquivel D 6.70
33 J. Aguirre J. Aguirre D 6.50
4 Arthur Dias Arthur Dias D 6.90
6
75' M 6.70
14 Luiz Gustavo Luiz Gustavo 88' M 7.30
16 Jádson Jádson 45' M 6.90
29 G. Benavídez G. Benavídez M 6.90
7 S. Mendoza S. Mendoza 45' F 6.30
53 Dudu Dudu 45' F 6.20
9 K. Viveros K. Viveros F 6.20
Bench
48 Bruno Braga Ramos Bruno Braga Ramos 2' M
10 B. Zapelli B. Zapelli M
27 J. Portilla J. Portilla 45' M 6.90
20 Julimar Julimar 1 ⚽ 45' F 7.30
Best on the pitch
Victor Hugo
Victor Hugo
M · Atletico-MG
8.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 28 pass
G · Atletico-MG
7.50
· 32 pass
Ruan Tressoldi
Ruan Tressoldi
D · Atletico-MG
7.50
· 53 pass
Julimar
Julimar
F · Atletico
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 14 pass
Gustavo Scarpa
Gustavo Scarpa
M · Atletico-MG
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 4 pass
Luiz Gustavo
Luiz Gustavo
M · Atletico
7.30
1 shots · 63 pass
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.50 — — — 32 24% — — —
Renan Lodi D 90 6.50 — — 2 69 62% 1 — —
Vitor Hugo D 90 7.20 — — — 64 62% 1 — —
Ruan Tressoldi D 90 7.50 — — — 53 49% 1 — —
Natanael D 90 7.20 — 1 — 38 31% 6 — —
T. Cuello M 69 6.90 — — 2 20 17% — — —
Alan Franco M 90 6.60 — — — 38 36% — — —
T. Pérez M 70 7.00 — — — 47 44% 1 — —
Victor Hugo M 77 8.90 1 — 2 28 24% 2 — —
Reinier F 70 6.60 — — — 41 36% 1 — —
Hulk F 85 6.30 — — — 20 16% — — —
Bernard M 20 6.30 — — — 5 5% — — —
Dudu F 21 7.00 — — 1 10 9% — — —
Gustavo Scarpa M 13 7.30 1 — 1 4 4% — — —
Mamady Cisse M 20 6.50 — — — 10 9% — — —
M. Cassierra F 10 6.50 — — — 1 1% — — —
Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Santos G 90 6.30 — — — 18 14% — — —
L. Esquivel D 90 6.70 — — 1 60 56% 5 — —
J. Aguirre D 90 6.50 — — — 46 46% — 1 —
Arthur Dias D 90 6.90 — — — 60 54% 1 — —
M 75 6.70 — — — 32 30% 3 — —
Luiz Gustavo M 88 7.30 — — 1 63 57% 1 — —
Jádson M 45 6.90 — — — 22 18% 3 — —
G. Benavídez M 90 6.90 — — — 56 49% — — —
S. Mendoza F 45 6.30 — — 1 13 10% 1 — —
Dudu F 45 6.20 — — — 7 4% 1 — —
K. Viveros F 90 6.20 — — — 13 11% — — —
Bruno Braga Ramos M 2 — — — — 1 1% — — —
J. Portilla M 45 6.90 — — 1 34 32% 1 — —
Julimar F 45 7.30 1 — 2 14 13% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atletico-MG vs Atletico Paranaense?
The final score was Atletico-MG 2–1 Atletico Paranaense.
What did the model predict before Atletico-MG vs Atletico Paranaense?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Atletico-MG win, 28% to a draw, and 30% to an Atletico Paranaense win.