Championship · Regular Season - 45 April 25, 2026 16:00

Birmingham

#10 · 64 pts

2 – 1

Final score

Bristol City

#12 · 62 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Birmingham

P. Neumann (ast. D. Gray) 8'

J. E. Solis Romero 29'

(pen.) 81' T. Horvat

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Birmingham a 50% win probability (draw 27%, Bristol City 21%). The final result was Birmingham 2–1 Bristol City. In 1 previous meetings, Birmingham have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Bristol City.

Match statistics

10

Total shots

4

6

Shots on target

2

1.45

Actual xG

1.15

1

Saves

4

45%

Possession

55%

6

Corners

5

12

Tackles

9

2

🟨 Yellow cards

1

Match Events

⚽P. Neumann · ast. D. Gray

8'

J. E. Solis Romero

14'

⚽J. E. Solis Romero

29'

46'

R. Dickie / C. Pring ↕

↕ J. E. Solis Romero / T. Iwata

59'

63'

E. Riis / S. Bell ↕

63'

A. Randell / S. Morsy ↕

↕ D. Gray / T. Doyle

70'

↕ B. Osayi-Samuel / E. Laird

70'

75'

D. Burgzorg

77'

S. Armstrong / D. Burgzorg ↕

81'

(pen.) T. Horvat⚽

J. Stansfield

81'

↕ J. Stansfield / A. Cochrane

85'

C. Klarer

90'+4

Pre-match prediction

50.64%

Birmingham ←

27.8%

X

21.56%

Bristol

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Birmingham) 50.64% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Birmingham

1.41

1.45

+0.04

Bristol

0.83

1.15

+0.32

xG dominance was balanced (1.45 – 1.15). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Coventry	46	95
2	Ipswich	46	84
3	Millwall	46	83
4	Southampton	46	80
5	Middlesbrough	46	80
6	Hull City	46	73
7	Wrexham	46	71
8	Derby	46	69
9	Norwich	46	65
10	Birmingham	46	64
11	Swansea	46	64
12	Bristol City	46	62
13	Sheffield Utd	46	60
14	Preston	46	60
15	QPR	46	58
16	Watford	46	57
17	Stoke City	46	55
18	Portsmouth	46	55
19	Charlton	46	53
20	Blackburn	46	52
21	West Brom	46	51
22	Oxford United	46	47
23	Leicester	46	46
24	Sheffield Wednesday	46	0

Lineups

Birmingham 4-2-3-1

25

G 6.50

31

D 6.50

4

Christoph Klarer D 6.30

5

P. Neumann 1 ⚽ D 8.20

26

B. Osayi-Samuel 70' D 7.00

14

J. E. Solis Romero 1 ⚽ 60' M 7.30

8

Paik Seung-Ho M 6.50

10

D. Gray 1 👟 70' M 6.90

28

Jay Stansfield 85' M 6.90

23 Carlos Vicente M 7.00

29

A. Priske F 6.70

Bench

2

E. Laird 24' D 6.20

33

M. Ducksch F

16

P. Roberts M

24

T. Iwata 34' M 7.00

Bristol City 4-2-3-1

23

G 7.20

3

C. Pring 45' D 5.90

21

D 6.50

38

N. Eile D 6.60

2

R. McCrorie D 6.30

40

S. Morsy 63' M 6.20

12

M 6.20

10 S. Twine M 6.30

14 T. Horvat 1 ⚽ M 7.30

20

S. Bell 63' M 6.50

11

D. Burgzorg 77' F 6.20

Bench

18

E. Riis 31' F 6.50

17

Mark Sykes M

16

R. Dickie 49' D 6.90

Best on the pitch

P. Neumann

D · Birmingham

8.20

1 ⚽

1 shots · 30 pass

J. E. Solis Romero

M · Birmingham

7.30

1 ⚽

1 shots · 28 pass

T. Horvat

M · Bristol

7.30

1 ⚽

2 shots · 41 pass

G · Bristol

7.20

· 46 pass

T. Iwata

M · Birmingham

7.00

· 29 pass

B. Osayi-Samuel

D · Birmingham

7.00

· 36 pass

Birmingham — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	94	6.50	—	—	—	25	6%	1	—	—
	D	94	6.50	—	—	—	31	20%	—	—	—
Christoph Klarer	D	94	6.30	—	—	—	41	30%	—	—	—
P. Neumann	D	94	8.20	1	—	1	30	22%	3	—	—
B. Osayi-Samuel	D	70	7.00	—	—	—	36	27%	3	—	—
J. E. Solis Romero	M	60	7.30	1	—	1	28	23%	1	1	—
Paik Seung-Ho	M	94	6.50	—	—	—	35	30%	—	—	—
D. Gray	M	70	6.90	—	1	2	9	9%	—	—	—
Jay Stansfield	M	85	6.90	—	—	2	14	10%	1	1	—
Carlos Vicente	M	94	7.00	—	—	2	40	31%	1	—	—
A. Priske	F	94	6.70	—	—	2	19	9%	1	—	—
E. Laird	D	24	6.20	—	—	—	8	5%	—	—	—
T. Iwata	M	34	7.00	—	—	—	29	22%	1	—	—

Bristol City — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	94	7.20	—	—	—	46	30%	—	—	—
C. Pring	D	45	5.90	—	—	—	14	9%	—	—	—
	D	94	6.50	—	—	—	53	41%	1	—	—
N. Eile	D	94	6.60	—	—	—	47	39%	—	—	—
R. McCrorie	D	94	6.30	—	—	—	39	30%	—	—	—
S. Morsy	M	63	6.20	—	—	—	51	43%	2	—	—
	M	94	6.20	—	—	—	67	53%	—	—	—
S. Twine	M	94	6.30	—	—	2	31	25%	3	—	—
T. Horvat	M	94	7.30	1	—	2	41	36%	1	—	—
S. Bell	M	63	6.50	—	—	—	14	7%	2	—	—
D. Burgzorg	F	77	6.20	—	—	—	9	9%	—	1	—
E. Riis	F	31	6.50	—	—	—	5	2%	—	—	—
R. Dickie	D	49	6.90	—	—	—	30	22%	—	—	—