Championship · Regular Season - 45 April 25, 2026 16:00 St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park, Birmingham

Birmingham

#1 · 0 pts

2 – 1

Final score

Bristol City

#8 · 0 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Birmingham

P. Neumann (ast. D. Gray) 8'

J. E. Solis Romero 29'

(pen.) 81' T. Horvat

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Birmingham a 50% win probability (draw 27%, Bristol City 21%). The final result was Birmingham 2–1 Bristol City. In 1 previous meetings, Birmingham have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Bristol City.

Match statistics

10

Total shots

4

6

Shots on target

2

1.45

Actual xG

1.15

1

Saves

4

45%

Possession

55%

6

Corners

5

12

Tackles

9

2

🟨 Yellow cards

1

Match Events

⚽P. Neumann · ast. D. Gray

8'

J. E. Solis Romero

14'

⚽J. E. Solis Romero

29'

46'

R. Dickie / C. Pring ↕

↕ J. E. Solis Romero / T. Iwata

59'

63'

E. Riis / S. Bell ↕

63'

A. Randell / S. Morsy ↕

↕ D. Gray / T. Doyle

70'

↕ B. Osayi-Samuel / E. Laird

70'

75'

D. Burgzorg

77'

S. Armstrong / D. Burgzorg ↕

81'

(pen.) T. Horvat⚽

J. Stansfield

81'

↕ J. Stansfield / A. Cochrane

85'

C. Klarer

90'+4

Pre-match prediction

50.64%

Birmingham ←

27.8%

X

21.56%

Bristol

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Birmingham) 50.64% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Birmingham

1.41

1.45

+0.04

Bristol

0.83

1.15

+0.32

xG dominance was balanced (1.45 – 1.15). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Birmingham	0	0
2	Blackburn	0	0
3	Bolton	0	0
4	Derby	0	0
5	Middlesbrough	0	0
6	Portsmouth	0	0
7	West Ham	0	0
8	Bristol City	0	0
9	Burnley	0	0
10	Cardiff	0	0
11	Charlton	0	0
12	Norwich	0	0
13	Preston	0	0
14	QPR	0	0
15	Sheffield Utd	0	0
16	Stoke City	0	0
17	Watford	0	0
18	West Brom	0	0
19	Wolves	0	0
20	Millwall	0	0
21	Swansea	0	0
22	Lincoln	0	0
23	Wrexham	0	0
24	Southampton	0	0

Lineups

Birmingham 4-2-3-1

25

G 6.50

31

D 6.50

4 Christoph Klarer D 6.30

5 Phil Neumann 1 ⚽ D 8.20

26 Bright Osayi-Samuel 70' D 7.00

14 Jhon Solís 1 ⚽ 60' M 7.30

8 Seung Ho Paik M 6.50

10 Demarai Gray 1 👟 70' M 6.90

28 Jay Stansfield 85' M 6.90

23 Carlos Vicente M 7.00

29 August Priske F 6.70

Bench

2 Ethan Laird 24' D 6.20

33

M. Ducksch F

16 Patrick Roberts M

24 Tomoki Iwata 34' M 7.00

Bristol City 4-2-3-1

23

G 7.20

3 Cameron Pring 45' D 5.90

21

D 6.50

38 Noah Eile D 6.60

2 R. McCrorie D 6.30

40

S. Morsy 63' M 6.20

12

M 6.20

10 Scott Twine M 6.30

14 T. Horvat 1 ⚽ M 7.30

20

S. Bell 63' M 6.50

11 D. Burgzorg 77' F 6.20

Bench

18 E. Riis 31' F 6.50

17 Mark Sykes M

16 Rob Dickie 49' D 6.90

Best on the pitch

Phil Neumann

D · Birmingham

8.20

1 ⚽

1 shots · 30 pass

Jhon Solís

M · Birmingham

7.30

1 ⚽

1 shots · 28 pass

T. Horvat

M · Bristol

7.30

1 ⚽

2 shots · 41 pass

G · Bristol

7.20

· 46 pass

Tomoki Iwata

M · Birmingham

7.00

· 29 pass

Bright Osayi-Samuel

D · Birmingham

7.00

· 36 pass

Birmingham — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	94	6.50	—	—	—	25	6%	1	—	—
	D	94	6.50	—	—	—	31	20%	—	—	—
Christoph Klarer	D	94	6.30	—	—	—	41	30%	—	—	—
Phil Neumann	D	94	8.20	1	—	1	30	22%	3	—	—
Bright Osayi-Samuel	D	70	7.00	—	—	—	36	27%	3	—	—
Jhon Solís	M	60	7.30	1	—	1	28	23%	1	1	—
Seung Ho Paik	M	94	6.50	—	—	—	35	30%	—	—	—
Demarai Gray	M	70	6.90	—	1	2	9	9%	—	—	—
Jay Stansfield	M	85	6.90	—	—	2	14	10%	1	1	—
Carlos Vicente	M	94	7.00	—	—	2	40	31%	1	—	—
August Priske	F	94	6.70	—	—	2	19	9%	1	—	—
Ethan Laird	D	24	6.20	—	—	—	8	5%	—	—	—
Tomoki Iwata	M	34	7.00	—	—	—	29	22%	1	—	—

Bristol City — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	94	7.20	—	—	—	46	30%	—	—	—
Cameron Pring	D	45	5.90	—	—	—	14	9%	—	—	—
	D	94	6.50	—	—	—	53	41%	1	—	—
Noah Eile	D	94	6.60	—	—	—	47	39%	—	—	—
R. McCrorie	D	94	6.30	—	—	—	39	30%	—	—	—
S. Morsy	M	63	6.20	—	—	—	51	43%	2	—	—
	M	94	6.20	—	—	—	67	53%	—	—	—
Scott Twine	M	94	6.30	—	—	2	31	25%	3	—	—
T. Horvat	M	94	7.30	1	—	2	41	36%	1	—	—
S. Bell	M	63	6.50	—	—	—	14	7%	2	—	—
D. Burgzorg	F	77	6.20	—	—	—	9	9%	—	1	—
E. Riis	F	31	6.50	—	—	—	5	2%	—	—	—
Rob Dickie	D	49	6.90	—	—	—	30	22%	—	—	—