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Serie B · Regular Season - 33 April 06, 2026 15:00
Bari
3 – 1
Final score
Modena
#4 · 7 pts
G. Moncini 22' (pen.)
D. Adorni 31' (og)
M. Cuni (ast. M. Dorval) 80'
90' (ast. G. Beyuku) G. Ambrosino
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Modena a 43% win probability (draw 29%, Bari 27%). The final result was Bari 3–1 Modena. In 1 previous meetings, Bari have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Modena.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
15
8
Shots on target
6
2.17
Actual xG
1.47
4
Saves
6
38%
Possession
62%
4
Corners
7
12
Tackles
16
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽G. Moncini (pen.)
22'
⚽D. Adorni (og)
31'
46'
Y. Massolin / S. Wiafe ↕
46'
G. Beyuku / F. Zampano ↕
48'
G. Ambrosino / E. Gliozzi ↕
G. Maggiore
59'
↕ F. Artioli / M. Braunoder
62'
↕ G. Moncini / M. Cuni
69'
↕ E. Rao / M. Dorval
69'
75'
M. Cotali / L. Zanimacchia ↕
79'
G. Defrel / D. Adorni ↕
⚽M. Cuni · ast. M. Dorval
80'
↕ T. Esteves / M. Verreth
87'
↕ G. Maggiore / D. Traore
87'
88'
F. Gerli
V. Mantovani
90'+7
90'+7
Y. Massolin
90'
ast. G. Beyuku · G. Ambrosino⚽
Pre-match prediction
27.35%
Bari ←
29.35%
X
43.3%
Modena
we assigned to the actual result (Bari) 27.35% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Bari
0.93
2.17
+1.24
Modena
1.50
1.47
-0.03
Bari dominated by xG (2.17 vs 1.47). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Palermo Palermo 3 9
2 Sudtirol Sudtirol 4 8
3 Mantova Mantova 3 7
4 Modena Modena 4 7
5 Ascoli Ascoli 4 7
6 Padova Padova 4 7
7 Arezzo Arezzo 4 6
8 Pisa Pisa 4 6
9 Avellino Avellino 3 6
10 Empoli Empoli 4 6
11 Cesena Cesena 3 5
12 Vicenza Virtus Vicenza Virtus 4 5
13 Benevento Benevento 4 4
14 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 4 4
15 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 4 4
16 Cremonese Cremonese 3 3
17 Catanzaro Catanzaro 4 3
18 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 4 2
19 Sampdoria Sampdoria 3 1
20 Carrarese Carrarese 4 1
Lineups
Bari Bari 3-4-2-1
31
G 8.20
13 Valerio Mantovani Valerio Mantovani D 7.20
26 C. Odenthal C. Odenthal D 6.60
51
A. Cistana D 7.30
28 K. Piscopo K. Piscopo M 7.50
18 Giulio Maggiore Giulio Maggiore 87' M 7.50
80 F. Artioli F. Artioli 62' M 7.30
30 Moussa Mane Moussa Mane M 7.00
17
69' F 7.70
19 Tomás Esteves Tomás Esteves 87' F 6.50
11 G. Moncini G. Moncini 1 ⚽ 69' F 6.30
Bench
43 D. Nikolaou D. Nikolaou D
66 D. Traoré D. Traoré 12' M 6.30
90 Marvin Çuni Marvin Çuni 1 ⚽ 21' F 6.70
27 M. Braunöder M. Braunöder 28' M 6.60
93 M. Dorval M. Dorval 1 👟 21' D 7.60
29 M. Verreth M. Verreth 12' M 6.30
8 R. Pagano R. Pagano M
Modena Modena 3-5-2
1 L. Chichizola L. Chichizola G 8.70
20
D 5.90
28 D. Adorni D. Adorni 1 ⚽ 79' D 6.30
77 D. Tonoli D. Tonoli D 6.30
98 Luca Zanimacchia Luca Zanimacchia 75' M 6.30
8 S. Santoro S. Santoro M 6.90
16 F. Gerli F. Gerli M 6.20
71 Samuel Wiafe Samuel Wiafe 45' M 5.50
7 F. Zampano F. Zampano 45' M 6.20
9 E. Gliozzi E. Gliozzi 48' F 6.30
99 M. De Luca M. De Luca F 6.00
Bench
2 Gady Beyuku Gady Beyuku 1 👟 45' D 6.50
10 G. Ambrosino G. Ambrosino 1 ⚽ 42' F 8.30
29 Matteo Cotali Matteo Cotali 15' D 6.70
18 Niklas Pyyhtiä Niklas Pyyhtiä M
11 Pedro Mendes Pedro Mendes F
17 Y. Massolin Y. Massolin 45' M 6.90
Best on the pitch
L. Chichizola
L. Chichizola
G · Modena
8.70
· 29 pass
G. Ambrosino
G. Ambrosino
F · Modena
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 4 pass
G · Bari
8.20
· 37 pass
F · Bari
7.70
3 shots · 9 pass
M. Dorval
M. Dorval
D · Bari
7.60
1 👟
· 8 pass
K. Piscopo
K. Piscopo
M · Bari
7.50
1 shots · 23 pass
Bari Bari — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 8.20 — — — 37 14% — — —
Valerio Mantovani D 90 7.20 — — — 17 15% — 1 —
C. Odenthal D 90 6.60 — — 1 15 10% — — —
A. Cistana D 90 7.30 — — — 22 16% 1 — —
K. Piscopo M 90 7.50 — — 1 23 19% 2 — —
Giulio Maggiore M 87 7.50 — — 2 29 22% 1 1 —
F. Artioli M 62 7.30 — — 1 22 12% 2 — —
Moussa Mane M 90 7.00 — — — 19 15% 2 — —
F 69 7.70 — — 3 9 9% 1 — —
Tomás Esteves F 87 6.50 — — 1 23 20% 1 — —
G. Moncini F 69 6.30 1 — 1 10 4% — — —
D. Traoré M 12 6.30 — — — — — — — —
Marvin Çuni F 21 6.70 1 — 2 7 5% — — —
M. Braunöder M 28 6.60 — — — 13 10% — — —
M. Dorval D 21 7.60 — 1 — 8 6% 2 — —
M. Verreth M 12 6.30 — — — 4 3% — — —
Modena Modena — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
L. Chichizola G 90 8.70 — — — 29 19% — — —
D 90 5.90 — — — 46 30% 2 — —
D. Adorni D 79 6.30 1 — 2 38 37% 2 — —
D. Tonoli D 90 6.30 — — — 44 36% 4 — —
Luca Zanimacchia M 75 6.30 — — — 19 16% 1 — —
S. Santoro M 90 6.90 — — 4 47 37% 3 — —
F. Gerli M 90 6.20 — — 1 66 58% — 1 —
Samuel Wiafe M 45 5.50 — — 1 14 11% 1 — —
F. Zampano M 45 6.20 — — — 10 8% 1 — —
E. Gliozzi F 48 6.30 — — 2 9 7% — — —
M. De Luca F 90 6.00 — — 1 7 7% — — —
Gady Beyuku D 45 6.50 — 1 — 29 24% — — —
G. Ambrosino F 42 8.30 1 — 2 4 3% 1 — —
Matteo Cotali D 15 6.70 — — 1 6 5% 1 — —
Y. Massolin M 45 6.90 — — 1 28 23% — 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bari vs Modena?
The final score was Bari 3–1 Modena.
What did the model predict before Bari vs Modena?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Bari win, 29% to a draw, and 43% to an Modena win.