← Eredivisie
Eredivisie · Regular Season - 30 April 12, 2026 18:45
AZ Alkmaar
#6 · 51 pts
3 – 0
Final score
Heerenveen
#8 · 50 pts
S. Mijnans (ast. M. de Wit) 7'
S. Mijnans 8'
T. Parrott (ast. K. Smit) 71'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave AZ Alkmaar a 53% win probability (draw 21%, Heerenveen 25%). The final result was AZ Alkmaar 3–0 Heerenveen. In 1 previous meetings, AZ Alkmaar have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Heerenveen.

Match statistics
18
Total shots
4
10
Shots on target
1
1.81
Actual xG
0.64
1
Saves
7
58%
Possession
42%
6
Corners
6
18
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽S. Mijnans · ast. M. de Wit
7'
⚽S. Mijnans
8'
22'
42'
Oliver Braude
↕ J. Clasie / K. Boogaard
46'
46'
D. Vente / L. Nordas ↕
Mees de Wit
55'
⚽T. Parrott · ast. K. Smit
71'
↕ M. de Wit / M. Chavez Garcia
75'
↕ R. Daal / Weslley Patati
75'
76'
L. Brouwers / R. Meerveld ↕
76'
M. Egbring / V. Zagaritis ↕
80'
H. Petrov / M. Willemsen ↕
80'
L. Oyen / M. Rivera ↕
↕ K. Smit / M. Sin
83'
↕ T. Parrott / M. Meerdink
83'
Pre-match prediction
53.32%
AZ ←
21.58%
X
25.1%
Heerenveen
we assigned to the actual result (AZ Alkmaar) 53.32% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
AZ
2.07
1.81
-0.26
Heerenveen
1.44
0.64
-0.8
AZ Alkmaar dominated by xG (1.81 vs 0.64). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Roda Roda 1 1
1 Willem II Willem II 1 3
1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 33 81
2 Feyenoord Feyenoord 33 62
2 Waalwijk Waalwijk 1 1
2 Waalwijk Waalwijk 1 0
3 Twente Twente 33 58
4 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 33 56
5 Ajax Ajax 33 55
6 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 33 51
7 Utrecht Utrecht 33 50
8 Heerenveen Heerenveen 33 50
9 Groningen Groningen 33 45
10 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 33 43
11 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 33 39
12 GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles 33 38
13 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 33 37
14 Excelsior Excelsior 33 35
15 Telstar Telstar 33 34
16 FC Volendam FC Volendam 33 32
17 NAC Breda NAC Breda 33 28
18 Heracles Heracles 33 19
Lineups
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 4-2-3-1
1 Rome Jayden Owusu-Oduro Rome Jayden Owusu-Oduro G 7.00
34 M. de Wit M. de Wit 1 👟 75' D 6.90
5 Alexandre Penetra Alexandre Penetra D 7.30
3
D 7.60
22 Elijah Dijkstra Elijah Dijkstra D 8.20
26 K. Smit K. Smit 1 👟 83' M 7.20
8 Jordy Clasie Jordy Clasie 45' M 6.90
27 R. Daal R. Daal 75' M 7.50
10 S. Mijnans S. Mijnans 2 ⚽ M 9.90
17 I. Jensen I. Jensen M 7.50
9 T. Parrott T. Parrott 1 ⚽ 83' F 7.60
Bench
24
A. Oufkir F
23 Billy van Duijl Billy van Duijl D
11 I. Sadiq I. Sadiq F
20 Kasper Boogaard Kasper Boogaard 50' M 6.70
33 Matěj Šín Matěj Šín 12' M 6.30
15 Mateo Chávez Mateo Chávez 20' D 6.90
35 Mexx Meerdink Mexx Meerdink 12' F 6.30
18 Rion Ichihara Rion Ichihara D
2 Seiya Maikuma Seiya Maikuma D
7 Weslley Patati Weslley Patati 20' F 6.60
Heerenveen Heerenveen 4-2-3-1
22 Bernt Klaverboer Bernt Klaverboer G 7.20
19 Vasilios Zagaritis Vasilios Zagaritis 76' D 6.00
3 Maas Willemsen Maas Willemsen 80' D 6.20
4
D 6.70
45 O. Braude O. Braude D 6.20
6 J. van Overeem J. van Overeem M 6.20
16 Marcus Linday Marcus Linday M 6.50
7 M. Rivera M. Rivera 80' M 6.00
10 Ringo Meerveld Ringo Meerveld 76' M 6.20
20 J. Trenskow J. Trenskow M 6.00
18 Lasse Selvåg Nordås Lasse Selvåg Nordås 45' F 5.90
Bench
9 Dylan Vente Dylan Vente 50' F 6.90
11 Luca Oyen Luca Oyen 15' F 6.90
8 Luuk Brouwers Luuk Brouwers 19' M 6.50
Best on the pitch
S. Mijnans
S. Mijnans
M · AZ
9.90
2 ⚽
3 shots · 58 pass
Elijah Dijkstra
Elijah Dijkstra
D · AZ
8.20
1 shots · 64 pass
T. Parrott
T. Parrott
F · AZ
7.60
1 ⚽
3 shots · 28 pass
D · AZ
7.60
· 64 pass
I. Jensen
I. Jensen
M · AZ
7.50
2 shots · 35 pass
R. Daal
R. Daal
M · AZ
7.50
3 shots · 33 pass
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Rome Jayden Owusu-Oduro G 95 7.00 — — — 28 16% — — —
M. de Wit D 75 6.90 — 1 1 44 40% 2 1 —
Alexandre Penetra D 95 7.30 — — — 66 58% 1 — —
D 95 7.60 — — — 64 58% 2 — —
Elijah Dijkstra D 95 8.20 — — 1 64 61% 3 — —
K. Smit M 83 7.20 — 1 2 51 43% 5 — —
Jordy Clasie M 45 6.90 — — — 31 29% 2 — —
R. Daal M 75 7.50 — — 3 33 27% — — —
S. Mijnans M 95 9.90 2 — 3 58 45% 3 — —
I. Jensen M 95 7.50 — — 2 35 33% — — —
T. Parrott F 83 7.60 1 — 3 28 21% — — —
Kasper Boogaard M 50 6.70 — — — 18 14% — — —
Matěj Šín M 12 6.30 — — — 4 4% — — —
Mateo Chávez D 20 6.90 — — — 7 6% — — —
Mexx Meerdink F 12 6.30 — — 2 1 — — — —
Weslley Patati F 20 6.60 — — 1 6 5% — — —
Heerenveen Heerenveen — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Bernt Klaverboer G 95 7.20 — — — 42 24% — — —
Vasilios Zagaritis D 76 6.00 — — — 34 30% 1 — —
Maas Willemsen D 80 6.20 — — — 57 54% 1 — —
D 95 6.70 — — — 40 35% 1 — —
O. Braude D 95 6.20 — — 1 31 22% 4 1 —
J. van Overeem M 95 6.20 — — — 42 38% 1 — —
Marcus Linday M 95 6.50 — — — 42 38% 3 — —
M. Rivera M 80 6.00 — — — 20 17% — — —
Ringo Meerveld M 76 6.20 — — 1 29 27% 1 — —
J. Trenskow M 95 6.00 — — — 22 17% — — —
Lasse Selvåg Nordås F 45 5.90 — — — 10 3% — — —
Dylan Vente F 50 6.90 — — 2 9 5% 1 — —
Luca Oyen F 15 6.90 — — — 2 2% — — —
Luuk Brouwers M 19 6.50 — — — 4 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of AZ Alkmaar vs Heerenveen?
The final score was AZ Alkmaar 3–0 Heerenveen.
What did the model predict before AZ Alkmaar vs Heerenveen?
The model assigned 53% probability to a AZ Alkmaar win, 21% to a draw, and 25% to an Heerenveen win.