Czech Liga
· Relegation Group - 1
May 02, 2026 15:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Mlada Boleslav, result Draw
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Mlada Boleslav a 55% win probability (draw 21%, Baník Ostrava 23%). The final result was Baník Ostrava 0–0 Mlada Boleslav. In 3 previous meetings, Baník Ostrava have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for Mlada Boleslav.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
7
4
Shots on target
3
0.44
Actual xG
0.45
3
Saves
4
32%
Possession
68%
6
Corners
4
15
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
26'
C. Kabongo
O. Kricfalusi
/ J. Boula
27'
D. Planka
30'
M. Chalus
35'
43'
M. Sevcik
F. Sancl
/ A. Musak
46'
58'
R. Macek
S. Plavsic
/ D. Owusu
61'
V. Sinyavskiy
/ D. Holzer
61'
65'
J. Kolarik
/
S. John
69'
D. Kostka
/
F. Matousek
V. Jurecka
/ J. Pira
83'
83'
J. Klima
/
C. Kabongo
84'
J. Zika
/
D. Kozel
84'
F. Lehky
/
M. Sevcik
87'
M. Kralik
Pre-match prediction
23.08%
Baník
21.8%
X ←
55.12%
Mlada
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
21.8%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.96
0.44
-0.52
2.08
0.45
-1.63
xG dominance was balanced (0.44 – 0.45).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
23
G
99
V. Sinyavskiy
61'
D
V. Sinyavskiy
61'
D
6
D
37
M. Chaluš
D
M. Chaluš
D
17
Michal Frydrych
D
Michal Frydrych
D
34
Abdullahi Bewene
D
Abdullahi Bewene
D
10
S. Plavšić
61'
M
S. Plavšić
61'
M
18
D. Planka
M
D. Planka
M
80
O. Kričfaluši
27'
M
O. Kričfaluši
27'
M
19
Filip Šancl
45'
M
Filip Šancl
45'
M
15
Václav Jurečka
82'
F
Václav Jurečka
82'
F
Bench
55
Artúr Musák
46'
M
Artúr Musák
46'
M
95
Daniel Holzer
30'
M
Daniel Holzer
30'
M
29
Jakub Pira
9'
F
5
Jiří Boula
64'
M
Jiří Boula
64'
M
20
P. Ortíz
D
P. Ortíz
D
59
G
11
D
44
Ondrej Karafiat
D
Ondrej Karafiat
D
3
Martin Králik
D
Martin Králik
D
32
Filip Matoušek
69'
D
Filip Matoušek
69'
D
19
David Kozel
83'
M
David Kozel
83'
M
7
R. Macek
M
R. Macek
M
21
M
22
M. Ševčík
84'
M
M. Ševčík
84'
M
20
S. John
66'
M
S. John
66'
M
25
Christophe Kabongo
84'
F
Christophe Kabongo
84'
F
Bench
28
Daniel Langhamer
M
Daniel Langhamer
M
31
D. Kostka
22'
D
10
Filip Lehký
7'
F
Filip Lehký
7'
F
49
Josef Kolářík
25'
M
Josef Kolářík
25'
M
Best on the pitch
R. Macek
M · Mlada
7.70
· 107 pass
Ondrej Karafiat
D · Mlada
7.60
1 shots
· 99 pass
M. Chaluš
D · Baník
7.20
· 34 pass
Martin Králik
D · Mlada
7.20
· 86 pass
Artúr Musák
M · Baník
7.00
· 17 pass
D · Baník
7.00
1 shots
· 30 pass
Baník Ostrava — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 18% | — | — | — | |
| V. Sinyavskiy | D | 61 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 91 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 25% | 1 | — | — | |
| M. Chaluš | D | 91 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 31% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Michal Frydrych | D | 91 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Abdullahi Bewene | D | 91 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Plavšić | M | 61 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| D. Planka | M | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 20% | 1 | 1 | — |
| O. Kričfaluši | M | 27 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Filip Šancl | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| Václav Jurečka | F | 82 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Artúr Musák | M | 46 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 17 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Daniel Holzer | M | 30 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Jakub Pira | F | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
| Jiří Boula | M | 64 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
Mlada Boleslav — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 91 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | — | — | — | |
| D | 91 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 75 | 63% | 2 | — | — | |
| Ondrej Karafiat | D | 91 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 99 | 92% | 2 | — | — |
| Martin Králik | D | 91 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 86 | 80% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Filip Matoušek | D | 69 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 41 | 33% | 3 | — | — |
| David Kozel | M | 83 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 52 | 46% | — | — | — |
| R. Macek | M | 91 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 107 | 98% | 3 | 1 | — |
| M | 91 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 21% | — | — | — | |
| M. Ševčík | M | 84 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | — | 1 | — |
| S. John | M | 66 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Christophe Kabongo | F | 84 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
| D. Kostka | D | 22 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Filip Lehký | F | 7 | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Josef Kolářík | M | 25 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Baník Ostrava vs Mlada Boleslav?
The final score was Baník Ostrava 0–0 Mlada Boleslav.
What did the model predict before Baník Ostrava vs Mlada Boleslav?
The model assigned 23% probability to a Baník Ostrava win, 21% to a draw, and 55% to an Mlada Boleslav win.