✓Model correct — prediction Avellino
M. Besaggio
67'
M. Palumbo
(ast. A. Favilli)
79'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Avellino a 56% win probability (draw 26%, Bari 17%). The final result was Avellino 2–0 Bari. In 1 previous meetings, Avellino have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Bari.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
6
6
Shots on target
0
2.64
Actual xG
0.41
0
Saves
5
60%
Possession
40%
8
Corners
4
18
Tackles
9
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
Cosimo Patierno
11'
28'
Balla Moussa Mane
46'
G. De Pieri
/
M. Mane
66'
C. Gytkjaer
/
E. Rao
66'
M. Cuni
/
G. Moncini
⚽M. Besaggio
67'
C. Patierno
/ A. Favilli
71'
Luca Palmiero
72'
⚽M. Palumbo
· ast. A. Favilli
79'
80'
F. Artioli
/
G. Maggiore
81'
Federico Artioli
81'
N. Bellomo
/
D. Nikolaou
M. Besaggio
/ F. Missori
86'
R. Russo
/ G. Tutino
86'
D. Sounas
/ A. Le Borgne
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
56.09%
Avellino ←
26.49%
X
17.42%
Bari
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Avellino)
56.09%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.73
2.64
+0.91
0.75
0.41
-0.34
Avellino dominated by xG (2.64 vs 0.41).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Antony Iannarilli
G
Antony Iannarilli
G
63
A. Fontanarosa
D
A. Fontanarosa
D
4
Armando Izzo
D
Armando Izzo
D
56
D
29
Tommaso Cancellotti
D
Tommaso Cancellotti
D
39
Michele Besaggio
1 ⚽
86'
M
Michele Besaggio
1 ⚽
86'
M
6
L. Palmiero
M
L. Palmiero
M
24
Dimitrios Sounas
89'
M
Dimitrios Sounas
89'
M
20
Martin Palumbo
1 ⚽
M
Martin Palumbo
1 ⚽
M
10
Raffaele Russo
86'
F
Raffaele Russo
86'
F
9
Cosimo Patierno
71'
F
Cosimo Patierno
71'
F
Bench
99
A. Favilli
1 👟
19'
F
2
Filippo Missori
9'
D
Filippo Missori
9'
D
16
Justin Kumi
M
Justin Kumi
M
94
Roberto Insigne
F
Roberto Insigne
F
14
T. Biasci
F
T. Biasci
F
31
G
43
Dimitrios Nikolaou
80'
D
Dimitrios Nikolaou
80'
D
26
Cas Odenthal
D
Cas Odenthal
D
13
Valerio Mantovani
D
Valerio Mantovani
D
28
Kevin Piscopo
M
Kevin Piscopo
M
27
Matthias Braunöder
M
Matthias Braunöder
M
18
Giulio Maggiore
80'
M
Giulio Maggiore
80'
M
30
Moussa Mane
45'
M
Moussa Mane
45'
M
93
M. Dorval
F
M. Dorval
F
17
66'
F
11
G. Moncini
66'
F
G. Moncini
66'
F
Bench
66
Daouda Traore
M
Daouda Traore
M
80
Federico Artioli
10'
M
Federico Artioli
10'
M
24
Lorenzo Dickmann
D
Lorenzo Dickmann
D
90
Marvin Çuni
24'
F
Marvin Çuni
24'
F
8
Riccardo Pagano
M
Riccardo Pagano
M
Best on the pitch
Dimitrios Sounas
M · Avellino
8.30
· 58 pass
Armando Izzo
D · Avellino
7.90
· 64 pass
L. Palmiero
M · Avellino
7.90
1 shots
· 75 pass
Michele Besaggio
M · Avellino
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 41 pass
Martin Palumbo
M · Avellino
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 33 pass
Raffaele Russo
F · Avellino
7.70
4 shots
· 26 pass
Avellino — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antony Iannarilli | G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 25 | 14% | — | — | — |
| A. Fontanarosa | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | 2 | 45 | 38% | 5 | — | — |
| Armando Izzo | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 64 | 56% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 43% | 3 | — | — | |
| Tommaso Cancellotti | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| Michele Besaggio | M | 86 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 3 | 41 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Palmiero | M | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 75 | 64% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Dimitrios Sounas | M | 89 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 58 | 51% | 3 | — | — |
| Martin Palumbo | M | 90 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 33 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Raffaele Russo | F | 86 | 7.70 | — | — | 4 | 26 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| Cosimo Patierno | F | 71 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Favilli | F | 19 | 6.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Filippo Missori | D | 9 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Bari — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 21 | 13% | — | — | — | |
| Dimitrios Nikolaou | D | 80 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Cas Odenthal | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Valerio Mantovani | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 33 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Kevin Piscopo | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 28 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| Matthias Braunöder | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| Giulio Maggiore | M | 80 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 38 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Moussa Mane | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 8% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Dorval | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| F | 66 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 6% | — | — | — | |
| G. Moncini | F | 66 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Federico Artioli | M | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| Marvin Çuni | F | 24 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Avellino vs Bari?
The final score was Avellino 2–0 Bari.
What did the model predict before Avellino vs Bari?
The model assigned 56% probability to a Avellino win, 26% to a draw, and 17% to an Bari win.