← Championship
Championship · Regular Season - 40 April 03, 2026 16:00
Birmingham
#10 · 64 pts
0 – 1
Final score
Blackburn
#20 · 52 pts
69' (ast. R. Morishita) T. Cantwell

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Birmingham a 38% win probability (draw 35%, Blackburn 26%). The final result was Birmingham 0–1 Blackburn. In 1 previous meetings, Birmingham have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Blackburn.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
9
5
Shots on target
4
1.06
Actual xG
1.52
3
Saves
5
65%
Possession
35%
9
Corners
10
14
Tackles
13
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
21'
Adam Forshaw
↕ I. Osman / D. Gray
65'
↕ M. Ducksch / K. Fujimoto
66'
69'
ast. R. Morishita · T. Cantwell⚽
77'
K. Montgomery / R. Morishita ↕
↕ J. Stansfield / A. Priske
78'
↕ P. Roberts / C. Vicente
78'
83'
Y. Ribeiro / S. Wharton ↕
83'
M. Jorgensen / T. Cantwell ↕
↕ T. Iwata / B. Osayi-Samuel
88'
90'
S. Tavares / M. Baradji ↕
Pre-match prediction
38.31%
Birmingham
35.14%
X
26.55%
Blackburn ←
we assigned to the actual result (Blackburn) 26.55% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Birmingham
0.88
1.06
+0.18
Blackburn
0.84
1.52
+0.68
Blackburn dominated by xG (1.52 vs 1.06). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Coventry Coventry 46 95
2 Ipswich Ipswich 46 84
3 Millwall Millwall 46 83
4 Southampton Southampton 46 80
5 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 46 80
6 Hull City Hull City 46 73
7 Wrexham Wrexham 46 71
8 Derby Derby 46 69
9 Norwich Norwich 46 65
10 Birmingham Birmingham 46 64
11 Swansea Swansea 46 64
12 Bristol City Bristol City 46 62
13 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 46 60
14 Preston Preston 46 60
15 QPR QPR 46 58
16 Watford Watford 46 57
17 Stoke City Stoke City 46 55
18 Portsmouth Portsmouth 46 55
19 Charlton Charlton 46 53
20 Blackburn Blackburn 46 52
21 West Brom West Brom 46 51
22 Oxford United Oxford United 46 47
23 Leicester Leicester 46 46
24 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 46 0
Lineups
Birmingham Birmingham 4-2-3-1
25
G 7.30
2
E. Laird D 7.00
6
D 7.30
4
Christoph Klarer D 7.20
24
T. Iwata 88' D 7.00
8
Paik Seung-Ho M 7.20
7
M 7.00
17
Ibrahim Osman 65' M 6.50
33
M. Ducksch 65' M 6.90
16
P. Roberts 78' M 7.20
28
Jay Stansfield 78' F 6.50
Bench
29
A. Priske 12' F 7.00
26
B. Osayi-Samuel 10' D 6.70
23 Carlos Vicente Carlos Vicente 12' F 6.50
10
D. Gray 25' F 6.30
14
J. E. Solis Romero M
37
J. Panzo D
5
P. Neumann D
Blackburn Blackburn 3-4-2-1
22
G 8.20
15 S. McLoughlin S. McLoughlin D 6.90
16
S. Wharton 83' D 7.50
38
D 7.20
3
H. Pickering M 7.30
24
M. Baradji 89' M 7.20
28
Adam Forshaw M 6.60
2
R. Alebiosu M 6.60
10
T. Cantwell 1 ⚽ 83' F 7.90
25 R. Morishita R. Morishita 1 👟 77' F 6.30
23
Y. Ohashi F 6.50
Bench
31
K. Montgomery 13' M 6.50
29
M. Jorgensen 15' F 6.60
27
N. Redmond M
4
Y. Ribeiro 15' D 6.90
Best on the pitch
G · Blackburn
8.20
· 30 pass
T. Cantwell
F · Blackburn
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 21 pass
S. Wharton
D · Blackburn
7.50
1 shots · 23 pass
G · Birmingham
7.30
· 38 pass
D · Birmingham
7.30
· 75 pass
H. Pickering
M · Blackburn
7.30
1 shots · 25 pass
Birmingham Birmingham — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.30 — — — 38 26% — — —
E. Laird D 90 7.00 — — 1 40 33% — — —
D 90 7.30 — — — 75 70% — — —
Christoph Klarer D 90 7.20 — — — 73 68% 1 — —
T. Iwata D 88 7.00 — — 3 44 36% 1 — —
Paik Seung-Ho M 90 7.20 — — 1 63 54% 6 — —
M 90 7.00 — — 1 86 70% 1 — —
Ibrahim Osman M 65 6.50 — — 1 18 13% 2 — —
M. Ducksch M 65 6.90 — — 2 27 17% 1 — —
P. Roberts M 78 7.20 — — — 29 25% 2 — —
Jay Stansfield F 78 6.50 — — 2 13 10% — — —
A. Priske F 12 7.00 — — — 4 2% — — —
B. Osayi-Samuel D 10 6.70 — — — 5 3% — — —
Carlos Vicente F 12 6.50 — — — 4 4% — — —
D. Gray F 25 6.30 — — — 10 9% — — —
Blackburn Blackburn — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 8.20 — — — 30 10% — — —
S. McLoughlin D 90 6.90 — — 1 30 17% — — —
S. Wharton D 83 7.50 — — 1 23 20% — — —
D 90 7.20 — — 2 16 13% 2 — —
H. Pickering M 90 7.30 — — 1 25 14% 3 — —
M. Baradji M 89 7.20 — — 1 29 25% 3 — —
Adam Forshaw M 90 6.60 — — — 30 26% 2 1 —
R. Alebiosu M 90 6.60 — — — 25 16% — — —
T. Cantwell F 83 7.90 1 — 2 21 16% 1 — —
R. Morishita F 77 6.30 — 1 — 16 12% — — —
Y. Ohashi F 90 6.50 — — 1 13 10% 1 — —
K. Montgomery M 13 6.50 — — — 9 4% — — —
M. Jorgensen F 15 6.60 — — — 2 1% 1 — —
Y. Ribeiro D 15 6.90 — — — 3 — — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Birmingham vs Blackburn?
The final score was Birmingham 0–1 Blackburn.
What did the model predict before Birmingham vs Blackburn?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Birmingham win, 35% to a draw, and 26% to an Blackburn win.