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La Liga · Regular Season - 31 April 11, 2026 20:30
Barcelona
#1 · 91 pts
4 – 1
Final score
Espanyol
#14 · 42 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Barcelona
F. Torres (ast. Lamine Yamal) 9'
F. Torres (ast. Lamine Yamal) 25'
Lamine Yamal 87'
M. Rashford (ast. F. de Jong) 89'
56' P. Lozano

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Barcelona a 89% win probability (draw 5%, Espanyol 4%). The final result was Barcelona 4–1 Espanyol. In 1 previous meetings, Barcelona have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Espanyol.

Match statistics
16
Total shots
7
10
Shots on target
2
2.81
Actual xG
1.17
2
Saves
5
77%
Possession
23%
7
Corners
5
22
Tackles
16
3
🟨 Yellow cards
6
Match Events
⚽F. Torres · ast. Lamine Yamal
9'
⚽F. Torres · ast. Lamine Yamal
25'
Pablo Gavi
32'
32'
Omar El Hilali
34'
Edu Expósito
Eric García
45'+3
45'
Cyril Ngonge
↕ G. Martin / M. Casado
46'
46'
R. Fernandez Jaen / T. Dolan ↕
Marc Casadó
49'
56'
P. Lozano⚽
58'
Pol Lozano
↕ A. Balde / J. Cancelo
64'
↕ Gavi / M. Rashford
64'
64'
R. Sanchez / C. Ngonge ↕
71'
P. Milla / K. Garcia ↕
71'
R. Terrats / Exposito ↕
↕ F. Torres / D. Olmo
74'
80'
C. Pickel / P. Lozano ↕
83'
Fernando Calero
↕ Fermín / F. de Jong
84'
⚽Lamine Yamal
87'
⚽M. Rashford · ast. F. de Jong
89'
90'+2
Urko González
Pre-match prediction
89.94%
Barcelona ←
5.92%
X
4.13%
Espanyol
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Barcelona) 89.94% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Barcelona
4.10
2.81
-1.29
Espanyol
0.70
1.17
+0.47
Barcelona dominated by xG (2.81 vs 1.17). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Barcelona Barcelona 36 91
2 Real Madrid Real Madrid 36 80
3 Villarreal Villarreal 36 69
4 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 36 66
5 Real Betis Real Betis 36 57
6 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 36 50
7 Getafe Getafe 36 48
8 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 36 45
9 Athletic Club Athletic Club 36 44
10 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 36 44
11 Valencia Valencia 36 43
12 Sevilla Sevilla 36 43
13 Osasuna Osasuna 36 42
14 Espanyol Espanyol 36 42
15 Girona Girona 36 40
16 Alaves Alaves 36 40
17 Elche Elche 36 39
18 Mallorca Mallorca 36 39
19 Levante Levante 36 39
20 Oviedo Oviedo 36 29
Lineups
Barcelona Barcelona 4-2-3-1
13
G 6.70
3 Alejandro Balde Alejandro Balde 64' D 6.30
18 Gerard Martín Gerard Martín 45' D 7.20
5 Pau Cubarsí Paredes Pau Cubarsí Paredes D 7.00
4 Ronald Araújo Ronald Araújo D 7.20
8 Pedri Pedri M 7.90
24 Eric García Eric García M 7.30
6 Pablo Gavi Pablo Gavi 64' M 7.20
16 Fermín Fermín 84' M 7.00
10 Lamine Yamal Lamine Yamal 1 ⚽ 2 👟 M 10.00
7 Ferran Torres Ferran Torres 2 ⚽ 74' F 8.60
Bench
20 Dani Olmo Dani Olmo 22' M 6.60
21 F. de Jong F. de Jong 1 👟 12' M 6.90
23 J. Koundé J. Koundé D
2 João Cancelo João Cancelo 32' D 7.20
17 Marc Casadó Marc Casadó 51' M 6.70
14 M. Rashford M. Rashford 1 ⚽ 32' F 7.90
19 R. Bardghji R. Bardghji F
9 R. Lewandowski R. Lewandowski F
Espanyol Espanyol 4-4-1-1
13
G 6.90
22 Carlos Romero Carlos Romero D 6.30
6 Leandro Cabrera Leandro Cabrera D 6.20
5
F. Calero D 7.20
23 O. El Hilali O. El Hilali D 6.00
24
T. Dolan 45' M 6.50
10 Pol Lozano Pol Lozano 1 ⚽ 80' M 7.30
4 Urko González Urko González M 5.90
16 C. Ngonge C. Ngonge 64' M 6.30
8 Edu Expósito Edu Expósito 71' F 6.30
19 Kike García Kike García 71' F 6.30
Bench
11 Pere Milla Pere Milla 25' M 6.30
14 Ramón Terrats Ramón Terrats 25' M 6.70
9 Roberto Fernández Roberto Fernández 51' F 6.30
2 Rubén Sánchez Rubén Sánchez 32' D 5.90
Best on the pitch
Lamine Yamal
Lamine Yamal
M · Barcelona
10.00
1 ⚽ 2 👟
3 shots · 35 pass
Ferran Torres
Ferran Torres
F · Barcelona
8.60
2 ⚽
2 shots · 25 pass
M. Rashford
M. Rashford
F · Barcelona
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 10 pass
Pedri
Pedri
M · Barcelona
7.90
1 shots · 88 pass
Pol Lozano
Pol Lozano
M · Espanyol
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 17 pass
Eric García
Eric García
M · Barcelona
7.30
1 shots · 71 pass
Barcelona Barcelona — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 96 6.70 — — — 40 37% — — —
Alejandro Balde D 64 6.30 — — — 45 43% 2 — —
Gerard Martín D 45 7.20 — — — 61 57% — — —
Pau Cubarsí Paredes D 96 7.00 — — — 135 128% 1 — —
Ronald Araújo D 96 7.20 — — 1 74 70% 2 — —
Pedri M 96 7.90 — — 1 88 81% 4 — —
Eric García M 96 7.30 — — 1 71 68% 2 1 —
Pablo Gavi M 64 7.20 — — — 41 40% 2 1 —
Fermín M 84 7.00 — — 5 35 30% 5 — —
Lamine Yamal M 96 10.00 1 2 3 35 26% — — —
Ferran Torres F 74 8.60 2 — 2 25 23% 1 — —
Dani Olmo M 22 6.60 — — — 8 7% — — —
F. de Jong M 12 6.90 — 1 — 9 6% — — —
João Cancelo D 32 7.20 — — 1 24 23% 2 — —
Marc Casadó M 51 6.70 — — — 25 22% 1 1 —
M. Rashford F 32 7.90 1 — 2 10 10% — — —
Espanyol Espanyol — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 96 6.90 — — — 19 8% — — —
Carlos Romero D 96 6.30 — — — 21 16% 3 — —
Leandro Cabrera D 96 6.20 — — — 10 5% 3 — —
F. Calero D 96 7.20 — — 2 26 22% 4 1 —
O. El Hilali D 96 6.00 — — — 29 26% 1 1 —
T. Dolan M 45 6.50 — — — 5 4% — — —
Pol Lozano M 80 7.30 1 — 1 17 15% 2 1 —
Urko González M 96 5.90 — — — 22 14% — 1 —
C. Ngonge M 64 6.30 — — — 9 4% 2 1 —
Edu Expósito F 71 6.30 — — 1 10 8% — 1 —
Kike García F 71 6.30 — — 1 9 7% 1 — —
Pere Milla M 25 6.30 — — — 3 3% — — —
Ramón Terrats M 25 6.70 — — — 3 2% — — —
Roberto Fernández F 51 6.30 — — 1 10 9% — — —
Rubén Sánchez D 32 5.90 — — 1 2 2% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Barcelona vs Espanyol?
The final score was Barcelona 4–1 Espanyol.
What did the model predict before Barcelona vs Espanyol?
The model assigned 89% probability to a Barcelona win, 5% to a draw, and 4% to an Espanyol win.