S. Mijnans
(ast. M. de Wit)
7'
S. Mijnans
8'
T. Parrott
(ast. K. Smit)
71'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave AZ Alkmaar a 53% win probability (draw 21%, Heerenveen 25%). The final result was AZ Alkmaar 3–0 Heerenveen. In 1 previous meetings, AZ Alkmaar have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Heerenveen.
Match statistics
18
Total shots
4
10
Shots on target
1
1.81
Actual xG
0.64
1
Saves
7
58%
Possession
42%
6
Corners
6
18
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽S. Mijnans
· ast. M. de Wit
7'
⚽S. Mijnans
8'
22'
42'
Oliver Braude
J. Clasie
/ K. Boogaard
46'
46'
D. Vente
/
L. Nordas
Mees de Wit
55'
⚽T. Parrott
· ast. K. Smit
71'
M. de Wit
/ M. Chavez Garcia
75'
R. Daal
/ Weslley Patati
75'
76'
L. Brouwers
/
R. Meerveld
76'
M. Egbring
/
V. Zagaritis
80'
H. Petrov
/
M. Willemsen
80'
L. Oyen
/
M. Rivera
K. Smit
/ M. Sin
83'
T. Parrott
/ M. Meerdink
83'
Pre-match prediction
53.32%
AZ ←
21.58%
X
25.1%
Heerenveen
we assigned to the actual result (AZ Alkmaar)
53.32%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.07
1.81
-0.26
1.44
0.64
-0.8
AZ Alkmaar dominated by xG (1.81 vs 0.64).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Rome Jayden Owusu-Oduro
G
Rome Jayden Owusu-Oduro
G
34
M. de Wit
1 👟
75'
D
M. de Wit
1 👟
75'
D
5
Alexandre Penetra
D
Alexandre Penetra
D
3
D
22
Elijah Dijkstra
D
Elijah Dijkstra
D
26
K. Smit
1 👟
83'
M
K. Smit
1 👟
83'
M
8
Jordy Clasie
45'
M
Jordy Clasie
45'
M
27
R. Daal
75'
M
R. Daal
75'
M
10
S. Mijnans
2 ⚽
M
S. Mijnans
2 ⚽
M
17
I. Jensen
M
I. Jensen
M
9
T. Parrott
1 ⚽
83'
F
T. Parrott
1 ⚽
83'
F
Bench
24
Ayoub Oufkir
F
Ayoub Oufkir
F
23
Billy van Duijl
D
Billy van Duijl
D
11
I. Sadiq
F
I. Sadiq
F
20
K. Boogaard
50'
M
K. Boogaard
50'
M
33
Matěj Šín
12'
M
Matěj Šín
12'
M
15
Mateo Chávez
20'
D
Mateo Chávez
20'
D
35
Mexx Meerdink
12'
F
Mexx Meerdink
12'
F
18
Rion Ichihara
D
Rion Ichihara
D
2
Seiya Maikuma
D
Seiya Maikuma
D
7
Weslley Patati
20'
F
Weslley Patati
20'
F
22
Bernt Klaverboer
G
Bernt Klaverboer
G
19
Vasilios Zagaritis
76'
D
Vasilios Zagaritis
76'
D
3
Maas Willemsen
80'
D
Maas Willemsen
80'
D
4
D
45
O. Braude
D
O. Braude
D
6
J. van Overeem
M
J. van Overeem
M
16
M. Linday
M
M. Linday
M
7
M. Rivera
80'
M
M. Rivera
80'
M
10
Ringo Meerveld
76'
M
Ringo Meerveld
76'
M
20
J. Trenskow
M
J. Trenskow
M
18
Lasse Selvåg Nordås
45'
F
Lasse Selvåg Nordås
45'
F
Bench
9
Dylan Vente
50'
F
Dylan Vente
50'
F
11
Luca Oyen
15'
F
Luca Oyen
15'
F
8
Luuk Brouwers
19'
M
Luuk Brouwers
19'
M
Best on the pitch
S. Mijnans
M · AZ
9.90
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 58 pass
Elijah Dijkstra
D · AZ
8.20
1 shots
· 64 pass
T. Parrott
F · AZ
7.60
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 28 pass
D · AZ
7.60
· 64 pass
I. Jensen
M · AZ
7.50
2 shots
· 35 pass
R. Daal
M · AZ
7.50
3 shots
· 33 pass
AZ Alkmaar — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rome Jayden Owusu-Oduro | G | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 28 | 16% | — | — | — |
| M. de Wit | D | 75 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 44 | 40% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Alexandre Penetra | D | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 66 | 58% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 95 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 64 | 58% | 2 | — | — | |
| Elijah Dijkstra | D | 95 | 8.20 | — | — | 1 | 64 | 61% | 3 | — | — |
| K. Smit | M | 83 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 51 | 43% | 5 | — | — |
| Jordy Clasie | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Daal | M | 75 | 7.50 | — | — | 3 | 33 | 27% | — | — | — |
| S. Mijnans | M | 95 | 9.90 | 2 | — | 3 | 58 | 45% | 3 | — | — |
| I. Jensen | M | 95 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 35 | 33% | — | — | — |
| T. Parrott | F | 83 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 3 | 28 | 21% | — | — | — |
| K. Boogaard | M | 50 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Matěj Šín | M | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Mateo Chávez | D | 20 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Mexx Meerdink | F | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Weslley Patati | F | 20 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
Heerenveen — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bernt Klaverboer | G | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 42 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Vasilios Zagaritis | D | 76 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 34 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Maas Willemsen | D | 80 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 57 | 54% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 40 | 35% | 1 | — | — | |
| O. Braude | D | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 22% | 4 | 1 | — |
| J. van Overeem | M | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 42 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Linday | M | 95 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 42 | 38% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Rivera | M | 80 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Ringo Meerveld | M | 76 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Trenskow | M | 95 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Lasse Selvåg Nordås | F | 45 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Dylan Vente | F | 50 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Luca Oyen | F | 15 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Luuk Brouwers | M | 19 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of AZ Alkmaar vs Heerenveen?
The final score was AZ Alkmaar 3–0 Heerenveen.
What did the model predict before AZ Alkmaar vs Heerenveen?
The model assigned 53% probability to a AZ Alkmaar win, 21% to a draw, and 25% to an Heerenveen win.