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Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 31 April 25, 2026 21:00
Benfica
#3 · 77 pts
4 – 1
Final score
Moreirense
#7 · 42 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Benfica
L. Barreiro (ast. A. Silva) 2'
R. Rios (ast. L. Barreiro) 29'
F. Ivanovic (ast. R. Rios) 89'
F. Ivanovic (ast. A. Dedic) 90'+2
26' (ast. A. Ferreira) Travassos

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Benfica a 81% win probability (draw 11%, Moreirense 6%). The final result was Benfica 4–1 Moreirense. In 1 previous meetings, Benfica have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Moreirense.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
7
8
Shots on target
4
2.02
Actual xG
0.87
3
Saves
4
58%
Possession
42%
9
Corners
2
13
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽L. Barreiro · ast. A. Silva
2'
26'
ast. A. Ferreira · Travassos⚽
⚽R. Rios · ast. L. Barreiro
29'
F. Aursnes
32'
40'
A. Assis
R. Rios
41'
46'
N. John / A. Assis ↕
↕ A. Bah / A. Dedic
58'
↕ Rafa Silva / A. Schjelderup
58'
↕ D. Lukebakio / G. Prestianni
58'
60'
Fabiano
67'
Kiko / Landerson ↕
67'
C. Teguia / Kiko Bondoso ↕
↕ V. Pavlidis / F. Ivanovic
75'
79'
L. Semedo / Alanzinho ↕
79'
Yan Maranhao / M. Stjepanovic ↕
⚽F. Ivanovic · ast. R. Rios
89'
↕ R. Rios / Manu
90'+1
⚽F. Ivanovic · ast. A. Dedic
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
81.9%
Benfica ←
11.68%
X
6.42%
Moreirense
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Benfica) 81.9% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Benfica
2.68
2.02
-0.66
Moreirense
0.48
0.87
+0.39
Benfica dominated by xG (2.02 vs 0.87). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Porto FC Porto 33 85
2 Sporting CP Sporting CP 33 79
3 Benfica Benfica 33 77
4 SC Braga SC Braga 33 58
5 Famalicao Famalicao 33 53
6 GIL Vicente GIL Vicente 33 50
7 Moreirense Moreirense 33 42
8 Guimaraes Guimaraes 33 42
9 Estoril Estoril 33 39
10 Arouca Arouca 33 39
11 Alverca Alverca 33 39
12 Santa Clara Santa Clara 33 36
13 Rio Ave Rio Ave 33 35
14 Nacional Nacional 33 31
15 Estrela Estrela 33 29
16 Casa Pia Casa Pia 33 29
17 Tondela Tondela 33 28
18 AVS AVS 33 20
Lineups
Benfica Benfica 4-2-3-1
1 Anatoliy Trubin Anatoliy Trubin G 7.30
26 Samuel Dahl Samuel Dahl D 5.90
30 N. Otamendi N. Otamendi D 7.20
4
1 👟 D 7.90
6 Alexander Bah Alexander Bah 58' D 6.90
8 Fredrik Aursnes Fredrik Aursnes M 7.20
20 R. Rios R. Rios 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 8.50
27 Rafa Silva Rafa Silva 58' M 6.60
18 L. Barreiro L. Barreiro 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 8.50
11 D. Lukebakio D. Lukebakio 58' M 6.30
14 V. Pavlidis V. Pavlidis 75' F 6.50
Bench
21 A. Schjelderup A. Schjelderup 37' F 7.00
5 Enzo Barrenechea Enzo Barrenechea M
9 Franjo Ivanović Franjo Ivanović 2 ⚽ 20' F 8.50
10 Georgiy Sudakov Georgiy Sudakov M
25 Gianluca Prestianni Gianluca Prestianni 37' F 6.90
Moreirense Moreirense 4-4-2
13
André Ferreira 1 👟 G 6.30
2 Diogo Travassos Diogo Travassos 1 ⚽ D 6.30
26 Maracás Maracás D 6.20
66 Gilberto Batista Gilberto Batista D 5.50
70 Fabiano Souza Fabiano Souza D 6.20
78 Landerson Landerson 67' M 6.50
25 Afonso Assis Afonso Assis 45' M 6.50
8 Mateja Stjepanović Mateja Stjepanović 79' M 6.20
10 Kiko Bondoso Kiko Bondoso 67' M 7.20
21
Rodri F 6.30
11 Alan Alan 79' F 6.60
Bench
22 Caio Secco Caio Secco G
7 Cedric Teguia Cedric Teguia 28' F 6.20
27 Kiko Kiko 28' D 6.50
9 Luís Semedo Luís Semedo 16' F 6.70
23 Nile John Nile John 50' M 6.20
99 Yan Maranhão Yan Maranhão 16' F 6.30
Best on the pitch
Franjo Ivanović
Franjo Ivanović
F · Benfica
8.50
2 ⚽
3 shots · 3 pass
L. Barreiro
L. Barreiro
M · Benfica
8.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 26 pass
R. Rios
R. Rios
M · Benfica
8.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 37 pass
D · Benfica
7.90
1 👟
3 shots · 78 pass
Anatoliy Trubin
Anatoliy Trubin
G · Benfica
7.30
· 25 pass
Kiko Bondoso
Kiko Bondoso
M · Moreirense
7.20
1 shots · 28 pass
Benfica Benfica — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Anatoliy Trubin G 95 7.30 — — — 25 22% — — —
Samuel Dahl D 95 5.90 — — — 53 44% 1 — —
N. Otamendi D 95 7.20 — — 1 68 63% 1 — —
D 95 7.90 — 1 3 78 72% — — —
Alexander Bah D 58 6.90 — — 1 22 16% 3 — —
Fredrik Aursnes M 95 7.20 — — — 61 54% — 1 —
R. Rios M 91 8.50 1 1 2 37 31% 1 1 —
Rafa Silva M 58 6.60 — — — 20 16% 1 — —
L. Barreiro M 95 8.50 1 1 1 26 19% 3 — —
D. Lukebakio M 58 6.30 — — 1 20 17% — — —
V. Pavlidis F 75 6.50 — — 2 16 12% — — —
A. Schjelderup F 37 7.00 — — — 16 12% 2 — —
Franjo Ivanović F 20 8.50 2 — 3 3 2% — — —
Gianluca Prestianni F 37 6.90 — — — 14 12% 1 — —
Moreirense Moreirense — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
André Ferreira G 95 6.30 — 1 — 35 20% — — —
Diogo Travassos D 95 6.30 1 — 1 22 19% 2 — —
Maracás D 95 6.20 — — — 36 31% 1 — —
Gilberto Batista D 95 5.50 — — 1 56 37% 1 — —
Fabiano Souza D 95 6.20 — — — 29 25% 3 1 —
Landerson M 67 6.50 — — — 14 14% 1 — —
Afonso Assis M 45 6.50 — — 1 23 18% 1 1 —
Mateja Stjepanović M 79 6.20 — — 1 13 7% 1 — —
Kiko Bondoso M 67 7.20 — — 1 28 21% 1 — —
Rodri F 95 6.30 — — — 32 30% — — —
Alan F 79 6.60 — — 1 29 25% — — —
Cedric Teguia F 28 6.20 — — — 5 2% — — —
Kiko D 28 6.50 — — — 7 5% 2 — —
Luís Semedo F 16 6.70 — — — 4 2% — — —
Nile John M 50 6.20 — — 1 15 14% 1 — —
Yan Maranhão F 16 6.30 — — — 5 4% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Benfica vs Moreirense?
The final score was Benfica 4–1 Moreirense.
What did the model predict before Benfica vs Moreirense?
The model assigned 81% probability to a Benfica win, 11% to a draw, and 6% to an Moreirense win.