← Bundesliga
Bundesliga · Regular Season - 30 April 19, 2026 19:30
Bayern München
#1 · 86 pts
4 – 2
Final score
VfB Stuttgart
#4 · 61 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Bayern München
R. Guerreiro (ast. J. Musiala) 31'
N. Jackson (ast. L. Diaz) 33'
A. Davies (ast. L. Diaz) 37'
H. Kane 52'
21' (ast. B. El Khannouss) C. Fuhrich
88' (ast. A. Karazor) C. Andres

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bayern München a 70% win probability (draw 13%, VfB Stuttgart 15%). The final result was Bayern München 4–2 VfB Stuttgart. In 1 previous meetings, Bayern München have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for VfB Stuttgart.

Match statistics
17
Total shots
7
9
Shots on target
7
4.33
Actual xG
1.20
5
Saves
4
66%
Possession
34%
11
Corners
3
5
Tackles
23
Match Events
21'
ast. B. El Khannouss · C. Fuhrich⚽
⚽R. Guerreiro · ast. J. Musiala
31'
⚽N. Jackson · ast. L. Diaz
33'
⚽A. Davies · ast. L. Diaz
37'
46'
L. Jaquez / F. Jeltsch ↕
↕ J. Musiala / H. Kane
46'
↕ L. Diaz / M. Olise
46'
⚽H. Kane
52'
↕ A. Davies / K. Laimer
62'
65'
M. Mittelstadt / C. Fuhrich ↕
65'
C. Andres / A. Stiller ↕
76'
E. Demirovic / J. Leweling ↕
↕ R. Guerreiro / B. Ndiaye
76'
85'
B. Bouanani / T. Tomas ↕
↕ J. Stanisic / D. Ofli
85'
88'
ast. A. Karazor · C. Andres⚽
Pre-match prediction
70.49%
Bayern ←
13.55%
X
15.97%
VfB
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Bayern München) 70.49% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Bayern
4.12
4.33
+0.21
VfB
2.16
1.20
-0.96
Bayern München dominated by xG (4.33 vs 1.20). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Bayern München Bayern München 33 86
2 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 33 70
3 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 33 65
4 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 33 61
5 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 33 61
6 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 33 58
7 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 33 44
8 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 33 43
9 FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 33 43
10 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 33 37
11 Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 33 37
12 Union Berlin Union Berlin 33 36
13 Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 33 35
14 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 33 32
15 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 33 32
16 VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 33 26
17 1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 33 26
18 FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 33 26
Lineups
Bayern München Bayern München 4-2-3-1
40
G 7.20
19
A. Davies 1 ⚽ 62' D 7.70
21
H. Ito D 6.90
3
Kim Min-Jae D 6.90
44
J. Stanisic 85' D 6.20
8
Leon Goretzka M 6.50
6 J. Kimmich J. Kimmich M 8.30
14 L. Díaz L. Díaz 2 👟 45' M 7.90
10 J. Musiala J. Musiala 1 👟 45' M 7.50
22
R. Guerreiro 1 ⚽ 76' M 7.00
11
N. Jackson 1 ⚽ F 7.60
Bench
45 A. Pavlović A. Pavlović M
39
B. Ndiaye 14' F 6.30
2 D. Upamecano D. Upamecano D
9 H. Kane H. Kane 1 ⚽ 45' F 7.30
4
Jonathan Tah D
27 K. Laimer K. Laimer 28' M 6.70
1
M. Neuer G
17 M. Olise M. Olise 45' M 7.30
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 4-2-3-1
33
G 6.20
3 R. Hendriks R. Hendriks D 6.00
24 J. Chabot J. Chabot D 7.30
29
F. Jeltsch 45' D 5.90
4
J. Vagnoman D 5.70
6
Angelo Stiller 65' M 6.90
16 A. Karazor A. Karazor 1 👟 M 7.90
18 J. Leweling J. Leweling 76' M 7.00
10
C. Fuhrich 1 ⚽ 65' M 7.50
11 B. El Khannouss B. El Khannouss 1 👟 M 7.20
8
Tiago Tomás 85' F 6.20
Bench
30
C. Andres 1 ⚽ 25' M 7.90
23
D. Zagadou D
9 E. Demirović E. Demirović 14' F 6.30
22 L. Assignon L. Assignon D
7
Maximilian Mittelstädt 25' D 7.20
28
N. Nartey M
Best on the pitch
J. Kimmich
J. Kimmich
M · Bayern
8.30
2 shots · 114 pass
C. Andres
M · VfB
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 14 pass
L. Díaz
L. Díaz
M · Bayern
7.90
2 👟
1 shots · 25 pass
A. Karazor
A. Karazor
M · VfB
7.90
1 👟
· 36 pass
A. Davies
D · Bayern
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 28 pass
N. Jackson
F · Bayern
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 35 pass
Bayern München Bayern München — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.20 — — — 44 32% — — —
A. Davies D 62 7.70 1 — 1 28 27% — — —
H. Ito D 90 6.90 — — — 82 76% — — —
Kim Min-Jae D 90 6.90 — — 1 75 72% 1 — —
J. Stanisic D 85 6.20 — — 1 45 41% — — —
Leon Goretzka M 90 6.50 — — 2 73 64% 1 — —
J. Kimmich M 90 8.30 — — 2 114 112% 1 — —
L. Díaz M 45 7.90 — 2 1 25 22% — — —
J. Musiala M 45 7.50 — 1 1 15 12% — — —
R. Guerreiro M 76 7.00 1 — 2 38 34% — — —
N. Jackson F 90 7.60 1 — 1 35 31% 1 — —
B. Ndiaye F 14 6.30 — — — 8 8% — — —
H. Kane F 45 7.30 1 — 2 20 19% — — —
K. Laimer M 28 6.70 — — — 18 17% 1 — —
M. Olise M 45 7.30 — — 3 43 37% — — —
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.20 — — — 34 16% — — —
R. Hendriks D 90 6.00 — — — 22 20% 3 — —
J. Chabot D 90 7.30 — — — 21 20% 4 — —
F. Jeltsch D 45 5.90 — — — 15 12% 1 — —
J. Vagnoman D 90 5.70 — — — 21 14% 1 — —
Angelo Stiller M 65 6.90 — — — 42 38% 2 — —
A. Karazor M 90 7.90 — 1 — 36 34% 5 — —
J. Leweling M 76 7.00 — — — 20 19% 2 — —
C. Fuhrich M 65 7.50 1 — 2 20 16% 1 — —
B. El Khannouss M 90 7.20 — 1 3 37 30% 1 — —
Tiago Tomás F 85 6.20 — — 1 16 9% 1 — —
C. Andres M 25 7.90 1 — 1 14 13% 1 — —
E. Demirović F 14 6.30 — — — 2 2% 1 — —
Maximilian Mittelstädt D 25 7.20 — — — 15 8% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart?
The final score was Bayern München 4–2 VfB Stuttgart.
What did the model predict before Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart?
The model assigned 70% probability to a Bayern München win, 13% to a draw, and 15% to an VfB Stuttgart win.