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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 30 April 18, 2026 17:30
Bayer Leverkusen
#6 · 58 pts
1 – 2
Final score
FC Augsburg
#9 · 43 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Bayer Leverkusen, result FC Augsburg vince
P. Schick (ast. E. Tapsoba) 12'
15' (ast. D. Giannoulis) F. Rieder
(pen.) 90'+7 F. Rieder

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bayer Leverkusen a 71% win probability (draw 15%, FC Augsburg 13%). The final result was Bayer Leverkusen 1–2 FC Augsburg. In 1 previous meetings, Bayer Leverkusen have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for FC Augsburg.

Match statistics
21
Total shots
5
9
Shots on target
3
2.94
Actual xG
0.35
2
Saves
8
71%
Possession
29%
10
Corners
3
11
Tackles
17
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽P. Schick · ast. E. Tapsoba
12'
15'
ast. D. Giannoulis · F. Rieder⚽
J. Quansah
48'
52'
F. Rieder
60'
E. Rexhbecaj / A. Claude-Maurice ↕
↕ Lucas / M. Culbreath
65'
↕ J. Quansah / C. Kofane
72'
74'
U. Ogundu / R. Ribeiro ↕
↕ E. Palacios / M. Tillman
81'
↕ N. Tella / J. Hofmann
81'
81'
M. Wolf / R. Fellhauer ↕
82'
M. Komur / A. Kade ↕
A. Garcia
86'
90'+7
(pen.) F. Rieder⚽
Pre-match prediction
71.33%
Bayer
15.04%
X
13.63%
FC ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (FC Augsburg) 13.63% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Bayer
3.09
2.94
-0.15
FC
1.44
0.35
-1.09
Bayer Leverkusen dominated by xG (2.94 vs 0.35). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Bayern München Bayern München 33 86
2 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 33 70
3 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 33 65
4 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 33 61
5 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 33 61
6 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 33 58
7 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 33 44
8 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 33 43
9 FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 33 43
10 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 33 37
11 Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 33 37
12 Union Berlin Union Berlin 33 36
13 Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 33 35
14 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 33 32
15 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 33 32
16 VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 33 26
17 1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 33 26
18 FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 33 26
Lineups
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 3-4-2-1
1
G 6.30
12 E. Tapsoba E. Tapsoba 1 👟 D 7.60
5
D 8.00
4
J. Quansah 72' D 6.90
20
A. Grimaldo M 7.70
24 Aleix García Aleix García M 7.90
25 E. Palacios E. Palacios 81' M 7.70
21
Lucas 65' M 6.60
23
N. Tella 81' F 7.30
30 I. Maza I. Maza F 7.00
14 P. Schick P. Schick 1 ⚽ F 7.60
Bench
35
Christian Kofane 18' F 5.90
19 E. Poku E. Poku F
28
J. Blaswich G
42
M. Culbreath 25' M 6.90
10 M. Tillman M. Tillman 9' M 6.30
8 R. Andrich R. Andrich M
FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 3-4-2-1
1
G 9.30
16
Cedric Zesiger D 7.00
6
J. Gouweleeuw D 6.90
34
Arthur Chaves D 7.00
13
D. Giannoulis 1 👟 M 7.20
32
Fabian Rieder 2 ⚽ M 8.30
4
H. Massengo M 7.20
19
R. Fellhauer 81' M 7.20
20
A. Claude-Maurice 60' F 6.60
30
A. Kade 82' F 6.60
21
R. Ribeiro 74' F 6.20
Bench
8
E. Rexhbecaj 30' M 6.50
31
Keven Schlotterbeck D
36
M. Komur 8' M 6.30
27
M. Wolf 9' M 6.50
Best on the pitch
G · FC
9.30
· 32 pass
Fabian Rieder
M · FC
8.30
2 ⚽
1 shots · 42 pass
D · Bayer
8.00
1 shots · 85 pass
Aleix García
Aleix García
M · Bayer
7.90
· 104 pass
A. Grimaldo
M · Bayer
7.70
3 shots · 67 pass
E. Palacios
E. Palacios
M · Bayer
7.70
· 103 pass
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.30 — — — 11 10% — — —
E. Tapsoba D 90 7.60 — 1 3 79 77% 2 — —
D 90 8.00 — — 1 85 81% 3 — —
J. Quansah D 72 6.90 — — — 68 64% 1 1 —
A. Grimaldo M 90 7.70 — — 3 67 60% — — —
Aleix García M 90 7.90 — — — 104 96% 1 1 —
E. Palacios M 81 7.70 — — — 103 96% 1 — —
Lucas M 65 6.60 — — — 34 30% — — —
N. Tella F 81 7.30 — — 4 20 19% — — —
I. Maza F 90 7.00 — — 3 44 32% 2 — —
P. Schick F 90 7.60 1 — 4 18 17% — — —
Christian Kofane F 18 5.90 — — 3 2 2% — — —
M. Culbreath M 25 6.90 — — — 17 17% 1 — —
M. Tillman M 9 6.30 — — — 2 2% — — —
FC Augsburg FC Augsburg — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 9.30 — — — 32 25% — — —
Cedric Zesiger D 90 7.00 — — — 34 30% 3 — —
J. Gouweleeuw D 90 6.90 — — — 20 16% 1 — —
Arthur Chaves D 90 7.00 — — — 18 15% 1 — —
D. Giannoulis M 90 7.20 — 1 1 20 17% 1 — —
Fabian Rieder M 90 8.30 2 — 1 42 32% 3 1 —
H. Massengo M 90 7.20 — — 1 28 26% — — —
R. Fellhauer M 81 7.20 — — — 20 15% 1 — —
A. Claude-Maurice F 60 6.60 — — — 17 13% 3 — —
A. Kade F 82 6.60 — — — 17 12% 2 — —
R. Ribeiro F 74 6.20 — — 2 10 7% — — —
E. Rexhbecaj M 30 6.50 — — — 4 3% 1 — —
M. Komur M 8 6.30 — — — 2 1% 1 — —
M. Wolf M 9 6.50 — — — 2 — — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bayer Leverkusen vs FC Augsburg?
The final score was Bayer Leverkusen 1–2 FC Augsburg.
What did the model predict before Bayer Leverkusen vs FC Augsburg?
The model assigned 71% probability to a Bayer Leverkusen win, 15% to a draw, and 13% to an FC Augsburg win.