69'
(ast. R. Morishita)
T. Cantwell
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Birmingham a 38% win probability (draw 35%, Blackburn 26%). The final result was Birmingham 0–1 Blackburn. In 1 previous meetings, Birmingham have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Blackburn.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
9
5
Shots on target
4
1.06
Actual xG
1.52
3
Saves
5
65%
Possession
35%
9
Corners
10
14
Tackles
13
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
21'
Adam Forshaw
I. Osman
/ D. Gray
65'
M. Ducksch
/ K. Fujimoto
66'
69'
ast. R. Morishita ·
T. Cantwell⚽
77'
K. Montgomery
/
R. Morishita
J. Stansfield
/ A. Priske
78'
P. Roberts
/ C. Vicente
78'
83'
Y. Ribeiro
/
S. Wharton
83'
M. Jorgensen
/
T. Cantwell
T. Iwata
/ B. Osayi-Samuel
88'
90'
S. Tavares
/
M. Baradji
Pre-match prediction
38.31%
Birmingham
35.14%
X
26.55%
Blackburn ←
we assigned to the actual result (Blackburn)
26.55%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.88
1.06
+0.18
0.84
1.52
+0.68
Blackburn dominated by xG (1.52 vs 1.06).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
25
G
2
E. Laird
D
6
D
4
C. Klarer
D
C. Klarer
D
24
T. Iwata
88'
D
8
Seung Ho Paik
M
Seung Ho Paik
M
7
M
17
Ibrahim Osman
65'
M
Ibrahim Osman
65'
M
33
M. Ducksch
65'
M
16
P. Roberts
78'
M
28
Jay Stansfield
78'
F
Bench
29
A. Priske
12'
F
26
B. Osayi-Samuel
10'
D
23
Carlos Vicente
12'
F
Carlos Vicente
12'
F
10
D. Gray
25'
F
14
J. E. Solis Romero
M
37
J. Panzo
D
5
P. Neumann
D
22
G
15
S. McLoughlin
D
S. McLoughlin
D
16
S. Wharton
83'
D
38
D
3
H. Pickering
M
24
M. Baradji
89'
M
28
Adam Forshaw
M
2
R. Alebiosu
M
10
T. Cantwell
1 ⚽
83'
F
25
R. Morishita
1 👟
77'
F
R. Morishita
1 👟
77'
F
23
Y. Ohashi
F
Bench
31
K. Montgomery
13'
M
29
M. Jorgensen
15'
F
27
N. Redmond
M
4
Y. Ribeiro
15'
D
Best on the pitch
G · Blackburn
8.20
· 30 pass
T. Cantwell
F · Blackburn
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 21 pass
S. Wharton
D · Blackburn
7.50
1 shots
· 23 pass
G · Birmingham
7.30
· 38 pass
D · Birmingham
7.30
· 75 pass
H. Pickering
M · Blackburn
7.30
1 shots
· 25 pass
Birmingham — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 26% | — | — | — | |
| E. Laird | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 33% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 75 | 70% | — | — | — | |
| C. Klarer | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 73 | 68% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Iwata | D | 88 | 7.00 | — | — | 3 | 44 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| Seung Ho Paik | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 63 | 54% | 6 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 86 | 70% | 1 | — | — | |
| Ibrahim Osman | M | 65 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Ducksch | M | 65 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Roberts | M | 78 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| Jay Stansfield | F | 78 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| A. Priske | F | 12 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| B. Osayi-Samuel | D | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Carlos Vicente | F | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| D. Gray | F | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
Blackburn — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 10% | — | — | — | |
| S. McLoughlin | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 17% | — | — | — |
| S. Wharton | D | 83 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 20% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 13% | 2 | — | — | |
| H. Pickering | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Baradji | M | 89 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| Adam Forshaw | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 30 | 26% | 2 | 1 | — |
| R. Alebiosu | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 25 | 16% | — | — | — |
| T. Cantwell | F | 83 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 21 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Morishita | F | 77 | 6.30 | — | 1 | — | 16 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Y. Ohashi | F | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Montgomery | M | 13 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 4% | — | — | — |
| M. Jorgensen | F | 15 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Ribeiro | D | 15 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Birmingham vs Blackburn?
The final score was Birmingham 0–1 Blackburn.
What did the model predict before Birmingham vs Blackburn?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Birmingham win, 35% to a draw, and 26% to an Blackburn win.