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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 32 May 03, 2026 17:15 Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps, Auxerre
Auxerre
#12 · 10 pts
3 – 1
Final score
Angers
#14 · 8 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Auxerre
S. Mara 12'
S. Mara (ast. L. Sinayoko) 61'
L. Sinayoko (ast. S. Mara) 67'
(pen.) 77' G. Koyalipou
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Auxerre a 58% win probability (draw 27%, Angers 13%). The final result was Auxerre 3–1 Angers. In 2 previous meetings, Auxerre have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Angers.

Match statistics
16
Total shots
8
10
Shots on target
3
1.94
Actual xG
2.12
2
Saves
7
56%
Possession
44%
4
Corners
6
22
Tackles
20
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽S. Mara
12'
45'+1
A. Sbai
45'+1
A. Sbai
45'+1
A. Sbai
B. Okoh
49'
51'
(missed pen.) B. van den Boomen⚽
53'
P. Capelle
⚽S. Mara · ast. L. Sinayoko
61'
62'
G. Koyalipou / P. Peter ↕
62'
L. Mouton / P. Capelle ↕
⚽L. Sinayoko · ast. S. Mara
67'
L. Sinayoko
68'
71'
L. Machine / M. Louer ↕
77'
(pen.) G. Koyalipou⚽
↕ G. Mensah / C. Akpa
78'
↕ S. Mara / L. Coulibaly
79'
↕ N. Ahamada / J. Casimir
79'
86'
C. Arcus / L. Raolisoa ↕
86'
F. Hanin / B. van den Boomen ↕
↕ K. Danois / A. Diousse
87'
↕ D. Namaso / M. Cissokho
90'+5
90'+6
C. Arcus
Pre-match prediction
58.73%
Auxerre ←
27.94%
X
13.33%
Angers
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Auxerre) 58.73% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Auxerre
1.76
1.94
+0.18
Angers
0.72
2.12
+1.41
xG dominance was balanced (1.94 – 2.12). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 8 17
2 Rennes Rennes 8 16
3 Lille Lille 8 15
4 Monaco Monaco 8 15
5 Lyon Lyon 8 14
6 Paris FC Paris FC 8 14
7 Lens Lens 8 13
8 Marseille Marseille 8 12
9 Lorient Lorient 8 12
10 Nice Nice 8 11
11 Toulouse Toulouse 8 10
12 Auxerre Auxerre 8 10
13 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 8 9
14 Angers Angers 8 8
15 Le Mans Le Mans 8 7
16 Strasbourg Strasbourg 8 7
17 Estac Troyes Estac Troyes 8 5
18 Le Havre Le Havre 8 2
Lineups
Auxerre Auxerre 4-3-3
40
G 7.90
14 G. Mensah G. Mensah 78' D 6.50
24 Bryan Okoh Bryan Okoh D 6.90
20 S. Diomandé S. Diomandé D 6.90
27 L. Sy L. Sy D 6.90
5 K. Danois K. Danois 87' M 6.70
42 Elisha Owusu Elisha Owusu M 7.20
8 N. Ahamada N. Ahamada 79' M 7.20
19 D. Namaso D. Namaso 89' F 6.90
9 S. Mara S. Mara 2 ⚽ 1 👟 79' F 8.90
10 L. Sinayoko L. Sinayoko 1 ⚽ 1 👟 F 9.50
Bench
18 Assane Dioussé Assane Dioussé 10' M 6.70
92 C. Akpa C. Akpa 12' D 6.70
7 J. Casimir J. Casimir 11' F 6.90
29 Marvin Senaya Marvin Senaya D
Angers Angers 4-2-3-1
12 Hervé Koffi Hervé Koffi G 6.30
3 J. Ekomié J. Ekomié D 6.20
21
D 6.90
4 O. Camara O. Camara D 6.00
20 Marius Louër Marius Louër 71' D 6.90
93 H. Belkebla H. Belkebla M 6.30
8 B. van den Boomen B. van den Boomen 86' M 5.90
7 A. Sbaï A. Sbaï 46' M 5.90
15 Pierrick Capelle Pierrick Capelle 62' M 6.30
27 L. Rao-Lisoa L. Rao-Lisoa 86' M 6.30
35 P. Peter P. Peter 62' F 6.20
Bench
25 Abdoulaye Bamba Abdoulaye Bamba D
2 C. Arcus C. Arcus 11' D 6.70
26
F. Hanin 11' D 6.60
9 Goduine Koyalipou Goduine Koyalipou 1 ⚽ 28' F 7.20
36 Lanroy Machine Lanroy Machine 19' F 6.50
6 L. Mouton L. Mouton 28' M 6.90
Best on the pitch
L. Sinayoko
L. Sinayoko
F · Auxerre
9.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
5 shots · 40 pass
S. Mara
S. Mara
F · Auxerre
8.90
2 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots · 13 pass
G · Auxerre
7.90
· 33 pass
Goduine Koyalipou
Goduine Koyalipou
F · Angers
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 3 pass
Elisha Owusu
Elisha Owusu
M · Auxerre
7.20
1 shots · 36 pass
N. Ahamada
N. Ahamada
M · Auxerre
7.20
1 shots · 43 pass
Auxerre Auxerre — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.90 — — — 33 27% — — —
G. Mensah D 78 6.50 — — — 58 47% 2 — —
Bryan Okoh D 90 6.90 — — — 63 58% 2 1 —
S. Diomandé D 90 6.90 — — 1 63 56% 1 — —
L. Sy D 90 6.90 — — 1 34 32% 4 — —
K. Danois M 87 6.70 — — — 46 41% 1 — —
Elisha Owusu M 90 7.20 — — 1 36 32% 5 — —
N. Ahamada M 79 7.20 — — 1 43 38% 2 — —
D. Namaso F 89 6.90 — — 2 35 30% 2 — —
S. Mara F 79 8.90 2 1 4 13 9% — — —
L. Sinayoko F 90 9.50 1 1 5 40 36% 3 1 —
Assane Dioussé M 10 6.70 — — — 8 8% — — —
C. Akpa D 12 6.70 — — — 11 8% — — —
J. Casimir F 11 6.90 — — 1 11 10% — — —
Angers Angers — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Hervé Koffi G 90 6.30 — — — 24 17% — — —
J. Ekomié D 90 6.20 — — 1 25 20% 4 — —
D 90 6.90 — — — 55 52% 4 — —
O. Camara D 90 6.00 — — 3 50 44% — — —
Marius Louër D 71 6.90 — — — 28 25% 6 — —
H. Belkebla M 90 6.30 — — — 42 36% 1 — —
B. van den Boomen M 86 5.90 — — 1 56 47% 2 — —
A. Sbaï M 46 5.90 — — 1 13 9% — 2 1
Pierrick Capelle M 62 6.30 — — 1 21 17% 2 1 —
L. Rao-Lisoa M 86 6.30 — — — 26 18% 1 — —
P. Peter F 62 6.20 — — — 5 4% — — —
C. Arcus D 11 6.70 — — — 6 6% — 1 —
F. Hanin D 11 6.60 — — — 6 5% — — —
Goduine Koyalipou F 28 7.20 1 — 1 3 3% — — —
Lanroy Machine F 19 6.50 — — — 3 2% — — —
L. Mouton M 28 6.90 — — — 16 14% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Auxerre vs Angers?
The final score was Auxerre 3–1 Angers.
What did the model predict before Auxerre vs Angers?
The model assigned 58% probability to a Auxerre win, 27% to a draw, and 13% to an Angers win.