← Serie B
#17 · 40 pts
3 – 1
Final score
#6 · 55 pts
G. Moncini 22' (pen.)
D. Adorni 31' (og)
M. Cuni (ast. M. Dorval) 80'
90' (ast. G. Beyuku) G. Ambrosino

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Modena a 43% win probability (draw 29%, Bari 27%). The final result was Bari 3–1 Modena. In 1 previous meetings, Bari have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Modena.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
15
8
Shots on target
6
2.17
Actual xG
1.47
4
Saves
6
38%
Possession
62%
4
Corners
7
12
Tackles
16
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
G. Moncini (pen.)
22'
D. Adorni (og)
31'
46'
Y. Massolin / S. Wiafe
46'
G. Beyuku / F. Zampano
48'
G. Ambrosino / E. Gliozzi
G. Maggiore
59'
F. Artioli / M. Braunoder
62'
G. Moncini / M. Cuni
69'
E. Rao / M. Dorval
69'
75'
M. Cotali / L. Zanimacchia
79'
G. Defrel / D. Adorni
M. Cuni · ast. M. Dorval
80'
T. Esteves / M. Verreth
87'
G. Maggiore / D. Traore
87'
88'
F. Gerli
V. Mantovani
90'+7
90'+7
Y. Massolin
90'
ast. G. Beyuku · G. Ambrosino
Pre-match prediction
27.35%
Bari ←
29.35%
X
43.3%
Modena
we assigned to the actual result (Bari) 27.35% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Bari
0.93
2.17
+1.24
Modena
1.50
1.47
-0.03
Bari dominated by xG (2.17 vs 1.47). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Venezia Venezia 38 82
2 Frosinone Frosinone 38 81
3 Monza Monza 38 76
4 Palermo Palermo 38 72
5 Catanzaro Catanzaro 38 59
6 Modena Modena 38 55
7 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 38 51
8 Avellino Avellino 38 49
9 Mantova Mantova 38 46
10 Padova Padova 38 46
11 Cesena Cesena 38 46
12 Carrarese Carrarese 38 44
13 Sampdoria Sampdoria 38 44
14 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 38 42
15 Empoli Empoli 38 41
16 Sudtirol Sudtirol 38 41
17 Bari Bari 38 40
18 Reggiana Reggiana 38 37
19 Spezia Spezia 38 35
20 Pescara Pescara 38 35
Lineups
Bari Bari 3-4-2-1
31
G 8.20
13
V. Mantovani D 7.20
26
C. Odenthal D 6.60
51
A. Cistana D 7.30
28
K. Piscopo M 7.50
18
Giulio Maggiore 87' M 7.50
80
F. Artioli 62' M 7.30
30
Balla Moussa Mane M 7.00
17
69' F 7.70
19
T. Esteves 87' F 6.50
11 G. Moncini G. Moncini 1 ⚽ 69' F 6.30
Bench
43
D. Nikolaou D
66
D. Traore 12' M 6.30
27
M. Braunoder 28' M 6.60
90
M. Cuni 1 ⚽ 21' F 6.70
93 M. Dorval M. Dorval 1 👟 21' D 7.60
29
M. Verreth 12' M 6.30
8
R. Pagano M
Modena Modena 3-5-2
1
L. Chichizola G 8.70
20
D 5.90
28 Davide Adorni Davide Adorni 1 ⚽ 79' D 6.30
77 Daniel Tonoli Daniel Tonoli D 6.30
98 Luca Zanimacchia Luca Zanimacchia 75' M 6.30
8 Simone Santoro Simone Santoro M 6.90
16
F. Gerli M 6.20
71 Samuel Wiafe Samuel Wiafe 45' M 5.50
7 Francesco Zampano Francesco Zampano 45' M 6.20
9 Ettore Gliozzi Ettore Gliozzi 48' F 6.30
99 Manuel De Luca Manuel De Luca F 6.00
Bench
2 Gady Beyuku Gady Beyuku 1 👟 45' D 6.50
10 Giuseppe Ambrosino Giuseppe Ambrosino 1 ⚽ 42' F 8.30
29 Matteo Cotali Matteo Cotali 15' D 6.70
18 Niklas Pyyhtiä Niklas Pyyhtiä M
11 Pedro Mendes Pedro Mendes F
17 Yanis Massolin Yanis Massolin 45' M 6.90
Best on the pitch
L. Chichizola
G · Modena
8.70
· 29 pass
Giuseppe Ambrosino
Giuseppe Ambrosino
F · Modena
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 4 pass
G · Bari
8.20
· 37 pass
F · Bari
7.70
3 shots · 9 pass
M. Dorval
M. Dorval
D · Bari
7.60
1 👟
· 8 pass
K. Piscopo
M · Bari
7.50
1 shots · 23 pass
Bari Bari — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 8.20 37 14%
V. Mantovani D 90 7.20 17 15% 1
C. Odenthal D 90 6.60 1 15 10%
A. Cistana D 90 7.30 22 16% 1
K. Piscopo M 90 7.50 1 23 19% 2
Giulio Maggiore M 87 7.50 2 29 22% 1 1
F. Artioli M 62 7.30 1 22 12% 2
Balla Moussa Mane M 90 7.00 19 15% 2
F 69 7.70 3 9 9% 1
T. Esteves F 87 6.50 1 23 20% 1
G. Moncini F 69 6.30 1 1 10 4%
D. Traore M 12 6.30
M. Braunoder M 28 6.60 13 10%
M. Cuni F 21 6.70 1 2 7 5%
M. Dorval D 21 7.60 1 8 6% 2
M. Verreth M 12 6.30 4 3%
Modena Modena — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
L. Chichizola G 90 8.70 29 19%
D 90 5.90 46 30% 2
Davide Adorni D 79 6.30 1 2 38 37% 2
Daniel Tonoli D 90 6.30 44 36% 4
Luca Zanimacchia M 75 6.30 19 16% 1
Simone Santoro M 90 6.90 4 47 37% 3
F. Gerli M 90 6.20 1 66 58% 1
Samuel Wiafe M 45 5.50 1 14 11% 1
Francesco Zampano M 45 6.20 10 8% 1
Ettore Gliozzi F 48 6.30 2 9 7%
Manuel De Luca F 90 6.00 1 7 7%
Gady Beyuku D 45 6.50 1 29 24%
Giuseppe Ambrosino F 42 8.30 1 2 4 3% 1
Matteo Cotali D 15 6.70 1 6 5% 1
Yanis Massolin M 45 6.90 1 28 23% 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bari vs Modena?
The final score was Bari 3–1 Modena.
What did the model predict before Bari vs Modena?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Bari win, 29% to a draw, and 43% to an Modena win.