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Championship · Regular Season - 44 April 22, 2026 20:45 St. Andrew's Stadium, Birmingham
Birmingham
#10 · 11 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Preston
#23 · 4 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Birmingham
J. Stansfield (ast. I. Osman) 10'
I. Osman 16'
25' A. Hughes
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Birmingham a 51% win probability (draw 29%, Preston 19%). The final result was Birmingham 2–1 Preston. In 1 previous meetings, Birmingham have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Preston.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
14
5
Shots on target
6
1.95
Actual xG
2.25
4
Saves
3
50%
Possession
50%
3
Corners
3
10
Tackles
15
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽J. Stansfield · ast. I. Osman
10'
⚽I. Osman
16'
25'
A. Hughes⚽
↕ I. Osman / D. Gray
37'
45'+2
A. Vukcevic
↕ E. Laird / B. Osayi-Samuel
65'
65'
A. Moran / B. Potts ↕
72'
A. Moran
↕ J. Stansfield / J. E. Solis Romero
72'
73'
D. Jebbison / M. Osmajic ↕
73'
T. Small / P. Valentin ↕
78'
R. Brady / A. Vukcevic ↕
84'
M. Smith / L. Dobbin ↕
Pre-match prediction
51.06%
Birmingham ←
29.33%
X
19.61%
Preston
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Birmingham) 51.06% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Birmingham
1.34
1.95
+0.62
Preston
0.72
2.25
+1.54
xG dominance was balanced (1.95 – 2.25). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Swansea Swansea 8 17
2 West Ham West Ham 8 15
3 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 8 15
4 Wolves Wolves 7 14
5 West Brom West Brom 8 14
6 QPR QPR 8 13
7 Stoke City Stoke City 8 13
8 Bristol City Bristol City 8 13
9 Charlton Charlton 8 12
10 Birmingham Birmingham 8 11
11 Millwall Millwall 8 11
12 Lincoln Lincoln 8 11
13 Southampton Southampton 8 10
14 Wrexham Wrexham 8 10
15 Bolton Bolton 8 10
16 Blackburn Blackburn 8 9
17 Norwich Norwich 8 9
18 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 8 9
19 Portsmouth Portsmouth 7 8
20 Watford Watford 8 8
21 Cardiff Cardiff 8 7
22 Derby Derby 8 5
23 Preston Preston 8 4
24 Burnley Burnley 8 4
Lineups
Birmingham Birmingham 4-2-3-1
25
G 7.00
31
D 6.90
4 C. Klarer C. Klarer D 6.90
5 P. Neumann P. Neumann D 7.00
2 E. Laird E. Laird 65' D 7.70
8 Seung Ho Paik Seung Ho Paik M 7.20
24 T. Iwata T. Iwata M 6.70
17 I. Osman I. Osman 1 ⚽ 1 👟 37' M 8.30
28 J. Stansfield J. Stansfield 1 ⚽ 72' M 7.30
23 Carlos Vicente Carlos Vicente M 7.00
29 A. Priske A. Priske F 5.90
Bench
26 B. Osayi-Samuel B. Osayi-Samuel 25' D 6.90
10 D. Gray D. Gray 53' F 6.90
14 Jhon Solís Jhon Solís 18' M 6.90
33 M. Ducksch M. Ducksch F
16 P. Roberts P. Roberts M
Preston Preston 3-5-2
1 D. Iversen D. Iversen G 7.00
16 A. Hughes A. Hughes 1 ⚽ D 8.70
6 L. Lindsay L. Lindsay D 6.90
42 O. Offiah O. Offiah D 6.90
3 A. Vukčević A. Vukčević 78' M 6.20
21 A. Devine A. Devine M 6.90
15 J. Thompson J. Thompson M 7.20
44
B. Potts 65' M 6.70
2 Pol Valentín Pol Valentín 73' M 6.50
17 L. Dobbin L. Dobbin 84' F 6.90
28 M. Osmajić M. Osmajić 73' F 5.90
Bench
23 A. Moran A. Moran 25' M 6.90
9 Daniel Jebbison Daniel Jebbison 17' F 6.20
14 J. Storey J. Storey D
26 T. Small T. Small 17' D 6.70
Best on the pitch
A. Hughes
A. Hughes
D · Preston
8.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 35 pass
I. Osman
I. Osman
M · Birmingham
8.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 6 pass
E. Laird
E. Laird
D · Birmingham
7.70
1 shots · 24 pass
J. Stansfield
J. Stansfield
M · Birmingham
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 12 pass
Seung Ho Paik
Seung Ho Paik
M · Birmingham
7.20
· 27 pass
J. Thompson
J. Thompson
M · Preston
7.20
· 42 pass
Birmingham Birmingham — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.00 — — — 32 8% — — —
D 90 6.90 — — — 44 26% 1 — —
C. Klarer D 90 6.90 — — — 38 27% — — —
P. Neumann D 90 7.00 — — — 23 15% 2 — —
E. Laird D 65 7.70 — — 1 24 19% 1 — —
Seung Ho Paik M 90 7.20 — — — 27 23% 1 — —
T. Iwata M 90 6.70 — — — 34 24% 2 — —
I. Osman M 37 8.30 1 1 1 6 4% — — —
J. Stansfield M 72 7.30 1 — 2 12 9% 1 — —
Carlos Vicente M 90 7.00 — — 1 20 14% — — —
A. Priske F 90 5.90 — — 1 17 6% — — —
B. Osayi-Samuel D 25 6.90 — — — 6 3% — — —
D. Gray F 53 6.90 — — 1 22 21% 1 — —
Jhon Solís M 18 6.90 — — 1 9 8% 1 — —
Preston Preston — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Iversen G 90 7.00 — — — 34 12% — — —
A. Hughes D 90 8.70 1 — 1 35 23% 1 — —
L. Lindsay D 90 6.90 — — 2 26 14% 1 — —
O. Offiah D 90 6.90 — — 1 25 15% 2 — —
A. Vukčević M 78 6.20 — — — 19 11% — 1 —
A. Devine M 90 6.90 — — 2 40 25% 1 — —
J. Thompson M 90 7.20 — — — 42 34% 1 — —
B. Potts M 65 6.70 — — 2 7 3% 1 — —
Pol Valentín M 73 6.50 — — — 22 12% 3 — —
L. Dobbin F 84 6.90 — — 3 13 12% 2 — —
M. Osmajić F 73 5.90 — — 2 11 5% — — —
A. Moran M 25 6.90 — — — 12 6% 3 1 —
Daniel Jebbison F 17 6.20 — — 1 4 3% — — —
T. Small D 17 6.70 — — — 3 2% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Birmingham vs Preston?
The final score was Birmingham 2–1 Preston.
What did the model predict before Birmingham vs Preston?
The model assigned 51% probability to a Birmingham win, 29% to a draw, and 19% to an Preston win.