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MLS · Regular Season - 11 May 03, 2026 23:30
Austin
#13 · 14 pts
2 – 0
Final score
St. Louis City
#14 · 12 pts
C. Ramirez (ast. D. Pereira) 69'
M. Uzuni (ast. C. Ramirez) 81'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Austin a 35% win probability (draw 31%, St. Louis City 32%). The final result was Austin 2–0 St. Louis City.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
12
6
Shots on target
5
1.82
Actual xG
3.16
5
Saves
4
56%
Possession
44%
4
Corners
6
10
Tackles
10
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
Guilherme Biro
36'
51'
T. Baumgartl
59'
S. Cordova / E. Lowen ↕
59'
M. Mbacke / L. MacNaughton ↕
↕ I. Sanchez / D. Pereira
66'
68'
C. Durkin
⚽C. Ramirez · ast. D. Pereira
69'
73'
M. Joyner / M. Perez ↕
73'
F. Fall / S. Becher ↕
⚽M. Uzuni · ast. C. Ramirez
81'
↕ C. Ramirez / O. Wolff
82'
↕ Guilherme Biro / J. Bell
82'
B. Hines-Ike
87'
87'
B. McSorley / C. Durkin ↕
↕ F. Torres / C. Fodrey
89'
↕ M. Uzuni / B. Vazquez
89'
90'+5
B. McSorley
Pre-match prediction
35.48%
Austin ←
31.53%
X
32.99%
St.
we assigned to the actual result (Austin) 35.48% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Austin
1.43
1.82
+0.39
St.
1.34
3.16
+1.82
St. Louis City dominated by xG (3.16 vs 1.82). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 12 29
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 12 27
2 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 13 29
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 13 25
3 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 11 24
3 New England Revolution New England Revolution 12 22
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 12 20
4 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 12 22
5 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 13 21
5 New York City FC New York City FC 13 18
6 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 13 21
6 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 13 18
7 DC United DC United 13 16
7 FC Dallas FC Dallas 13 19
8 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 12 18
8 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 13 16
9 Charlotte Charlotte 13 15
9 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 13 16
10 San Diego San Diego 13 16
10 Toronto FC Toronto FC 12 14
11 CF Montreal CF Montreal 12 13
11 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 13 16
12 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 13 13
12 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 12 14
13 Austin Austin 13 14
13 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 13 12
14 St. Louis City St. Louis City 12 12
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 12 10
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 12 8
15 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 13 6
Lineups
Austin Austin 4-4-2
1
G 8.70
29 Guilherme Biro Guilherme Biro 82' D 7.20
4 Brendan Hines-Ike Brendan Hines-Ike D 7.20
5
D 7.00
3 Mikkel Desler Mikkel Desler D 8.20
17 Jon Gallagher Jon Gallagher M 7.30
6 Ilie Sánchez Ilie Sánchez 66' M 7.00
30 Joseph Rosales Joseph Rosales M 7.90
11 Facundo Torres Facundo Torres 89' M 7.30
10 Myrto Uzuni Myrto Uzuni 1 ⚽ 89' F 7.60
21 Christian Ramirez Christian Ramirez 1 ⚽ 1 👟 82' F 8.30
Bench
14 Besard Sabović Besard Sabović M
19 Calvin Fodrey Calvin Fodrey 7' M
8 Daniel Pereira Daniel Pereira 1 👟 30' M 7.50
15 Jonathan Bell Jonathan Bell 14' D 6.60
20 Nicolas Dubersarsky Nicolas Dubersarsky M
St. Louis City St. Louis City 3-4-2-1
1
G 7.20
21 Dante Polvara Dante Polvara D 6.20
32 Timo Baumgartl Timo Baumgartl D 6.00
5 Lukas MacNaughton Lukas MacNaughton 58' D 7.00
14 Tomas Totland Tomas Totland M 6.30
8 Christopher Durkin Christopher Durkin 87' M 6.60
28 Miguel Perez Miguel Perez 73' M 7.70
6 Conrad Wallem Conrad Wallem M 6.60
17 Marcel Hartel Marcel Hartel F 7.70
10 Eduard Löwen Eduard Löwen 58' F 6.90
11 Simon Becher Simon Becher 73' F 5.30
Bench
80 Brendan McSorley Brendan McSorley 9' F 6.20
36 Cedric Teuchert Cedric Teuchert F
99 Jaziel Orozco Jaziel Orozco D
59 Mykhi Joyner Mykhi Joyner 23' M 6.20
20 Rafael Santos Rafael Santos D
16 Sergio Córdova Sergio Córdova 38' F 6.90
Best on the pitch
G · Austin
8.70
· 30 pass
Christian Ramirez
Christian Ramirez
F · Austin
8.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 19 pass
Mikkel Desler
Mikkel Desler
D · Austin
8.20
1 shots · 56 pass
Joseph Rosales
Joseph Rosales
M · Austin
7.90
· 54 pass
Miguel Perez
Miguel Perez
M · St.
7.70
2 shots · 17 pass
Marcel Hartel
Marcel Hartel
F · St.
7.70
3 shots · 48 pass
Austin Austin — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 96 8.70 — — — 30 21% — — —
Guilherme Biro D 82 7.20 — — 1 52 43% 2 1 —
Brendan Hines-Ike D 96 7.20 — — — 48 45% — 1 —
D 96 7.00 — — — 53 47% 1 — —
Mikkel Desler D 96 8.20 — — 1 56 52% 3 — —
Jon Gallagher M 96 7.30 — — 3 27 25% — — —
Ilie Sánchez M 66 7.00 — — — 37 33% — — —
Joseph Rosales M 96 7.90 — — — 54 47% 3 — —
Facundo Torres M 89 7.30 — — 1 43 37% — — —
Myrto Uzuni F 89 7.60 1 — 4 22 20% 1 — —
Christian Ramirez F 82 8.30 1 1 2 19 12% — — —
Calvin Fodrey M 7 — — — — 2 1% — — —
Daniel Pereira M 30 7.50 — 1 — 19 19% — — —
Jonathan Bell D 14 6.60 — — — 8 7% — — —
St. Louis City St. Louis City — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 96 7.20 — — — 28 21% — — —
Dante Polvara D 96 6.20 — — — 30 28% — — —
Timo Baumgartl D 96 6.00 — — — 55 46% — 1 —
Lukas MacNaughton D 58 7.00 — — — 32 30% 2 — —
Tomas Totland M 96 6.30 — — 1 19 16% 1 — —
Christopher Durkin M 87 6.60 — — — 30 28% 2 1 —
Miguel Perez M 73 7.70 — — 2 17 15% 1 — —
Conrad Wallem M 96 6.60 — — — 33 30% 2 — —
Marcel Hartel F 96 7.70 — — 3 48 41% — — —
Eduard Löwen F 58 6.90 — — 1 30 26% — — —
Simon Becher F 73 5.30 — — 3 9 8% — — —
Brendan McSorley F 9 6.20 — — 1 1 1% — 1 —
Mykhi Joyner M 23 6.20 — — — 4 4% — — —
Sergio Córdova F 38 6.90 — — 1 4 2% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Austin vs St. Louis City?
The final score was Austin 2–0 St. Louis City.
What did the model predict before Austin vs St. Louis City?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Austin win, 31% to a draw, and 32% to an St. Louis City win.