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Czech Liga · Relegation Group - 1 May 02, 2026 15:00
Baník Ostrava
#6 · 23 pts
0 – 0
Final score
Mlada Boleslav
#2 · 37 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Mlada Boleslav, result Pareggio

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Mlada Boleslav a 55% win probability (draw 21%, Baník Ostrava 23%). The final result was Baník Ostrava 0–0 Mlada Boleslav. In 2 previous meetings, Baník Ostrava have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Mlada Boleslav.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
7
4
Shots on target
3
0.44
Actual xG
0.45
3
Saves
4
32%
Possession
68%
6
Corners
4
15
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
26'
C. Kabongo
↕ O. Kricfalusi / J. Boula
27'
D. Planka
30'
M. Chalus
35'
43'
M. Sevcik
↕ F. Sancl / A. Musak
46'
58'
R. Macek
↕ S. Plavsic / D. Owusu
61'
↕ V. Sinyavskiy / D. Holzer
61'
65'
J. Kolarik / S. John ↕
69'
D. Kostka / F. Matousek ↕
↕ V. Jurecka / J. Pira
83'
83'
J. Klima / C. Kabongo ↕
84'
J. Zika / D. Kozel ↕
84'
F. Lehky / M. Sevcik ↕
87'
M. Kralik
Pre-match prediction
23.08%
Baník
21.8%
X ←
55.12%
Mlada
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 21.8% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Baník
0.96
0.44
-0.52
Mlada
2.08
0.45
-1.63
xG dominance was balanced (0.44 – 0.45). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Zlin Zlin 33 38
1 Slavia Praha Slavia Praha 33 77
1 Slavia Praha Slavia Praha 30 71
2 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 33 70
2 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 33 37
2 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 30 63
3 Plzen Plzen 33 60
3 Teplice Teplice 33 36
3 Plzen Plzen 30 53
4 Slovácko Slovácko 33 30
4 Hradec Králové Hradec Králové 33 53
4 FK Jablonec FK Jablonec 30 51
5 FK Jablonec FK Jablonec 33 52
5 Dukla Praha Dukla Praha 33 26
5 Hradec Králové Hradec Králové 30 49
6 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 30 46
6 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 33 46
6 Baník Ostrava Baník Ostrava 33 23
7 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 30 43
8 Pardubice Pardubice 30 41
9 Karviná Karviná 30 39
10 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 30 36
11 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 30 35
12 Zlin Zlin 30 34
13 Teplice Teplice 30 29
14 Dukla Praha Dukla Praha 30 23
15 Slovácko Slovácko 30 23
16 Baník Ostrava Baník Ostrava 30 22
Lineups
Baník Ostrava Baník Ostrava 5-4-1
23
G 6.90
99 Vlasiy Sinyavskiy Vlasiy Sinyavskiy 61' D 6.60
6
D 7.00
37 Matěj Chaluš Matěj Chaluš D 7.20
17 Michal Frydrych Michal Frydrych D 6.30
34 Abdullahi Bewene Abdullahi Bewene D 6.70
10 Srđan Plavšić Srđan Plavšić 61' M 6.90
18 David Planka David Planka M 6.90
80
O. Kricfalusi 27' M 6.70
19 Filip Šancl Filip Šancl 45' M 6.30
15 Václav Jurečka Václav Jurečka 82' F 6.70
Bench
55 Artúr Musák Artúr Musák 46' M 7.00
95 Daniel Holzer Daniel Holzer 30' M 6.70
29 Jakub Pira Jakub Pira 9' F 6.30
5 Jiří Boula Jiří Boula 64' M 6.70
20 Pablo Ortíz Pablo Ortíz D
Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 4-2-3-1
59
G 7.00
11
D 6.30
44 Ondrej Karafiat Ondrej Karafiat D 7.60
3 Martin Králik Martin Králik D 7.20
32 Filip Matoušek Filip Matoušek 69' D 6.70
19 David Kozel David Kozel 83' M 6.90
7
R. Macek M 7.70
21
M 6.30
22 Michal Ševčík Michal Ševčík 84' M 6.90
20 Solomon John Solomon John 66' M 6.50
25 Christophe Kabongo Christophe Kabongo 84' F 6.00
Bench
28 Daniel Langhamer Daniel Langhamer M
31 Dominik Kostka Dominik Kostka 22' D 6.90
10 Filip Lehký Filip Lehký 7' F
49 Josef Kolářík Josef Kolářík 25' M 6.50
Best on the pitch
R. Macek
M · Mlada
7.70
· 107 pass
Ondrej Karafiat
Ondrej Karafiat
D · Mlada
7.60
1 shots · 99 pass
Matěj Chaluš
Matěj Chaluš
D · Baník
7.20
· 34 pass
Martin Králik
Martin Králik
D · Mlada
7.20
· 86 pass
Artúr Musák
Artúr Musák
M · Baník
7.00
· 17 pass
D · Baník
7.00
1 shots · 30 pass
Baník Ostrava Baník Ostrava — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 91 6.90 — — — 33 18% — — —
Vlasiy Sinyavskiy D 61 6.60 — — — 13 10% 1 — —
D 91 7.00 — — 1 30 25% 1 — —
Matěj Chaluš D 91 7.20 — — — 34 31% 1 1 —
Michal Frydrych D 91 6.30 — — — 27 20% 1 — —
Abdullahi Bewene D 91 6.70 — — 2 18 11% 3 — —
Srđan Plavšić M 61 6.90 — — — 12 8% — — —
David Planka M 91 6.90 — — — 21 20% 1 1 —
O. Kricfalusi M 27 6.70 — — — 5 3% 1 — —
Filip Šancl M 45 6.30 — — — 4 4% 2 — —
Václav Jurečka F 82 6.70 — — 1 8 6% — — —
Artúr Musák M 46 7.00 — — — 17 15% 2 — —
Daniel Holzer M 30 6.70 — — 2 13 11% — — —
Jakub Pira F 9 6.30 — — — — — 1 — —
Jiří Boula M 64 6.70 — — 1 19 14% 1 — —
Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 91 7.00 — — — 26 22% — — —
D 91 6.30 — — — 75 63% 2 — —
Ondrej Karafiat D 91 7.60 — — 1 99 92% 2 — —
Martin Králik D 91 7.20 — — — 86 80% 1 1 —
Filip Matoušek D 69 6.70 — — — 41 33% 3 — —
David Kozel M 83 6.90 — — — 52 46% — — —
R. Macek M 91 7.70 — — — 107 98% 3 1 —
M 91 6.30 — — 1 27 21% — — —
Michal Ševčík M 84 6.90 — — — 29 24% — 1 —
Solomon John M 66 6.50 — — — 13 13% 1 — —
Christophe Kabongo F 84 6.00 — — 2 16 13% — 1 —
Dominik Kostka D 22 6.90 — — 1 11 8% 2 — —
Filip Lehký F 7 — — — 1 2 1% — — —
Josef Kolářík M 25 6.50 — — 1 8 6% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Baník Ostrava vs Mlada Boleslav?
The final score was Baník Ostrava 0–0 Mlada Boleslav.
What did the model predict before Baník Ostrava vs Mlada Boleslav?
The model assigned 23% probability to a Baník Ostrava win, 21% to a draw, and 55% to an Mlada Boleslav win.