S. Mijnans
(ast. M. de Wit)
7'
S. Mijnans
8'
T. Parrott
(ast. K. Smit)
71'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave AZ Alkmaar a 53% win probability (draw 21%, Heerenveen 25%). The final result was AZ Alkmaar 3–0 Heerenveen. In 2 previous meetings, AZ Alkmaar have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Heerenveen.
Match statistics
18
Total shots
4
10
Shots on target
1
1.81
Actual xG
0.64
1
Saves
7
58%
Possession
42%
6
Corners
6
18
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽S. Mijnans
· ast. M. de Wit
7'
⚽S. Mijnans
8'
22'
42'
Oliver Braude
J. Clasie
/ K. Boogaard
46'
46'
D. Vente
/
L. Nordas
Mees de Wit
55'
⚽T. Parrott
· ast. K. Smit
71'
M. de Wit
/ M. Chavez Garcia
75'
R. Daal
/ Weslley Patati
75'
76'
L. Brouwers
/
R. Meerveld
76'
M. Egbring
/
V. Zagaritis
80'
H. Petrov
/
M. Willemsen
80'
L. Oyen
/
M. Rivera
K. Smit
/ M. Sin
83'
T. Parrott
/ M. Meerdink
83'
Pre-match prediction
53.32%
AZ ←
21.58%
X
25.1%
Heerenveen
we assigned to the actual result (AZ Alkmaar)
53.32%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.07
1.81
-0.26
1.44
0.64
-0.8
AZ Alkmaar dominated by xG (1.81 vs 0.64).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
R. Owusu-Oduro
G
R. Owusu-Oduro
G
34
M. de Wit
1 👟
75'
D
M. de Wit
1 👟
75'
D
5
Alexandre Penetra
D
Alexandre Penetra
D
3
D
22
E. Dijkstra
D
E. Dijkstra
D
26
K. Smit
1 👟
83'
M
K. Smit
1 👟
83'
M
8
J. Clasie
45'
M
J. Clasie
45'
M
27
R. Daal
75'
M
R. Daal
75'
M
10
S. Mijnans
2 ⚽
M
S. Mijnans
2 ⚽
M
17
I. Jensen
M
I. Jensen
M
9
T. Parrott
1 ⚽
83'
F
T. Parrott
1 ⚽
83'
F
Bench
24
A. Oufkir
F
A. Oufkir
F
23
B. van Duijl
D
B. van Duijl
D
11
I. Sadiq
F
I. Sadiq
F
20
Kasper Boogaard
50'
M
Kasper Boogaard
50'
M
15
M. Chávez
20'
D
M. Chávez
20'
D
35
M. Meerdink
12'
F
M. Meerdink
12'
F
33
M. Šín
12'
M
M. Šín
12'
M
18
R. Ichihara
D
R. Ichihara
D
2
S. Maikuma
D
S. Maikuma
D
7
Weslley Patati
20'
F
Weslley Patati
20'
F
22
Bernt Klaverboer
G
Bernt Klaverboer
G
19
Vasilios Zagaritis
76'
D
Vasilios Zagaritis
76'
D
3
Maas Willemsen
80'
D
Maas Willemsen
80'
D
4
D
45
Oliver Braude
D
Oliver Braude
D
6
J. van Overeem
M
J. van Overeem
M
16
Marcus Linday
M
Marcus Linday
M
7
Maxence Rivera
80'
M
Maxence Rivera
80'
M
10
Ringo Meerveld
76'
M
Ringo Meerveld
76'
M
20
Jacob Trenskow
M
Jacob Trenskow
M
18
L. Nordås
45'
F
L. Nordås
45'
F
Bench
9
Dylan Vente
50'
F
Dylan Vente
50'
F
8
L. Brouwers
19'
M
11
Luca Oyen
15'
F
Luca Oyen
15'
F
Best on the pitch
S. Mijnans
M · AZ
9.90
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 58 pass
E. Dijkstra
D · AZ
8.20
1 shots
· 64 pass
D · AZ
7.60
· 64 pass
T. Parrott
F · AZ
7.60
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 28 pass
R. Daal
M · AZ
7.50
3 shots
· 33 pass
I. Jensen
M · AZ
7.50
2 shots
· 35 pass
AZ Alkmaar — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Owusu-Oduro | G | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 28 | 16% | — | — | — |
| M. de Wit | D | 75 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 44 | 40% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Alexandre Penetra | D | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 66 | 58% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 95 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 64 | 58% | 2 | — | — | |
| E. Dijkstra | D | 95 | 8.20 | — | — | 1 | 64 | 61% | 3 | — | — |
| K. Smit | M | 83 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 51 | 43% | 5 | — | — |
| J. Clasie | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Daal | M | 75 | 7.50 | — | — | 3 | 33 | 27% | — | — | — |
| S. Mijnans | M | 95 | 9.90 | 2 | — | 3 | 58 | 45% | 3 | — | — |
| I. Jensen | M | 95 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 35 | 33% | — | — | — |
| T. Parrott | F | 83 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 3 | 28 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Kasper Boogaard | M | 50 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| M. Chávez | D | 20 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| M. Meerdink | F | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| M. Šín | M | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Weslley Patati | F | 20 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
Heerenveen — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bernt Klaverboer | G | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 42 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Vasilios Zagaritis | D | 76 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 34 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Maas Willemsen | D | 80 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 57 | 54% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 40 | 35% | 1 | — | — | |
| Oliver Braude | D | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 22% | 4 | 1 | — |
| J. van Overeem | M | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 42 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| Marcus Linday | M | 95 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 42 | 38% | 3 | — | — |
| Maxence Rivera | M | 80 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Ringo Meerveld | M | 76 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Jacob Trenskow | M | 95 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | — | — | — |
| L. Nordås | F | 45 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Dylan Vente | F | 50 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Brouwers | M | 19 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Luca Oyen | F | 15 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of AZ Alkmaar vs Heerenveen?
The final score was AZ Alkmaar 3–0 Heerenveen.
What did the model predict before AZ Alkmaar vs Heerenveen?
The model assigned 53% probability to a AZ Alkmaar win, 21% to a draw, and 25% to an Heerenveen win.