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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 32 May 03, 2026 17:15 Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps, Auxerre
Auxerre
#18 · 0 pts
3 – 1
Final score
Angers
#12 · 3 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Auxerre
S. Mara 12'
S. Mara (ast. L. Sinayoko) 61'
L. Sinayoko (ast. S. Mara) 67'
(pen.) 77' G. Koyalipou
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Auxerre a 58% win probability (draw 27%, Angers 13%). The final result was Auxerre 3–1 Angers. In 2 previous meetings, Auxerre have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Angers.

Match statistics
16
Total shots
8
10
Shots on target
3
1.94
Actual xG
2.12
2
Saves
7
56%
Possession
44%
4
Corners
6
22
Tackles
20
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽S. Mara
12'
45'+1
A. Sbai
45'+1
A. Sbai
45'+1
A. Sbai
B. Okoh
49'
51'
(missed pen.) B. van den Boomen⚽
53'
P. Capelle
⚽S. Mara · ast. L. Sinayoko
61'
62'
G. Koyalipou / P. Peter ↕
62'
L. Mouton / P. Capelle ↕
⚽L. Sinayoko · ast. S. Mara
67'
L. Sinayoko
68'
71'
L. Machine / M. Louer ↕
77'
(pen.) G. Koyalipou⚽
↕ G. Mensah / C. Akpa
78'
↕ S. Mara / L. Coulibaly
79'
↕ N. Ahamada / J. Casimir
79'
86'
C. Arcus / L. Raolisoa ↕
86'
F. Hanin / B. van den Boomen ↕
↕ K. Danois / A. Diousse
87'
↕ D. Namaso / M. Cissokho
90'+5
90'+6
C. Arcus
Pre-match prediction
58.73%
Auxerre ←
27.94%
X
13.33%
Angers
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Auxerre) 58.73% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Auxerre
1.76
1.94
+0.18
Angers
0.72
2.12
+1.41
xG dominance was balanced (1.94 – 2.12). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Monaco Monaco 4 10
2 Rennes Rennes 4 10
3 Paris FC Paris FC 3 7
4 Lyon Lyon 3 7
5 Lille Lille 3 7
6 Strasbourg Strasbourg 4 7
7 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 3 5
8 Lorient Lorient 3 4
9 Estac Troyes Estac Troyes 3 4
10 Lens Lens 3 3
11 Marseille Marseille 4 3
12 Angers Angers 3 3
13 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 3 2
14 Le Mans Le Mans 3 2
15 Nice Nice 3 2
16 Le Havre Le Havre 3 1
17 Toulouse Toulouse 3 1
18 Auxerre Auxerre 3 0
Lineups
Auxerre Auxerre 4-3-3
40
G 7.90
14 G. Mensah G. Mensah 78' D 6.50
24 Bryan Okoh Bryan Okoh D 6.90
20 S. Diomandé S. Diomandé D 6.90
27 L. Sy L. Sy D 6.90
5 K. Danois K. Danois 87' M 6.70
42 E. Owusu E. Owusu M 7.20
8 N. Ahamada N. Ahamada 79' M 7.20
19 D. Namaso D. Namaso 89' F 6.90
9 S. Mara S. Mara 2 ⚽ 1 👟 79' F 8.90
10 L. Sinayoko L. Sinayoko 1 ⚽ 1 👟 F 9.50
Bench
18 Assane Dioussé Assane Dioussé 10' M 6.70
92 C. Akpa C. Akpa 12' D 6.70
7 J. Casimir J. Casimir 11' F 6.90
29 Marvin Senaya Marvin Senaya D
Angers Angers 4-2-3-1
12 H. Koffi H. Koffi G 6.30
3 J. Ekomié J. Ekomié D 6.20
21
D 6.90
4 O. Camara O. Camara D 6.00
20 Marius Louër Marius Louër 71' D 6.90
93 Haris Belkebla Haris Belkebla M 6.30
8 B. van den Boomen B. van den Boomen 86' M 5.90
7 A. Sbaï A. Sbaï 46' M 5.90
15 Pierrick Capelle Pierrick Capelle 62' M 6.30
27 L. Rao-Lisoa L. Rao-Lisoa 86' M 6.30
35 P. Peter P. Peter 62' F 6.20
Bench
25 Abdoulaye Bamba Abdoulaye Bamba D
2 C. Arcus C. Arcus 11' D 6.70
26
Florent Hanin 11' D 6.60
9 G. Koyalipou G. Koyalipou 1 ⚽ 28' F 7.20
36 L. Machine L. Machine 19' F 6.50
6 Louis Mouton Louis Mouton 28' M 6.90
Best on the pitch
L. Sinayoko
L. Sinayoko
F · Auxerre
9.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
5 shots · 40 pass
S. Mara
S. Mara
F · Auxerre
8.90
2 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots · 13 pass
G · Auxerre
7.90
· 33 pass
G. Koyalipou
G. Koyalipou
F · Angers
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 3 pass
E. Owusu
E. Owusu
M · Auxerre
7.20
1 shots · 36 pass
N. Ahamada
N. Ahamada
M · Auxerre
7.20
1 shots · 43 pass
Auxerre Auxerre — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.90 — — — 33 27% — — —
G. Mensah D 78 6.50 — — — 58 47% 2 — —
Bryan Okoh D 90 6.90 — — — 63 58% 2 1 —
S. Diomandé D 90 6.90 — — 1 63 56% 1 — —
L. Sy D 90 6.90 — — 1 34 32% 4 — —
K. Danois M 87 6.70 — — — 46 41% 1 — —
E. Owusu M 90 7.20 — — 1 36 32% 5 — —
N. Ahamada M 79 7.20 — — 1 43 38% 2 — —
D. Namaso F 89 6.90 — — 2 35 30% 2 — —
S. Mara F 79 8.90 2 1 4 13 9% — — —
L. Sinayoko F 90 9.50 1 1 5 40 36% 3 1 —
Assane Dioussé M 10 6.70 — — — 8 8% — — —
C. Akpa D 12 6.70 — — — 11 8% — — —
J. Casimir F 11 6.90 — — 1 11 10% — — —
Angers Angers — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
H. Koffi G 90 6.30 — — — 24 17% — — —
J. Ekomié D 90 6.20 — — 1 25 20% 4 — —
D 90 6.90 — — — 55 52% 4 — —
O. Camara D 90 6.00 — — 3 50 44% — — —
Marius Louër D 71 6.90 — — — 28 25% 6 — —
Haris Belkebla M 90 6.30 — — — 42 36% 1 — —
B. van den Boomen M 86 5.90 — — 1 56 47% 2 — —
A. Sbaï M 46 5.90 — — 1 13 9% — 2 1
Pierrick Capelle M 62 6.30 — — 1 21 17% 2 1 —
L. Rao-Lisoa M 86 6.30 — — — 26 18% 1 — —
P. Peter F 62 6.20 — — — 5 4% — — —
C. Arcus D 11 6.70 — — — 6 6% — 1 —
Florent Hanin D 11 6.60 — — — 6 5% — — —
G. Koyalipou F 28 7.20 1 — 1 3 3% — — —
L. Machine F 19 6.50 — — — 3 2% — — —
Louis Mouton M 28 6.90 — — — 16 14% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Auxerre vs Angers?
The final score was Auxerre 3–1 Angers.
What did the model predict before Auxerre vs Angers?
The model assigned 58% probability to a Auxerre win, 27% to a draw, and 13% to an Angers win.