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Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 31 April 25, 2026 19:00 Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon
Benfica
#3 · 80 pts
4 – 1
Final score
Moreirense
#7 · 43 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Benfica
L. Barreiro (ast. A. Silva) 2'
R. Rios (ast. L. Barreiro) 29'
F. Ivanovic (ast. R. Rios) 89'
F. Ivanovic (ast. A. Dedic) 90'+2
26' (ast. A. Ferreira) Travassos
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Benfica a 81% win probability (draw 11%, Moreirense 6%). The final result was Benfica 4–1 Moreirense. In 1 previous meetings, Benfica have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Moreirense.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
7
8
Shots on target
4
2.02
Actual xG
0.87
3
Saves
4
58%
Possession
42%
9
Corners
2
13
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽L. Barreiro · ast. A. Silva
2'
26'
ast. A. Ferreira · Travassos⚽
⚽R. Rios · ast. L. Barreiro
29'
F. Aursnes
32'
40'
A. Assis
R. Rios
41'
46'
N. John / A. Assis ↕
↕ A. Bah / A. Dedic
58'
↕ Rafa Silva / A. Schjelderup
58'
↕ D. Lukebakio / G. Prestianni
58'
60'
Fabiano
67'
Kiko / Landerson ↕
67'
C. Teguia / Kiko Bondoso ↕
↕ V. Pavlidis / F. Ivanovic
75'
79'
L. Semedo / Alanzinho ↕
79'
Yan Maranhao / M. Stjepanovic ↕
⚽F. Ivanovic · ast. R. Rios
89'
↕ R. Rios / Manu
90'+1
⚽F. Ivanovic · ast. A. Dedic
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
81.9%
Benfica ←
11.68%
X
6.42%
Moreirense
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Benfica) 81.9% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Benfica
2.68
2.02
-0.66
Moreirense
0.48
0.87
+0.39
Benfica dominated by xG (2.02 vs 0.87). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Porto FC Porto 34 88
2 Sporting CP Sporting CP 34 82
3 Benfica Benfica 34 80
4 SC Braga SC Braga 34 59
5 Famalicao Famalicao 34 56
6 GIL Vicente GIL Vicente 34 50
7 Moreirense Moreirense 34 43
8 Arouca Arouca 34 42
9 Guimaraes Guimaraes 34 42
10 Estoril Estoril 34 39
11 Alverca Alverca 34 39
12 Rio Ave Rio Ave 34 36
13 Santa Clara Santa Clara 34 36
14 Nacional Nacional 34 34
15 Estrela Estrela 34 30
16 Casa Pia Casa Pia 34 30
17 Tondela Tondela 34 28
18 AVS AVS 34 21
Lineups
Benfica Benfica 4-2-3-1
1 Anatoliy Trubin Anatoliy Trubin G 7.30
26 Samuel Dahl Samuel Dahl D 5.90
30 Nicolás Otamendi Nicolás Otamendi D 7.20
4
1 👟 D 7.90
6 Alexander Bah Alexander Bah 58' D 6.90
8 Fredrik Aursnes Fredrik Aursnes M 7.20
20 R. Rios R. Rios 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 8.50
27 Rafa Silva Rafa Silva 58' M 6.60
18 L. Barreiro L. Barreiro 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 8.50
11 Dodi Lukebakio Dodi Lukebakio 58' M 6.30
14 V. Pavlidis V. Pavlidis 75' F 6.50
Bench
21 Andreas Schjelderup Andreas Schjelderup 37' F 7.00
5 Enzo Barrenechea Enzo Barrenechea M
9 F. Ivanović F. Ivanović 2 ⚽ 20' F 8.50
25 G. Prestianni G. Prestianni 37' F 6.90
10 H. Sudakov H. Sudakov M
Moreirense Moreirense 4-4-2
13 André Ferreira André Ferreira 1 👟 G 6.30
2 Diogo Travassos Diogo Travassos 1 ⚽ D 6.30
26 Maracás Maracás D 6.20
66 Gilberto Batista Gilberto Batista D 5.50
70 Fabiano Souza Fabiano Souza D 6.20
78 Landerson Landerson 67' M 6.50
25 Afonso Assis Afonso Assis 45' M 6.50
8 Mateja Stjepanović Mateja Stjepanović 79' M 6.20
10 Kiko Bondoso Kiko Bondoso 67' M 7.20
21 Rodrigo Alonso Rodrigo Alonso F 6.30
11 Alan Alan 79' F 6.60
Bench
22 Caio Secco Caio Secco G
7 Cedric Teguia Cedric Teguia 28' F 6.20
27 Kiko Kiko 28' D 6.50
9 Luís Semedo Luís Semedo 16' F 6.70
23 Nile John Nile John 50' M 6.20
99 Yan Maranhão Yan Maranhão 16' F 6.30
Best on the pitch
F. Ivanović
F. Ivanović
F · Benfica
8.50
2 ⚽
3 shots · 3 pass
L. Barreiro
L. Barreiro
M · Benfica
8.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 26 pass
R. Rios
R. Rios
M · Benfica
8.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 37 pass
D · Benfica
7.90
1 👟
3 shots · 78 pass
Anatoliy Trubin
Anatoliy Trubin
G · Benfica
7.30
· 25 pass
Kiko Bondoso
Kiko Bondoso
M · Moreirense
7.20
1 shots · 28 pass
Benfica Benfica — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Anatoliy Trubin G 95 7.30 — — — 25 22% — — —
Samuel Dahl D 95 5.90 — — — 53 44% 1 — —
Nicolás Otamendi D 95 7.20 — — 1 68 63% 1 — —
D 95 7.90 — 1 3 78 72% — — —
Alexander Bah D 58 6.90 — — 1 22 16% 3 — —
Fredrik Aursnes M 95 7.20 — — — 61 54% — 1 —
R. Rios M 91 8.50 1 1 2 37 31% 1 1 —
Rafa Silva M 58 6.60 — — — 20 16% 1 — —
L. Barreiro M 95 8.50 1 1 1 26 19% 3 — —
Dodi Lukebakio M 58 6.30 — — 1 20 17% — — —
V. Pavlidis F 75 6.50 — — 2 16 12% — — —
Andreas Schjelderup F 37 7.00 — — — 16 12% 2 — —
F. Ivanović F 20 8.50 2 — 3 3 2% — — —
G. Prestianni F 37 6.90 — — — 14 12% 1 — —
Moreirense Moreirense — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
André Ferreira G 95 6.30 — 1 — 35 20% — — —
Diogo Travassos D 95 6.30 1 — 1 22 19% 2 — —
Maracás D 95 6.20 — — — 36 31% 1 — —
Gilberto Batista D 95 5.50 — — 1 56 37% 1 — —
Fabiano Souza D 95 6.20 — — — 29 25% 3 1 —
Landerson M 67 6.50 — — — 14 14% 1 — —
Afonso Assis M 45 6.50 — — 1 23 18% 1 1 —
Mateja Stjepanović M 79 6.20 — — 1 13 7% 1 — —
Kiko Bondoso M 67 7.20 — — 1 28 21% 1 — —
Rodrigo Alonso F 95 6.30 — — — 32 30% — — —
Alan F 79 6.60 — — 1 29 25% — — —
Cedric Teguia F 28 6.20 — — — 5 2% — — —
Kiko D 28 6.50 — — — 7 5% 2 — —
Luís Semedo F 16 6.70 — — — 4 2% — — —
Nile John M 50 6.20 — — 1 15 14% 1 — —
Yan Maranhão F 16 6.30 — — — 5 4% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Benfica vs Moreirense?
The final score was Benfica 4–1 Moreirense.
What did the model predict before Benfica vs Moreirense?
The model assigned 81% probability to a Benfica win, 11% to a draw, and 6% to an Moreirense win.