✗Model wrong — prediction Bayer Leverkusen, result FC Augsburg wins
P. Schick
(ast. E. Tapsoba)
12'
15'
(ast. D. Giannoulis)
F. Rieder
(pen.)
90'+7
F. Rieder
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bayer Leverkusen a 71% win probability (draw 15%, FC Augsburg 13%). The final result was Bayer Leverkusen 1–2 FC Augsburg. In 2 previous meetings, Bayer Leverkusen have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for FC Augsburg.
Match statistics
21
Total shots
5
9
Shots on target
3
2.94
Actual xG
0.35
2
Saves
8
71%
Possession
29%
10
Corners
3
11
Tackles
17
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽P. Schick
· ast. E. Tapsoba
12'
15'
ast. D. Giannoulis ·
F. Rieder⚽
J. Quansah
48'
52'
F. Rieder
60'
E. Rexhbecaj
/
A. Claude-Maurice
Lucas
/ M. Culbreath
65'
J. Quansah
/ C. Kofane
72'
74'
U. Ogundu
/
R. Ribeiro
E. Palacios
/ M. Tillman
81'
N. Tella
/ J. Hofmann
81'
81'
M. Wolf
/
R. Fellhauer
82'
M. Komur
/
A. Kade
A. Garcia
86'
90'+7
(pen.)
F. Rieder⚽
Pre-match prediction
71.33%
Bayer
15.04%
X
13.63%
FC ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (FC Augsburg)
13.63%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.09
2.94
-0.15
1.44
0.35
-1.09
Bayer Leverkusen dominated by xG (2.94 vs 0.35).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
12
E. Tapsoba
1 👟
D
E. Tapsoba
1 👟
D
5
D
4
J. Quansah
72'
D
J. Quansah
72'
D
20
Álex Grimaldo
M
Álex Grimaldo
M
24
Aleix García
M
Aleix García
M
25
E. Palacios
81'
M
E. Palacios
81'
M
21
Lucas Vázquez
65'
M
Lucas Vázquez
65'
M
23
Nathan Tella
81'
F
Nathan Tella
81'
F
30
I. Maza
F
I. Maza
F
14
P. Schick
1 ⚽
F
P. Schick
1 ⚽
F
Bench
35
Christian Kofane
18'
F
Christian Kofane
18'
F
19
E. Poku
F
E. Poku
F
28
J. Blaswich
G
J. Blaswich
G
42
Montrell Culbreath
25'
M
Montrell Culbreath
25'
M
10
M. Tillman
9'
M
M. Tillman
9'
M
8
R. Andrich
M
R. Andrich
M
1
G
16
Cedric Zesiger
D
Cedric Zesiger
D
6
J. Gouweleeuw
D
J. Gouweleeuw
D
34
Arthur Chaves
D
13
D. Giannoulis
1 👟
M
D. Giannoulis
1 👟
M
32
F. Rieder
2 ⚽
M
F. Rieder
2 ⚽
M
4
H. Massengo
M
H. Massengo
M
19
R. Fellhauer
81'
M
R. Fellhauer
81'
M
20
A. Claude-Maurice
60'
F
A. Claude-Maurice
60'
F
30
A. Kade
82'
F
A. Kade
82'
F
21
Rodrigo Ribeiro
74'
F
Rodrigo Ribeiro
74'
F
Bench
8
E. Rexhbeçaj
30'
M
E. Rexhbeçaj
30'
M
31
K. Schlotterbeck
D
K. Schlotterbeck
D
36
M. Kömür
8'
M
M. Kömür
8'
M
27
M. Wolf
9'
M
M. Wolf
9'
M
Best on the pitch
G · FC
9.30
· 32 pass
F. Rieder
M · FC
8.30
2 ⚽
1 shots
· 42 pass
D · Bayer
8.00
1 shots
· 85 pass
Aleix García
M · Bayer
7.90
· 104 pass
Álex Grimaldo
M · Bayer
7.70
3 shots
· 67 pass
E. Palacios
M · Bayer
7.70
· 103 pass
Bayer Leverkusen — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | — | — | — | |
| E. Tapsoba | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | 1 | 3 | 79 | 77% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | 1 | 85 | 81% | 3 | — | — | |
| J. Quansah | D | 72 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 68 | 64% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Álex Grimaldo | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 3 | 67 | 60% | — | — | — |
| Aleix García | M | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 104 | 96% | 1 | 1 | — |
| E. Palacios | M | 81 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 103 | 96% | 1 | — | — |
| Lucas Vázquez | M | 65 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 34 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Nathan Tella | F | 81 | 7.30 | — | — | 4 | 20 | 19% | — | — | — |
| I. Maza | F | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 3 | 44 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Schick | F | 90 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 4 | 18 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Christian Kofane | F | 18 | 5.90 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Montrell Culbreath | M | 25 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Tillman | M | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
FC Augsburg — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 9.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 25% | — | — | — | |
| Cedric Zesiger | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 34 | 30% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Gouweleeuw | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Arthur Chaves | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Giannoulis | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 20 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Rieder | M | 90 | 8.30 | 2 | — | 1 | 42 | 32% | 3 | 1 | — |
| H. Massengo | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 26% | — | — | — |
| R. Fellhauer | M | 81 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Claude-Maurice | F | 60 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Kade | F | 82 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Ribeiro | F | 74 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| E. Rexhbeçaj | M | 30 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Kömür | M | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Wolf | M | 9 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bayer Leverkusen vs FC Augsburg?
The final score was Bayer Leverkusen 1–2 FC Augsburg.
What did the model predict before Bayer Leverkusen vs FC Augsburg?
The model assigned 71% probability to a Bayer Leverkusen win, 15% to a draw, and 13% to an FC Augsburg win.