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Serie B · Regular Season - 36 April 24, 2026 21:00 Partenio-Adriano Lombardi, Avellino
Avellino
#9 · 12 pts
2 – 0
Final score
Bari
✓Model correct — prediction Avellino
M. Besaggio 67'
M. Palumbo (ast. A. Favilli) 79'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Avellino a 56% win probability (draw 26%, Bari 17%). The final result was Avellino 2–0 Bari. In 1 previous meetings, Avellino have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Bari.

Match statistics
16
Total shots
6
6
Shots on target
0
2.64
Actual xG
0.41
0
Saves
5
60%
Possession
40%
8
Corners
4
18
Tackles
9
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
Cosimo Patierno
11'
28'
Balla Moussa Mane
46'
G. De Pieri / M. Mane ↕
66'
C. Gytkjaer / E. Rao ↕
66'
M. Cuni / G. Moncini ↕
⚽M. Besaggio
67'
↕ C. Patierno / A. Favilli
71'
Luca Palmiero
72'
⚽M. Palumbo · ast. A. Favilli
79'
80'
F. Artioli / G. Maggiore ↕
81'
Federico Artioli
81'
N. Bellomo / D. Nikolaou ↕
↕ M. Besaggio / F. Missori
86'
↕ R. Russo / G. Tutino
86'
↕ D. Sounas / A. Le Borgne
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
56.09%
Avellino ←
26.49%
X
17.42%
Bari
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Avellino) 56.09% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Avellino
1.73
2.64
+0.91
Bari
0.75
0.41
-0.34
Avellino dominated by xG (2.64 vs 0.41). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Palermo Palermo 9 23
2 Modena Modena 9 19
3 Ascoli Ascoli 9 18
4 Mantova Mantova 9 17
5 Benevento Benevento 9 15
6 Pisa Pisa 9 15
7 Padova Padova 9 13
8 Sudtirol Sudtirol 9 13
9 Avellino Avellino 9 12
10 Cesena Cesena 9 11
11 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 9 10
12 Arezzo Arezzo 8 10
13 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 8 9
14 Cremonese Cremonese 9 9
15 Vicenza Virtus Vicenza Virtus 9 9
16 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 8 8
17 Empoli Empoli 9 7
18 Carrarese Carrarese 8 7
19 Sampdoria Sampdoria 9 5
20 Catanzaro Catanzaro 9 5
Lineups
Avellino Avellino 4-3-1-2
1 A. Iannarilli A. Iannarilli G 6.70
63 Alessandro Fontanarosa Alessandro Fontanarosa D 7.60
4 A. Izzo A. Izzo D 7.90
56
D 7.20
29 T. Cancellotti T. Cancellotti D 7.00
39 M. Besaggio M. Besaggio 1 ⚽ 86' M 7.70
6 L. Palmiero L. Palmiero M 7.90
24 D. Sounas D. Sounas 89' M 8.30
20 M. Palumbo M. Palumbo 1 ⚽ M 7.70
10 R. Russo R. Russo 86' F 7.70
9 Cosimo Patierno Cosimo Patierno 71' F 6.20
Bench
99 A. Favilli A. Favilli 1 👟 19' F 6.30
2 F. Missori F. Missori 9' D 7.20
16 J. Kumi J. Kumi M
94 Roberto Insigne Roberto Insigne F
14 T. Biasci T. Biasci F
Bari Bari 3-4-1-2
31
G 6.60
43 D. Nikolaou D. Nikolaou 80' D 6.20
26 C. Odenthal C. Odenthal D 6.60
13 Valerio Mantovani Valerio Mantovani D 6.90
28 K. Piscopo K. Piscopo M 6.60
27 M. Braunöder M. Braunöder M 6.90
18 Giulio Maggiore Giulio Maggiore 80' M 7.00
30 Moussa Mane Moussa Mane 45' M 6.30
93 M. Dorval M. Dorval F 6.90
17
66' F 6.50
11 G. Moncini G. Moncini 66' F 6.70
Bench
66 D. Traoré D. Traoré M
80 F. Artioli F. Artioli 10' M 6.30
24 L. Dickmann L. Dickmann D
90 Marvin Çuni Marvin Çuni 24' F 6.50
8 R. Pagano R. Pagano M
Best on the pitch
D. Sounas
D. Sounas
M · Avellino
8.30
· 58 pass
A. Izzo
A. Izzo
D · Avellino
7.90
· 64 pass
L. Palmiero
L. Palmiero
M · Avellino
7.90
1 shots · 75 pass
M. Besaggio
M. Besaggio
M · Avellino
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots · 41 pass
M. Palumbo
M. Palumbo
M · Avellino
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots · 33 pass
R. Russo
R. Russo
F · Avellino
7.70
4 shots · 26 pass
Avellino Avellino — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Iannarilli G 90 6.70 — — — 25 14% — — —
Alessandro Fontanarosa D 90 7.60 — — 2 45 38% 5 — —
A. Izzo D 90 7.90 — — — 64 56% — — —
D 90 7.20 — — 1 48 43% 3 — —
T. Cancellotti D 90 7.00 — — 1 53 46% 1 — —
M. Besaggio M 86 7.70 1 — 3 41 38% 1 — —
L. Palmiero M 90 7.90 — — 1 75 64% 1 1 —
D. Sounas M 89 8.30 — — — 58 51% 3 — —
M. Palumbo M 90 7.70 1 — 2 33 26% — — —
R. Russo F 86 7.70 — — 4 26 23% 3 — —
Cosimo Patierno F 71 6.20 — — 1 14 10% — 1 —
A. Favilli F 19 6.30 — 1 1 3 1% — — —
F. Missori D 9 7.20 — — — 4 3% 1 — —
Bari Bari — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.60 — — — 21 13% — — —
D. Nikolaou D 80 6.20 — — — 27 25% 1 — —
C. Odenthal D 90 6.60 — — — 36 31% 1 — —
Valerio Mantovani D 90 6.90 — — 2 33 27% — — —
K. Piscopo M 90 6.60 — — — 28 23% 2 — —
M. Braunöder M 90 6.90 — — 1 39 32% 2 — —
Giulio Maggiore M 80 7.00 — — — 38 31% — — —
Moussa Mane M 45 6.30 — — — 13 8% 1 1 —
M. Dorval F 90 6.90 — — 1 37 29% 2 — —
F 66 6.50 — — 1 10 6% — — —
G. Moncini F 66 6.70 — — 1 11 7% — — —
F. Artioli M 10 6.30 — — — 6 6% — 1 —
Marvin Çuni F 24 6.50 — — — 5 5% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Avellino vs Bari?
The final score was Avellino 2–0 Bari.
What did the model predict before Avellino vs Bari?
The model assigned 56% probability to a Avellino win, 26% to a draw, and 17% to an Bari win.