✓Model correct — prediction Benfica
L. Barreiro
(ast. A. Silva)
2'
R. Rios
(ast. L. Barreiro)
29'
F. Ivanovic
(ast. R. Rios)
89'
F. Ivanovic
(ast. A. Dedic)
90'+2
26'
(ast. A. Ferreira)
Travassos
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Benfica a 81% win probability (draw 11%, Moreirense 6%). The final result was Benfica 4–1 Moreirense. In 2 previous meetings, Benfica have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Moreirense.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
7
8
Shots on target
4
2.02
Actual xG
0.87
3
Saves
4
58%
Possession
42%
9
Corners
2
13
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽L. Barreiro
· ast. A. Silva
2'
26'
ast. A. Ferreira ·
Travassos⚽
⚽R. Rios
· ast. L. Barreiro
29'
F. Aursnes
32'
40'
A. Assis
R. Rios
41'
46'
N. John
/
A. Assis
A. Bah
/ A. Dedic
58'
Rafa Silva
/ A. Schjelderup
58'
D. Lukebakio
/ G. Prestianni
58'
60'
Fabiano
67'
Kiko
/
Landerson
67'
C. Teguia
/
Kiko Bondoso
V. Pavlidis
/ F. Ivanovic
75'
79'
L. Semedo
/
Alanzinho
79'
Yan Maranhao
/
M. Stjepanovic
⚽F. Ivanovic
· ast. R. Rios
89'
R. Rios
/ Manu
90'+1
⚽F. Ivanovic
· ast. A. Dedic
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
81.9%
Benfica ←
11.68%
X
6.42%
Moreirense
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Benfica)
81.9%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.68
2.02
-0.66
0.48
0.87
+0.39
Benfica dominated by xG (2.02 vs 0.87).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
A. Trubin
G
A. Trubin
G
26
S. Dahl
D
S. Dahl
D
30
N. Otamendi
D
N. Otamendi
D
4
1 👟
D
6
A. Bah
58'
D
A. Bah
58'
D
8
F. Aursnes
M
F. Aursnes
M
20
R. Rios
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
R. Rios
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
27
Rafa
58'
M
Rafa
58'
M
18
L. Barreiro
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
L. Barreiro
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
11
D. Lukebakio
58'
M
D. Lukebakio
58'
M
14
V. Pavlidis
75'
F
V. Pavlidis
75'
F
Bench
21
A. Schjelderup
37'
F
A. Schjelderup
37'
F
5
E. Barrenechea
M
E. Barrenechea
M
9
F. Ivanović
2 ⚽
20'
F
F. Ivanović
2 ⚽
20'
F
25
G. Prestianni
37'
F
G. Prestianni
37'
F
10
H. Sudakov
M
H. Sudakov
M
13
André Ferreira
1 👟
G
André Ferreira
1 👟
G
2
Diogo Travassos
1 ⚽
D
Diogo Travassos
1 ⚽
D
26
Maracás
D
Maracás
D
66
Gilberto Batista
D
Gilberto Batista
D
70
Fabiano
D
Fabiano
D
78
Landerson
67'
M
Landerson
67'
M
25
Afonso Assis
45'
M
Afonso Assis
45'
M
8
M. Stjepanović
79'
M
M. Stjepanović
79'
M
10
Kiko Bondoso
67'
M
Kiko Bondoso
67'
M
21
Rodri Alonso
F
Rodri Alonso
F
11
Alan
79'
F
Alan
79'
F
Bench
22
Caio Secco
G
7
Cedric Teguia
28'
F
Cedric Teguia
28'
F
27
Kiko
28'
D
Kiko
28'
D
9
Luís Semedo
16'
F
Luís Semedo
16'
F
99
Maranhão
16'
F
Maranhão
16'
F
23
N. John
50'
M
N. John
50'
M
Best on the pitch
F. Ivanović
F · Benfica
8.50
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 3 pass
R. Rios
M · Benfica
8.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 37 pass
L. Barreiro
M · Benfica
8.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 26 pass
D · Benfica
7.90
1 👟
3 shots
· 78 pass
A. Trubin
G · Benfica
7.30
· 25 pass
N. Otamendi
D · Benfica
7.20
1 shots
· 68 pass
Benfica — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Trubin | G | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | — | — | — |
| S. Dahl | D | 95 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 53 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Otamendi | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 68 | 63% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 95 | 7.90 | — | 1 | 3 | 78 | 72% | — | — | — | |
| A. Bah | D | 58 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| F. Aursnes | M | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 61 | 54% | — | 1 | — |
| R. Rios | M | 91 | 8.50 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 37 | 31% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Rafa | M | 58 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Barreiro | M | 95 | 8.50 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Lukebakio | M | 58 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 17% | — | — | — |
| V. Pavlidis | F | 75 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 12% | — | — | — |
| A. Schjelderup | F | 37 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Ivanović | F | 20 | 8.50 | 2 | — | 3 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| G. Prestianni | F | 37 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
Moreirense — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| André Ferreira | G | 95 | 6.30 | — | 1 | — | 35 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Diogo Travassos | D | 95 | 6.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 22 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| Maracás | D | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Gilberto Batista | D | 95 | 5.50 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| Fabiano | D | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 25% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Landerson | M | 67 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 14 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Afonso Assis | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 18% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Stjepanović | M | 79 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Kiko Bondoso | M | 67 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Rodri Alonso | F | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Alan | F | 79 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Cedric Teguia | F | 28 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Kiko | D | 28 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| Luís Semedo | F | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Maranhão | F | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| N. John | M | 50 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Benfica vs Moreirense?
The final score was Benfica 4–1 Moreirense.
What did the model predict before Benfica vs Moreirense?
The model assigned 81% probability to a Benfica win, 11% to a draw, and 6% to an Moreirense win.