Serie B
· Regular Season - 33
April 06, 2026 15:00
G. Moncini
22'
(pen.)
D. Adorni
31'
(og)
M. Cuni
(ast. M. Dorval)
80'
90'
(ast. G. Beyuku)
G. Ambrosino
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Modena a 43% win probability (draw 29%, Bari 27%). The final result was Bari 3–1 Modena. In 1 previous meetings, Bari have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Modena.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
15
8
Shots on target
6
2.17
Actual xG
1.47
4
Saves
6
38%
Possession
62%
4
Corners
7
12
Tackles
16
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽G. Moncini
(pen.)
22'
⚽D. Adorni
(og)
31'
46'
Y. Massolin
/
S. Wiafe
46'
G. Beyuku
/
F. Zampano
48'
G. Ambrosino
/
E. Gliozzi
G. Maggiore
59'
F. Artioli
/ M. Braunoder
62'
G. Moncini
/ M. Cuni
69'
E. Rao
/ M. Dorval
69'
75'
M. Cotali
/
L. Zanimacchia
79'
G. Defrel
/
D. Adorni
⚽M. Cuni
· ast. M. Dorval
80'
T. Esteves
/ M. Verreth
87'
G. Maggiore
/ D. Traore
87'
88'
F. Gerli
V. Mantovani
90'+7
90'+7
Y. Massolin
90'
ast. G. Beyuku ·
G. Ambrosino⚽
Pre-match prediction
27.35%
Bari ←
29.35%
X
43.3%
Modena
we assigned to the actual result (Bari)
27.35%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.93
2.17
+1.24
1.50
1.47
-0.03
Bari dominated by xG (2.17 vs 1.47).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
31
G
13
V. Mantovani
D
26
C. Odenthal
D
51
A. Cistana
D
28
K. Piscopo
M
18
Giulio Maggiore
87'
M
80
F. Artioli
62'
M
30
Balla Moussa Mane
M
17
69'
F
19
T. Esteves
87'
F
11
G. Moncini
1 ⚽
69'
F
G. Moncini
1 ⚽
69'
F
Bench
43
D. Nikolaou
D
66
D. Traore
12'
M
27
M. Braunoder
28'
M
90
M. Cuni
1 ⚽
21'
F
93
M. Dorval
1 👟
21'
D
M. Dorval
1 👟
21'
D
29
M. Verreth
12'
M
8
R. Pagano
M
1
L. Chichizola
G
20
D
28
Davide Adorni
1 ⚽
79'
D
Davide Adorni
1 ⚽
79'
D
77
Daniel Tonoli
D
Daniel Tonoli
D
98
Luca Zanimacchia
75'
M
Luca Zanimacchia
75'
M
8
Simone Santoro
M
Simone Santoro
M
16
F. Gerli
M
71
Samuel Wiafe
45'
M
Samuel Wiafe
45'
M
7
Francesco Zampano
45'
M
Francesco Zampano
45'
M
9
Ettore Gliozzi
48'
F
Ettore Gliozzi
48'
F
99
Manuel De Luca
F
Manuel De Luca
F
Bench
2
Gady Beyuku
1 👟
45'
D
Gady Beyuku
1 👟
45'
D
10
Giuseppe Ambrosino
1 ⚽
42'
F
Giuseppe Ambrosino
1 ⚽
42'
F
29
Matteo Cotali
15'
D
Matteo Cotali
15'
D
18
Niklas Pyyhtiä
M
Niklas Pyyhtiä
M
11
Pedro Mendes
F
Pedro Mendes
F
17
Yanis Massolin
45'
M
Yanis Massolin
45'
M
Best on the pitch
L. Chichizola
G · Modena
8.70
· 29 pass
Giuseppe Ambrosino
F · Modena
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 4 pass
G · Bari
8.20
· 37 pass
F · Bari
7.70
3 shots
· 9 pass
M. Dorval
D · Bari
7.60
1 👟
· 8 pass
K. Piscopo
M · Bari
7.50
1 shots
· 23 pass
Bari — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 14% | — | — | — | |
| V. Mantovani | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
| C. Odenthal | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 10% | — | — | — |
| A. Cistana | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Piscopo | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| Giulio Maggiore | M | 87 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 29 | 22% | 1 | 1 | — |
| F. Artioli | M | 62 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| Balla Moussa Mane | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| F | 69 | 7.70 | — | — | 3 | 9 | 9% | 1 | — | — | |
| T. Esteves | F | 87 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Moncini | F | 69 | 6.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 10 | 4% | — | — | — |
| D. Traore | M | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Braunoder | M | 28 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| M. Cuni | F | 21 | 6.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| M. Dorval | D | 21 | 7.60 | — | 1 | — | 8 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Verreth | M | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
Modena — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Chichizola | G | 90 | 8.70 | — | — | — | 29 | 19% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 46 | 30% | 2 | — | — | |
| Davide Adorni | D | 79 | 6.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 38 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| Daniel Tonoli | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 44 | 36% | 4 | — | — |
| Luca Zanimacchia | M | 75 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Simone Santoro | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 4 | 47 | 37% | 3 | — | — |
| F. Gerli | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 66 | 58% | — | 1 | — |
| Samuel Wiafe | M | 45 | 5.50 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Francesco Zampano | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Ettore Gliozzi | F | 48 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Manuel De Luca | F | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Gady Beyuku | D | 45 | 6.50 | — | 1 | — | 29 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Giuseppe Ambrosino | F | 42 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Matteo Cotali | D | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Yanis Massolin | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 23% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bari vs Modena?
The final score was Bari 3–1 Modena.
What did the model predict before Bari vs Modena?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Bari win, 29% to a draw, and 43% to an Modena win.