Skip to main content
← MLS
MLS · Regular Season - 11 May 03, 2026 23:30
Austin
#13 · 31 pts
2 – 0
Final score
St. Louis City
#2 · 47 pts
C. Ramirez (ast. D. Pereira) 69'
M. Uzuni (ast. C. Ramirez) 81'
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Austin a 35% win probability (draw 31%, St. Louis City 32%). The final result was Austin 2–0 St. Louis City. In 2 previous meetings, Austin have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for St. Louis City.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
12
6
Shots on target
5
1.82
Actual xG
3.16
5
Saves
4
56%
Possession
44%
4
Corners
6
10
Tackles
10
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
Guilherme Biro
36'
51'
T. Baumgartl
59'
S. Cordova / E. Lowen ↕
59'
M. Mbacke / L. MacNaughton ↕
↕ I. Sanchez / D. Pereira
66'
68'
C. Durkin
⚽C. Ramirez · ast. D. Pereira
69'
73'
M. Joyner / M. Perez ↕
73'
F. Fall / S. Becher ↕
⚽M. Uzuni · ast. C. Ramirez
81'
↕ C. Ramirez / O. Wolff
82'
↕ Guilherme Biro / J. Bell
82'
B. Hines-Ike
87'
87'
B. McSorley / C. Durkin ↕
↕ F. Torres / C. Fodrey
89'
↕ M. Uzuni / B. Vazquez
89'
90'+5
B. McSorley
Pre-match prediction
35.48%
Austin ←
31.53%
X
32.99%
St.
we assigned to the actual result (Austin) 35.48% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Austin
1.43
1.82
+0.39
St.
1.34
3.16
+1.82
St. Louis City dominated by xG (3.16 vs 1.82). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 26 50
2 St. Louis City St. Louis City 27 47
3 FC Dallas FC Dallas 27 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 27 45
5 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 27 44
6 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 28 41
7 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 27 38
8 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 27 36
9 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 28 36
10 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 27 32
11 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 27 32
12 San Diego San Diego 27 32
13 Austin Austin 27 31
14 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 27 29
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 27 21
Lineups
Austin Austin 4-4-2
1
G 8.70
29 Guilherme Biro Guilherme Biro 82' D 7.20
4 B. Hines-Ike B. Hines-Ike D 7.20
5
D 7.00
3 M. Desler M. Desler D 8.20
17 J. Gallagher J. Gallagher M 7.30
6 Ilie Sánchez Ilie Sánchez 66' M 7.00
30 J. Rosales J. Rosales M 7.90
11 F. Torres F. Torres 89' M 7.30
10 M. Uzuni M. Uzuni 1 ⚽ 89' F 7.60
21 C. Ramirez C. Ramirez 1 ⚽ 1 👟 82' F 8.30
Bench
14 B. Šabović B. Šabović M
19 C. Fodrey C. Fodrey 7' M
8 Daniel Pereira Daniel Pereira 1 👟 30' M 7.50
15 J. Bell J. Bell 14' D 6.60
20 Nicolas Dubersarsky Nicolas Dubersarsky M
St. Louis City St. Louis City 3-4-2-1
1
G 7.20
21 D. Polvara D. Polvara D 6.20
32 T. Baumgartl T. Baumgartl D 6.00
5 L. MacNaughton L. MacNaughton 58' D 7.00
14 T. Totland T. Totland M 6.30
8 C. Durkin C. Durkin 87' M 6.60
28 M. Perez M. Perez 73' M 7.70
6 C. Wallem C. Wallem M 6.60
17 M. Hartel M. Hartel F 7.70
10 E. Löwen E. Löwen 58' F 6.90
11 S. Becher S. Becher 73' F 5.30
Bench
80 Brendan McSorley Brendan McSorley 9' F 6.20
36 Cedric Teuchert Cedric Teuchert F
99 J. Orozco J. Orozco D
59 M. Joyner M. Joyner 23' M 6.20
20 Rafael Santos Rafael Santos D
16 S. Córdova S. Córdova 38' F 6.90
Best on the pitch
G · Austin
8.70
· 30 pass
C. Ramirez
C. Ramirez
F · Austin
8.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 19 pass
M. Desler
M. Desler
D · Austin
8.20
1 shots · 56 pass
J. Rosales
J. Rosales
M · Austin
7.90
· 54 pass
M. Perez
M. Perez
M · St.
7.70
2 shots · 17 pass
M. Hartel
M. Hartel
F · St.
7.70
3 shots · 48 pass
Austin Austin — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 96 8.70 — — — 30 21% — — —
Guilherme Biro D 82 7.20 — — 1 52 43% 2 1 —
B. Hines-Ike D 96 7.20 — — — 48 45% — 1 —
D 96 7.00 — — — 53 47% 1 — —
M. Desler D 96 8.20 — — 1 56 52% 3 — —
J. Gallagher M 96 7.30 — — 3 27 25% — — —
Ilie Sánchez M 66 7.00 — — — 37 33% — — —
J. Rosales M 96 7.90 — — — 54 47% 3 — —
F. Torres M 89 7.30 — — 1 43 37% — — —
M. Uzuni F 89 7.60 1 — 4 22 20% 1 — —
C. Ramirez F 82 8.30 1 1 2 19 12% — — —
C. Fodrey M 7 — — — — 2 1% — — —
Daniel Pereira M 30 7.50 — 1 — 19 19% — — —
J. Bell D 14 6.60 — — — 8 7% — — —
St. Louis City St. Louis City — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 96 7.20 — — — 28 21% — — —
D. Polvara D 96 6.20 — — — 30 28% — — —
T. Baumgartl D 96 6.00 — — — 55 46% — 1 —
L. MacNaughton D 58 7.00 — — — 32 30% 2 — —
T. Totland M 96 6.30 — — 1 19 16% 1 — —
C. Durkin M 87 6.60 — — — 30 28% 2 1 —
M. Perez M 73 7.70 — — 2 17 15% 1 — —
C. Wallem M 96 6.60 — — — 33 30% 2 — —
M. Hartel F 96 7.70 — — 3 48 41% — — —
E. Löwen F 58 6.90 — — 1 30 26% — — —
S. Becher F 73 5.30 — — 3 9 8% — — —
Brendan McSorley F 9 6.20 — — 1 1 1% — 1 —
M. Joyner M 23 6.20 — — — 4 4% — — —
S. Córdova F 38 6.90 — — 1 4 2% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Austin vs St. Louis City?
The final score was Austin 2–0 St. Louis City.
What did the model predict before Austin vs St. Louis City?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Austin win, 31% to a draw, and 32% to an St. Louis City win.