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Championship · Regular Season - 44 April 22, 2026 20:45
Birmingham
#10 · 64 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Preston
#14 · 60 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Birmingham
J. Stansfield (ast. I. Osman) 10'
I. Osman 16'
25' A. Hughes

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Birmingham a 51% win probability (draw 29%, Preston 19%). The final result was Birmingham 2–1 Preston. In 1 previous meetings, Birmingham have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Preston.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
14
5
Shots on target
6
1.95
Actual xG
2.25
4
Saves
3
50%
Possession
50%
3
Corners
3
10
Tackles
15
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽J. Stansfield · ast. I. Osman
10'
⚽I. Osman
16'
25'
A. Hughes⚽
↕ I. Osman / D. Gray
37'
45'+2
A. Vukcevic
↕ E. Laird / B. Osayi-Samuel
65'
65'
A. Moran / B. Potts ↕
72'
A. Moran
↕ J. Stansfield / J. E. Solis Romero
72'
73'
D. Jebbison / M. Osmajic ↕
73'
T. Small / P. Valentin ↕
78'
R. Brady / A. Vukcevic ↕
84'
M. Smith / L. Dobbin ↕
Pre-match prediction
51.06%
Birmingham ←
29.33%
X
19.61%
Preston
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Birmingham) 51.06% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Birmingham
1.34
1.95
+0.62
Preston
0.72
2.25
+1.54
xG dominance was balanced (1.95 – 2.25). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Coventry Coventry 46 95
2 Ipswich Ipswich 46 84
3 Millwall Millwall 46 83
4 Southampton Southampton 46 80
5 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 46 80
6 Hull City Hull City 46 73
7 Wrexham Wrexham 46 71
8 Derby Derby 46 69
9 Norwich Norwich 46 65
10 Birmingham Birmingham 46 64
11 Swansea Swansea 46 64
12 Bristol City Bristol City 46 62
13 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 46 60
14 Preston Preston 46 60
15 QPR QPR 46 58
16 Watford Watford 46 57
17 Stoke City Stoke City 46 55
18 Portsmouth Portsmouth 46 55
19 Charlton Charlton 46 53
20 Blackburn Blackburn 46 52
21 West Brom West Brom 46 51
22 Oxford United Oxford United 46 47
23 Leicester Leicester 46 46
24 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 46 0
Lineups
Birmingham Birmingham 4-2-3-1
25
G 7.00
31
D 6.90
4
Christoph Klarer D 6.90
5
P. Neumann D 7.00
2
E. Laird 65' D 7.70
8
Paik Seung-Ho M 7.20
24
T. Iwata M 6.70
17
Ibrahim Osman 1 ⚽ 1 👟 37' M 8.30
28
Jay Stansfield 1 ⚽ 72' M 7.30
23 Carlos Vicente Carlos Vicente M 7.00
29
A. Priske F 5.90
Bench
26
B. Osayi-Samuel 25' D 6.90
10
D. Gray 53' F 6.90
14
J. E. Solis Romero 18' M 6.90
33
M. Ducksch F
16
P. Roberts M
Preston Preston 3-5-2
1
D. Iversen G 7.00
16
A. Hughes 1 ⚽ D 8.70
6
Liam Lindsay D 6.90
42
O. Offiah D 6.90
3
A. Vukcevic 78' M 6.20
21
A. Devine M 6.90
15
J. Thompson M 7.20
44
B. Potts 65' M 6.70
2
P. Valentin 73' M 6.50
17 L. Dobbin L. Dobbin 84' F 6.90
28
M. Osmajic 73' F 5.90
Bench
23
A. Moran 25' M 6.90
9
D. Jebbison 17' F 6.20
14
Jordan Storey D
26
T. Small 17' D 6.70
Best on the pitch
A. Hughes
D · Preston
8.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 35 pass
Ibrahim Osman
M · Birmingham
8.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 6 pass
E. Laird
D · Birmingham
7.70
1 shots · 24 pass
Jay Stansfield
M · Birmingham
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 12 pass
Paik Seung-Ho
M · Birmingham
7.20
· 27 pass
J. Thompson
M · Preston
7.20
· 42 pass
Birmingham Birmingham — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.00 — — — 32 8% — — —
D 90 6.90 — — — 44 26% 1 — —
Christoph Klarer D 90 6.90 — — — 38 27% — — —
P. Neumann D 90 7.00 — — — 23 15% 2 — —
E. Laird D 65 7.70 — — 1 24 19% 1 — —
Paik Seung-Ho M 90 7.20 — — — 27 23% 1 — —
T. Iwata M 90 6.70 — — — 34 24% 2 — —
Ibrahim Osman M 37 8.30 1 1 1 6 4% — — —
Jay Stansfield M 72 7.30 1 — 2 12 9% 1 — —
Carlos Vicente M 90 7.00 — — 1 20 14% — — —
A. Priske F 90 5.90 — — 1 17 6% — — —
B. Osayi-Samuel D 25 6.90 — — — 6 3% — — —
D. Gray F 53 6.90 — — 1 22 21% 1 — —
J. E. Solis Romero M 18 6.90 — — 1 9 8% 1 — —
Preston Preston — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Iversen G 90 7.00 — — — 34 12% — — —
A. Hughes D 90 8.70 1 — 1 35 23% 1 — —
Liam Lindsay D 90 6.90 — — 2 26 14% 1 — —
O. Offiah D 90 6.90 — — 1 25 15% 2 — —
A. Vukcevic M 78 6.20 — — — 19 11% — 1 —
A. Devine M 90 6.90 — — 2 40 25% 1 — —
J. Thompson M 90 7.20 — — — 42 34% 1 — —
B. Potts M 65 6.70 — — 2 7 3% 1 — —
P. Valentin M 73 6.50 — — — 22 12% 3 — —
L. Dobbin F 84 6.90 — — 3 13 12% 2 — —
M. Osmajic F 73 5.90 — — 2 11 5% — — —
A. Moran M 25 6.90 — — — 12 6% 3 1 —
D. Jebbison F 17 6.20 — — 1 4 3% — — —
T. Small D 17 6.70 — — — 3 2% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Birmingham vs Preston?
The final score was Birmingham 2–1 Preston.
What did the model predict before Birmingham vs Preston?
The model assigned 51% probability to a Birmingham win, 29% to a draw, and 19% to an Preston win.