MLS
· Regular Season - 11
May 03, 2026 23:30
C. Ramirez
(ast. D. Pereira)
69'
M. Uzuni
(ast. C. Ramirez)
81'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Austin a 35% win probability (draw 31%, St. Louis City 32%). The final result was Austin 2–0 St. Louis City. In 2 previous meetings, Austin have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for St. Louis City.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
12
6
Shots on target
5
1.82
Actual xG
3.16
5
Saves
4
56%
Possession
44%
4
Corners
6
10
Tackles
10
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
Guilherme Biro
36'
51'
T. Baumgartl
59'
S. Cordova
/
E. Lowen
59'
M. Mbacke
/
L. MacNaughton
I. Sanchez
/ D. Pereira
66'
68'
C. Durkin
⚽C. Ramirez
· ast. D. Pereira
69'
73'
M. Joyner
/
M. Perez
73'
F. Fall
/
S. Becher
⚽M. Uzuni
· ast. C. Ramirez
81'
C. Ramirez
/ O. Wolff
82'
Guilherme Biro
/ J. Bell
82'
B. Hines-Ike
87'
87'
B. McSorley
/
C. Durkin
F. Torres
/ C. Fodrey
89'
M. Uzuni
/ B. Vazquez
89'
90'+5
B. McSorley
Pre-match prediction
35.48%
Austin ←
31.53%
X
32.99%
St.
we assigned to the actual result (Austin)
35.48%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.43
1.82
+0.39
1.34
3.16
+1.82
St. Louis City dominated by xG (3.16 vs 1.82).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
29
Guilherme Biro
82'
D
Guilherme Biro
82'
D
4
Brendan Hines-Ike
D
Brendan Hines-Ike
D
5
D
3
Mikkel Desler
D
Mikkel Desler
D
17
Jon Gallagher
M
Jon Gallagher
M
6
Ilie Sánchez
66'
M
Ilie Sánchez
66'
M
30
Joseph Rosales
M
Joseph Rosales
M
11
F. Torres
89'
M
F. Torres
89'
M
10
Myrto Uzuni
1 ⚽
89'
F
Myrto Uzuni
1 ⚽
89'
F
21
Christian Ramirez
1 ⚽
1 👟
82'
F
Christian Ramirez
1 ⚽
1 👟
82'
F
Bench
14
Besard Sabović
M
Besard Sabović
M
19
Calvin Fodrey
7'
M
Calvin Fodrey
7'
M
8
Daniel Pereira
1 👟
30'
M
Daniel Pereira
1 👟
30'
M
15
Jonathan Bell
14'
D
Jonathan Bell
14'
D
20
Nicolas Dubersarsky
M
Nicolas Dubersarsky
M
1
G
21
Dante Polvara
D
Dante Polvara
D
32
Timo Baumgartl
D
Timo Baumgartl
D
5
Lukas MacNaughton
58'
D
Lukas MacNaughton
58'
D
14
Tomas Totland
M
Tomas Totland
M
8
C. Durkin
87'
M
C. Durkin
87'
M
28
Miguel Perez
73'
M
Miguel Perez
73'
M
6
Conrad Wallem
M
Conrad Wallem
M
17
Marcel Hartel
F
Marcel Hartel
F
10
Eduard Löwen
58'
F
Eduard Löwen
58'
F
11
Simon Becher
73'
F
Simon Becher
73'
F
Bench
80
Brendan McSorley
9'
F
Brendan McSorley
9'
F
36
Cedric Teuchert
F
Cedric Teuchert
F
99
Jaziel Orozco
D
Jaziel Orozco
D
59
Mykhi Joyner
23'
M
Mykhi Joyner
23'
M
20
Rafael Santos
D
Rafael Santos
D
16
Sergio Córdova
38'
F
Sergio Córdova
38'
F
Best on the pitch
G · Austin
8.70
· 30 pass
Christian Ramirez
F · Austin
8.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 19 pass
Mikkel Desler
D · Austin
8.20
1 shots
· 56 pass
Joseph Rosales
M · Austin
7.90
· 54 pass
Miguel Perez
M · St.
7.70
2 shots
· 17 pass
Marcel Hartel
F · St.
7.70
3 shots
· 48 pass
Austin — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 8.70 | — | — | — | 30 | 21% | — | — | — | |
| Guilherme Biro | D | 82 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 43% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Brendan Hines-Ike | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 48 | 45% | — | 1 | — |
| D | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 53 | 47% | 1 | — | — | |
| Mikkel Desler | D | 96 | 8.20 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 52% | 3 | — | — |
| Jon Gallagher | M | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | 3 | 27 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Ilie Sánchez | M | 66 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 37 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Joseph Rosales | M | 96 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 54 | 47% | 3 | — | — |
| F. Torres | M | 89 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 37% | — | — | — |
| Myrto Uzuni | F | 89 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 4 | 22 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Christian Ramirez | F | 82 | 8.30 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Calvin Fodrey | M | 7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Daniel Pereira | M | 30 | 7.50 | — | 1 | — | 19 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Jonathan Bell | D | 14 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
St. Louis City — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 21% | — | — | — | |
| Dante Polvara | D | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Timo Baumgartl | D | 96 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 55 | 46% | — | 1 | — |
| Lukas MacNaughton | D | 58 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 32 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| Tomas Totland | M | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Durkin | M | 87 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 30 | 28% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Miguel Perez | M | 73 | 7.70 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Conrad Wallem | M | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 33 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| Marcel Hartel | F | 96 | 7.70 | — | — | 3 | 48 | 41% | — | — | — |
| Eduard Löwen | F | 58 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Simon Becher | F | 73 | 5.30 | — | — | 3 | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Brendan McSorley | F | 9 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
| Mykhi Joyner | M | 23 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Sergio Córdova | F | 38 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 2% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Austin vs St. Louis City?
The final score was Austin 2–0 St. Louis City.
What did the model predict before Austin vs St. Louis City?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Austin win, 31% to a draw, and 32% to an St. Louis City win.