← Serie B
Serie B · Regular Season - 36 April 24, 2026 21:00
Avellino
#8 · 49 pts
2 – 0
Final score
Bari
#17 · 40 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Avellino
M. Besaggio 67'
M. Palumbo (ast. A. Favilli) 79'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Avellino a 56% win probability (draw 26%, Bari 17%). The final result was Avellino 2–0 Bari. In 1 previous meetings, Avellino have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Bari.

Match statistics
16
Total shots
6
6
Shots on target
0
2.64
Actual xG
0.41
0
Saves
5
60%
Possession
40%
8
Corners
4
18
Tackles
9
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
Cosimo Patierno
11'
28'
Balla Moussa Mane
46'
G. De Pieri / M. Mane ↕
66'
C. Gytkjaer / E. Rao ↕
66'
M. Cuni / G. Moncini ↕
⚽M. Besaggio
67'
↕ C. Patierno / A. Favilli
71'
Luca Palmiero
72'
⚽M. Palumbo · ast. A. Favilli
79'
80'
F. Artioli / G. Maggiore ↕
81'
Federico Artioli
81'
N. Bellomo / D. Nikolaou ↕
↕ M. Besaggio / F. Missori
86'
↕ R. Russo / G. Tutino
86'
↕ D. Sounas / A. Le Borgne
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
56.09%
Avellino ←
26.49%
X
17.42%
Bari
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Avellino) 56.09% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Avellino
1.73
2.64
+0.91
Bari
0.75
0.41
-0.34
Avellino dominated by xG (2.64 vs 0.41). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Venezia Venezia 38 82
2 Frosinone Frosinone 38 81
3 Monza Monza 38 76
4 Palermo Palermo 38 72
5 Catanzaro Catanzaro 38 59
6 Modena Modena 38 55
7 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 38 51
8 Avellino Avellino 38 49
9 Mantova Mantova 38 46
10 Padova Padova 38 46
11 Cesena Cesena 38 46
12 Carrarese Carrarese 38 44
13 Sampdoria Sampdoria 38 44
14 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 38 42
15 Empoli Empoli 38 41
16 Sudtirol Sudtirol 38 41
17 Bari Bari 38 40
18 Reggiana Reggiana 38 37
19 Spezia Spezia 38 35
20 Pescara Pescara 38 35
Lineups
Avellino Avellino 4-3-1-2
1 Antony Iannarilli Antony Iannarilli G 6.70
63 Alessandro Fontanarosa Alessandro Fontanarosa D 7.60
4 Armando Izzo Armando Izzo D 7.90
56
D 7.20
29 Tommaso Cancellotti Tommaso Cancellotti D 7.00
39 Michele Besaggio Michele Besaggio 1 ⚽ 86' M 7.70
6 Luca Palmiero Luca Palmiero M 7.90
24 Dimitrios Sounas Dimitrios Sounas 89' M 8.30
20 Martin Palumbo Martin Palumbo 1 ⚽ M 7.70
10 Raffaele Russo Raffaele Russo 86' F 7.70
9 Cosimo Patierno Cosimo Patierno 71' F 6.20
Bench
99
A. Favilli 1 👟 19' F 6.30
2 Filippo Missori Filippo Missori 9' D 7.20
16 Justin Kumi Justin Kumi M
94 Roberto Insigne Roberto Insigne F
14 Tommaso Biasci Tommaso Biasci F
Bari Bari 3-4-1-2
31
G 6.60
43
D. Nikolaou 80' D 6.20
26
C. Odenthal D 6.60
13
V. Mantovani D 6.90
28
K. Piscopo M 6.60
27
M. Braunoder M 6.90
18
Giulio Maggiore 80' M 7.00
30
Balla Moussa Mane 45' M 6.30
93 M. Dorval M. Dorval F 6.90
17
66' F 6.50
11 G. Moncini G. Moncini 66' F 6.70
Bench
66
D. Traore M
80
F. Artioli 10' M 6.30
24
L. Dickmann D
90
M. Cuni 24' F 6.50
8
R. Pagano M
Best on the pitch
Dimitrios Sounas
Dimitrios Sounas
M · Avellino
8.30
· 58 pass
Armando Izzo
Armando Izzo
D · Avellino
7.90
· 64 pass
Luca Palmiero
Luca Palmiero
M · Avellino
7.90
1 shots · 75 pass
Michele Besaggio
Michele Besaggio
M · Avellino
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots · 41 pass
Martin Palumbo
Martin Palumbo
M · Avellino
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots · 33 pass
Raffaele Russo
Raffaele Russo
F · Avellino
7.70
4 shots · 26 pass
Avellino Avellino — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Antony Iannarilli G 90 6.70 — — — 25 14% — — —
Alessandro Fontanarosa D 90 7.60 — — 2 45 38% 5 — —
Armando Izzo D 90 7.90 — — — 64 56% — — —
D 90 7.20 — — 1 48 43% 3 — —
Tommaso Cancellotti D 90 7.00 — — 1 53 46% 1 — —
Michele Besaggio M 86 7.70 1 — 3 41 38% 1 — —
Luca Palmiero M 90 7.90 — — 1 75 64% 1 1 —
Dimitrios Sounas M 89 8.30 — — — 58 51% 3 — —
Martin Palumbo M 90 7.70 1 — 2 33 26% — — —
Raffaele Russo F 86 7.70 — — 4 26 23% 3 — —
Cosimo Patierno F 71 6.20 — — 1 14 10% — 1 —
A. Favilli F 19 6.30 — 1 1 3 1% — — —
Filippo Missori D 9 7.20 — — — 4 3% 1 — —
Bari Bari — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.60 — — — 21 13% — — —
D. Nikolaou D 80 6.20 — — — 27 25% 1 — —
C. Odenthal D 90 6.60 — — — 36 31% 1 — —
V. Mantovani D 90 6.90 — — 2 33 27% — — —
K. Piscopo M 90 6.60 — — — 28 23% 2 — —
M. Braunoder M 90 6.90 — — 1 39 32% 2 — —
Giulio Maggiore M 80 7.00 — — — 38 31% — — —
Balla Moussa Mane M 45 6.30 — — — 13 8% 1 1 —
M. Dorval F 90 6.90 — — 1 37 29% 2 — —
F 66 6.50 — — 1 10 6% — — —
G. Moncini F 66 6.70 — — 1 11 7% — — —
F. Artioli M 10 6.30 — — — 6 6% — 1 —
M. Cuni F 24 6.50 — — — 5 5% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Avellino vs Bari?
The final score was Avellino 2–0 Bari.
What did the model predict before Avellino vs Bari?
The model assigned 56% probability to a Avellino win, 26% to a draw, and 17% to an Bari win.