Ligue 1
· Regular Season - 32
May 03, 2026 17:15
✓Model correct — prediction Auxerre
S. Mara
12'
S. Mara
(ast. L. Sinayoko)
61'
L. Sinayoko
(ast. S. Mara)
67'
(pen.)
77'
G. Koyalipou
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Auxerre a 58% win probability (draw 27%, Angers 13%). The final result was Auxerre 3–1 Angers. In 1 previous meetings, Auxerre have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Angers.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
8
10
Shots on target
3
1.94
Actual xG
2.12
2
Saves
7
56%
Possession
44%
4
Corners
6
22
Tackles
20
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽S. Mara
12'
45'+1
A. Sbai
45'+1
A. Sbai
45'+1
A. Sbai
B. Okoh
49'
51'
(missed pen.)
B. van den Boomen⚽
53'
P. Capelle
⚽S. Mara
· ast. L. Sinayoko
61'
62'
G. Koyalipou
/
P. Peter
62'
L. Mouton
/
P. Capelle
⚽L. Sinayoko
· ast. S. Mara
67'
L. Sinayoko
68'
71'
L. Machine
/
M. Louer
77'
(pen.)
G. Koyalipou⚽
G. Mensah
/ C. Akpa
78'
S. Mara
/ L. Coulibaly
79'
N. Ahamada
/ J. Casimir
79'
86'
C. Arcus
/
L. Raolisoa
86'
F. Hanin
/
B. van den Boomen
K. Danois
/ A. Diousse
87'
D. Namaso
/ M. Cissokho
90'+5
90'+6
C. Arcus
Pre-match prediction
58.73%
Auxerre ←
27.94%
X
13.33%
Angers
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Auxerre)
58.73%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.76
1.94
+0.18
0.72
2.12
+1.41
xG dominance was balanced (1.94 – 2.12).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
40
G
14
G. Mensah
78'
D
G. Mensah
78'
D
24
Bryan Okoh
D
Bryan Okoh
D
20
Sinaly Diomandé
D
Sinaly Diomandé
D
27
Lamine Sy
D
Lamine Sy
D
5
Kévin Danois
87'
M
Kévin Danois
87'
M
42
Elisha Owusu
M
Elisha Owusu
M
8
Naouirou Ahamada
79'
M
Naouirou Ahamada
79'
M
19
D. Namaso
89'
F
D. Namaso
89'
F
9
Sékou Mara
2 ⚽
1 👟
79'
F
Sékou Mara
2 ⚽
1 👟
79'
F
10
L. Sinayoko
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
L. Sinayoko
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
Bench
18
Assane Dioussé
10'
M
Assane Dioussé
10'
M
92
Clement Akpa
12'
D
Clement Akpa
12'
D
7
Josué Casimir
11'
F
Josué Casimir
11'
F
29
Marvin Senaya
D
Marvin Senaya
D
12
Hervé Koffi
G
Hervé Koffi
G
3
Jacques Ekomié
D
Jacques Ekomié
D
21
D
4
Ousmane Camara
D
Ousmane Camara
D
20
Marius Louer
71'
D
Marius Louer
71'
D
93
H. Belkebla
M
H. Belkebla
M
8
Branco Van den Boomen
86'
M
Branco Van den Boomen
86'
M
7
A. Sbai
46'
M
15
Pierrick Capelle
62'
M
Pierrick Capelle
62'
M
27
Lilian Raolisoa
86'
M
Lilian Raolisoa
86'
M
35
Prosper Peter
62'
F
Prosper Peter
62'
F
Bench
25
Abdoulaye Bamba
D
Abdoulaye Bamba
D
2
Carlens Arcus
11'
D
Carlens Arcus
11'
D
26
Florent Hanin
11'
D
Florent Hanin
11'
D
9
Goduine Koyalipou
1 ⚽
28'
F
Goduine Koyalipou
1 ⚽
28'
F
36
Lanroy Machine
19'
F
Lanroy Machine
19'
F
6
Louis Mouton
28'
M
Louis Mouton
28'
M
Best on the pitch
L. Sinayoko
F · Auxerre
9.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
5 shots
· 40 pass
Sékou Mara
F · Auxerre
8.90
2 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots
· 13 pass
G · Auxerre
7.90
· 33 pass
Goduine Koyalipou
F · Angers
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 3 pass
Elisha Owusu
M · Auxerre
7.20
1 shots
· 36 pass
Naouirou Ahamada
M · Auxerre
7.20
1 shots
· 43 pass
Auxerre — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 27% | — | — | — | |
| G. Mensah | D | 78 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 58 | 47% | 2 | — | — |
| Bryan Okoh | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 63 | 58% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Sinaly Diomandé | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 63 | 56% | 1 | — | — |
| Lamine Sy | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 32% | 4 | — | — |
| Kévin Danois | M | 87 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 46 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| Elisha Owusu | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 32% | 5 | — | — |
| Naouirou Ahamada | M | 79 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Namaso | F | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 35 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| Sékou Mara | F | 79 | 8.90 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 9% | — | — | — |
| L. Sinayoko | F | 90 | 9.50 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 40 | 36% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Assane Dioussé | M | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Clement Akpa | D | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Josué Casimir | F | 11 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
Angers — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hervé Koffi | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Jacques Ekomié | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 20% | 4 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 55 | 52% | 4 | — | — | |
| Ousmane Camara | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 3 | 50 | 44% | — | — | — |
| Marius Louer | D | 71 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 25% | 6 | — | — |
| H. Belkebla | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 42 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| Branco Van den Boomen | M | 86 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 47% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Sbai | M | 46 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 9% | — | 2 | 1 |
| Pierrick Capelle | M | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 17% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Lilian Raolisoa | M | 86 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Prosper Peter | F | 62 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Carlens Arcus | D | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| Florent Hanin | D | 11 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Goduine Koyalipou | F | 28 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Lanroy Machine | F | 19 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Louis Mouton | M | 28 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Auxerre vs Angers?
The final score was Auxerre 3–1 Angers.
What did the model predict before Auxerre vs Angers?
The model assigned 58% probability to a Auxerre win, 27% to a draw, and 13% to an Angers win.