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← Brasileirão Série A
Brasileirão Série A · Regular Season - 10 April 05, 2026 22:30
Atletico-MG
#8 · 28 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Atletico Paranaense
#3 · 36 pts
Victor Hugo 6'
Gustavo Scarpa (ast. Natanael) 80'
88' (ast. Joao Cruz) Julimar
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atletico-MG a 41% win probability (draw 28%, Atletico Paranaense 30%). The final result was Atletico-MG 2–1 Atletico Paranaense.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
6
5
Shots on target
3
1.27
Actual xG
0.43
2
Saves
3
49%
Possession
51%
2
Corners
8
13
Tackles
16
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽Victor Hugo
6'
19'
Juan Felipe Aguirre
46'
J. Portilla / Jadson ↕
46'
Julimar / S. Mendoza ↕
46'
Joao Cruz / Dudu Kogitzki ↕
↕ Cuello / Dudu
69'
↕ Reinier / Bernard
70'
↕ T. Perez / M. Cisse
70'
75'
Leozinho / Leo Derik ↕
↕ Victor Hugo / Gustavo Scarpa
77'
⚽Gustavo Scarpa · ast. Natanael
80'
↕ Hulk / M. Cassierra
85'
88'
Bruninho / Luiz Gustavo ↕
88'
ast. Joao Cruz · Julimar⚽
Pre-match prediction
41.23%
Atletico-MG ←
28.71%
X
30.05%
Atletico
we assigned to the actual result (Atletico-MG) 41.23% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Atletico-MG
1.49
1.27
-0.22
Atletico
1.17
0.43
-0.74
Atletico-MG dominated by xG (1.27 vs 0.43). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Palmeiras Palmeiras 20 44
2 Flamengo Flamengo 19 38
3 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 20 36
4 Fluminense Fluminense 20 33
5 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 20 31
6 Bahia Bahia 20 31
7 Botafogo Botafogo 20 29
8 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 20 28
9 Corinthians Corinthians 20 28
10 Coritiba Coritiba 20 27
11 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 20 27
12 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 20 26
13 Vitoria Vitoria 20 26
14 Santos Santos 20 22
15 Gremio Gremio 20 22
16 Internacional Internacional 20 21
17 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 20 21
18 Remo Remo 20 21
19 Mirassol Mirassol 19 20
20 Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 20 10
Lineups
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 4-4-2
22
G 7.50
16 Renan Lodi Renan Lodi D 6.50
14 Vitor Hugo Vitor Hugo D 7.20
4 Ruan Tressoldi Ruan Tressoldi D 7.50
2 Natanael Natanael 1 👟 D 7.20
28 T. Cuello T. Cuello 69' M 6.90
21 A. Franco A. Franco M 6.60
25 Tomás Pérez Tomás Pérez 70' M 7.00
30 Victor Hugo Victor Hugo 1 ⚽ 77' M 8.90
19 Reinier Reinier 70' F 6.60
7 Hulk Hulk 85' F 6.30
Bench
5 Alexsander Alexsander M
23 Ángelo Preciado Ángelo Preciado D
11 Bernard Bernard 20' M 6.30
92 Dudu Dudu 21' F 7.00
10
Gustavo Scarpa 1 ⚽ 13' M 7.30
17 Igor Gomes Igor Gomes M
13 Lyanco Lyanco D
39 Mamady Cissé Mamady Cissé 20' M 6.50
9 M. Cassierra M. Cassierra 10' F 6.50
Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 3-4-2-1
23 Santos Santos G 6.30
37 L. Esquivel L. Esquivel D 6.70
33 Juan Felipe Aguirre Juan Felipe Aguirre D 6.50
4 Arthur Dias Arthur Dias D 6.90
6
75' M 6.70
14 Luiz Gustavo Luiz Gustavo 88' M 7.30
16 Jádson Jádson 45' M 6.90
29 G. Benavídez G. Benavídez M 6.90
7 S. Mendoza S. Mendoza 45' F 6.30
53 Dudu Dudu 45' F 6.20
9 K. Viveros K. Viveros F 6.20
Bench
48 Bruno Braga Ramos Bruno Braga Ramos 2' M
10 B. Zapelli B. Zapelli M
27 Juan Portilla Juan Portilla 45' M 6.90
20 Julimar Julimar 1 ⚽ 45' F 7.30
Best on the pitch
Victor Hugo
Victor Hugo
M · Atletico-MG
8.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 28 pass
G · Atletico-MG
7.50
· 32 pass
Ruan Tressoldi
Ruan Tressoldi
D · Atletico-MG
7.50
· 53 pass
Julimar
Julimar
F · Atletico
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 14 pass
Gustavo Scarpa
M · Atletico-MG
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 4 pass
Luiz Gustavo
Luiz Gustavo
M · Atletico
7.30
1 shots · 63 pass
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.50 — — — 32 24% — — —
Renan Lodi D 90 6.50 — — 2 69 62% 1 — —
Vitor Hugo D 90 7.20 — — — 64 62% 1 — —
Ruan Tressoldi D 90 7.50 — — — 53 49% 1 — —
Natanael D 90 7.20 — 1 — 38 31% 6 — —
T. Cuello M 69 6.90 — — 2 20 17% — — —
A. Franco M 90 6.60 — — — 38 36% — — —
Tomás Pérez M 70 7.00 — — — 47 44% 1 — —
Victor Hugo M 77 8.90 1 — 2 28 24% 2 — —
Reinier F 70 6.60 — — — 41 36% 1 — —
Hulk F 85 6.30 — — — 20 16% — — —
Bernard M 20 6.30 — — — 5 5% — — —
Dudu F 21 7.00 — — 1 10 9% — — —
Gustavo Scarpa M 13 7.30 1 — 1 4 4% — — —
Mamady Cissé M 20 6.50 — — — 10 9% — — —
M. Cassierra F 10 6.50 — — — 1 1% — — —
Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Santos G 90 6.30 — — — 18 14% — — —
L. Esquivel D 90 6.70 — — 1 60 56% 5 — —
Juan Felipe Aguirre D 90 6.50 — — — 46 46% — 1 —
Arthur Dias D 90 6.90 — — — 60 54% 1 — —
M 75 6.70 — — — 32 30% 3 — —
Luiz Gustavo M 88 7.30 — — 1 63 57% 1 — —
Jádson M 45 6.90 — — — 22 18% 3 — —
G. Benavídez M 90 6.90 — — — 56 49% — — —
S. Mendoza F 45 6.30 — — 1 13 10% 1 — —
Dudu F 45 6.20 — — — 7 4% 1 — —
K. Viveros F 90 6.20 — — — 13 11% — — —
Bruno Braga Ramos M 2 — — — — 1 1% — — —
Juan Portilla M 45 6.90 — — 1 34 32% 1 — —
Julimar F 45 7.30 1 — 2 14 13% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atletico-MG vs Atletico Paranaense?
The final score was Atletico-MG 2–1 Atletico Paranaense.
What did the model predict before Atletico-MG vs Atletico Paranaense?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Atletico-MG win, 28% to a draw, and 30% to an Atletico Paranaense win.