✓Model correct — prediction Barcelona
F. Torres
(ast. Lamine Yamal)
9'
F. Torres
(ast. Lamine Yamal)
25'
Lamine Yamal
87'
M. Rashford
(ast. F. de Jong)
89'
56'
P. Lozano
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Barcelona a 89% win probability (draw 5%, Espanyol 4%). The final result was Barcelona 4–1 Espanyol. In 1 previous meetings, Barcelona have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Espanyol.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
7
10
Shots on target
2
2.81
Actual xG
1.17
2
Saves
5
77%
Possession
23%
7
Corners
5
22
Tackles
16
3
🟨 Yellow cards
6
Match Events
⚽F. Torres
· ast. Lamine Yamal
9'
⚽F. Torres
· ast. Lamine Yamal
25'
Pablo Gavi
32'
32'
Omar El Hilali
34'
Edu Expósito
Eric García
45'+3
45'
Cyril Ngonge
G. Martin
/ M. Casado
46'
46'
R. Fernandez Jaen
/
T. Dolan
Marc Casadó
49'
56'
P. Lozano⚽
58'
Pol Lozano
A. Balde
/ J. Cancelo
64'
Gavi
/ M. Rashford
64'
64'
R. Sanchez
/
C. Ngonge
71'
P. Milla
/
K. Garcia
71'
R. Terrats
/
Exposito
F. Torres
/ D. Olmo
74'
80'
C. Pickel
/
P. Lozano
83'
Fernando Calero
Fermín
/ F. de Jong
84'
⚽Lamine Yamal
87'
⚽M. Rashford
· ast. F. de Jong
89'
90'+2
Urko González
Pre-match prediction
89.94%
Barcelona ←
5.92%
X
4.13%
Espanyol
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Barcelona)
89.94%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
4.10
2.81
-1.29
0.70
1.17
+0.47
Barcelona dominated by xG (2.81 vs 1.17).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
13
G
3
A. Balde
64'
D
A. Balde
64'
D
18
G. Martin
45'
D
G. Martin
45'
D
5
Pau Cubarsí Paredes
D
Pau Cubarsí Paredes
D
4
Ronald Araújo
D
Ronald Araújo
D
8
Pedri
M
Pedri
M
24
E. Garcia
M
E. Garcia
M
6
Gavi
64'
M
Gavi
64'
M
16
Fermín
84'
M
Fermín
84'
M
10
Lamine Yamal
1 ⚽
2 👟
M
Lamine Yamal
1 ⚽
2 👟
M
7
Ferran Torres
2 ⚽
74'
F
Ferran Torres
2 ⚽
74'
F
Bench
20
Dani Olmo
22'
M
Dani Olmo
22'
M
21
F. de Jong
1 👟
12'
M
F. de Jong
1 👟
12'
M
23
J. Koundé
D
J. Koundé
D
2
João Cancelo
32'
D
João Cancelo
32'
D
17
Marc Casadó
51'
M
Marc Casadó
51'
M
14
M. Rashford
1 ⚽
32'
F
M. Rashford
1 ⚽
32'
F
19
R. Bardghji
F
R. Bardghji
F
9
R. Lewandowski
F
R. Lewandowski
F
13
G
22
Carlos Romero
D
Carlos Romero
D
6
L. Cabrera
D
L. Cabrera
D
5
Fernando Calero
D
Fernando Calero
D
23
O. El Hilali
D
O. El Hilali
D
24
T. Dolan
45'
M
T. Dolan
45'
M
10
Pol Lozano
1 ⚽
80'
M
Pol Lozano
1 ⚽
80'
M
4
Urko González
M
Urko González
M
16
Cyril Ngonge
64'
M
Cyril Ngonge
64'
M
8
Edu Expósito
71'
F
Edu Expósito
71'
F
19
Kike García
71'
F
Kike García
71'
F
Bench
11
Pere Milla
25'
M
Pere Milla
25'
M
14
Ramón Terrats
25'
M
Ramón Terrats
25'
M
9
Roberto Fernández
51'
F
Roberto Fernández
51'
F
2
Rubén Sánchez
32'
D
Rubén Sánchez
32'
D
Best on the pitch
Lamine Yamal
M · Barcelona
10.00
1 ⚽ 2 👟
3 shots
· 35 pass
Ferran Torres
F · Barcelona
8.60
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 25 pass
M. Rashford
F · Barcelona
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 10 pass
Pedri
M · Barcelona
7.90
1 shots
· 88 pass
Pol Lozano
M · Espanyol
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 17 pass
E. Garcia
M · Barcelona
7.30
1 shots
· 71 pass
Barcelona — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 40 | 37% | — | — | — | |
| A. Balde | D | 64 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 45 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Martin | D | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 61 | 57% | — | — | — |
| Pau Cubarsí Paredes | D | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 135 | 128% | 1 | — | — |
| Ronald Araújo | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 74 | 70% | 2 | — | — |
| Pedri | M | 96 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 88 | 81% | 4 | — | — |
| E. Garcia | M | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 71 | 68% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Gavi | M | 64 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 41 | 40% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Fermín | M | 84 | 7.00 | — | — | 5 | 35 | 30% | 5 | — | — |
| Lamine Yamal | M | 96 | 10.00 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 35 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Ferran Torres | F | 74 | 8.60 | 2 | — | 2 | 25 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Dani Olmo | M | 22 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| F. de Jong | M | 12 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| João Cancelo | D | 32 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| Marc Casadó | M | 51 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Rashford | F | 32 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 10 | 10% | — | — | — |
Espanyol — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 8% | — | — | — | |
| Carlos Romero | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Cabrera | D | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 10 | 5% | 3 | — | — |
| Fernando Calero | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 22% | 4 | 1 | — |
| O. El Hilali | D | 96 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 29 | 26% | 1 | 1 | — |
| T. Dolan | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Pol Lozano | M | 80 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 17 | 15% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Urko González | M | 96 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 14% | — | 1 | — |
| Cyril Ngonge | M | 64 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 4% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Edu Expósito | F | 71 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
| Kike García | F | 71 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Pere Milla | M | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Ramón Terrats | M | 25 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Roberto Fernández | F | 51 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Rubén Sánchez | D | 32 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Barcelona vs Espanyol?
The final score was Barcelona 4–1 Espanyol.
What did the model predict before Barcelona vs Espanyol?
The model assigned 89% probability to a Barcelona win, 5% to a draw, and 4% to an Espanyol win.