← Championship
#20 · 52 pts
1 – 1
Final score
#1 · 95 pts
Model wrong — prediction Coventry, result Pareggio
R. Morishita 54'
84' (ast. V. Torp) B. Thomas

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Coventry a 57% win probability (draw 22%, Blackburn 19%). The final result was Blackburn 1–1 Coventry. In 1 previous meetings, Blackburn have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Coventry.

Match statistics
4
Total shots
8
2
Shots on target
2
1.04
Actual xG
1.47
1
Saves
1
30%
Possession
70%
3
Corners
3
11
Tackles
13
4
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
Yuki Ohashi
7'
Yuri Ribeiro
51'
51'
Frank Onyeka
R. Morishita
54'
62'
V. Torp / F. Onyeka
62'
R. Esse / J. Latibeaudiere
62'
H. Wright / E. Simms
Ryoya Morishita
65'
Taylor Gardner-Hickman
65'
M. Baradji / R. Hedges
71'
71'
B. Thomas-Asante / J. Rudoni
T. Gardner-Hickman / A. Forshaw
79'
84'
ast. V. Torp · B. Thomas
90'
J. Eccles / E. Mason-Clark
Pre-match prediction
19.95%
Blackburn
22.94%
X ←
57.12%
Coventry
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 22.94% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Blackburn
0.61
1.04
+0.43
Coventry
1.80
1.47
-0.33
Coventry dominated by xG (1.47 vs 1.04). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Coventry Coventry 46 95
2 Ipswich Ipswich 46 84
3 Millwall Millwall 46 83
4 Southampton Southampton 46 80
5 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 46 80
6 Hull City Hull City 46 73
7 Wrexham Wrexham 46 71
8 Derby Derby 46 69
9 Norwich Norwich 46 65
10 Birmingham Birmingham 46 64
11 Swansea Swansea 46 64
12 Bristol City Bristol City 46 62
13 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 46 60
14 Preston Preston 46 60
15 QPR QPR 46 58
16 Watford Watford 46 57
17 Stoke City Stoke City 46 55
18 Portsmouth Portsmouth 46 55
19 Charlton Charlton 46 53
20 Blackburn Blackburn 46 52
21 West Brom West Brom 46 51
22 Oxford United Oxford United 46 47
23 Leicester Leicester 46 46
24 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 46 0
Lineups
Blackburn Blackburn 3-4-2-1
22
G 6.20
20
E. Cashin D 6.30
15 S. McLoughlin S. McLoughlin D 6.90
38
D 7.20
4
Y. Ribeiro M 6.30
5
Taylor Gardner-Hickman 79' M 7.20
31
K. Montgomery M 6.30
2
R. Alebiosu M 8.50
24
M. Baradji 71' F 6.30
25 R. Morishita R. Morishita 1 ⚽ F 7.50
23
Y. Ohashi F 6.90
Bench
28
Adam Forshaw 17' M 6.20
3
H. Pickering D
29
M. Jorgensen F
27
N. Redmond M
Coventry Coventry 3-4-2-1
19
G 6.50
15
D 6.50
4
B. Thomas 1 ⚽ D 6.90
22
J. Latibeaudiere 62' D 6.70
3
J. Dasilva M 6.60
16
F. Onyeka 62' M 7.00
6
Matt Grimes M 7.60
27 M. van Ewijk M. van Ewijk M 7.20
10 E. Mason-Clark E. Mason-Clark F 6.20
5
J. Rudoni 71' F 6.90
9 E. Simms E. Simms 62' F 5.90
Bench
23 B. Thomas-Asante B. Thomas-Asante 25' F 6.70
11 H. Wright H. Wright 34' F 6.50
28
J. Eccles 6' M
20
K. Kesler-Hayden D
14
R. Esse 34' M 6.70
29 V. Torp V. Torp 1 👟 34' M 6.90
Best on the pitch
R. Alebiosu
M · Blackburn
8.50
· 25 pass
Matt Grimes
M · Coventry
7.60
· 104 pass
R. Morishita
R. Morishita
F · Blackburn
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 22 pass
M. van Ewijk
M. van Ewijk
M · Coventry
7.20
· 51 pass
D · Blackburn
7.20
· 20 pass
Taylor Gardner-Hickman
M · Blackburn
7.20
· 31 pass
Blackburn Blackburn — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 96 6.20 20 7%
E. Cashin D 96 6.30 1 34 24% 1
S. McLoughlin D 96 6.90 19 15% 1
D 96 7.20 20 13% 2
Y. Ribeiro M 96 6.30 24 16% 1
Taylor Gardner-Hickman M 79 7.20 31 25% 2 1
K. Montgomery M 96 6.30 31 22%
R. Alebiosu M 96 8.50 25 18% 4
M. Baradji F 71 6.30 19 17%
R. Morishita F 96 7.50 1 1 22 19% 1 1
Y. Ohashi F 96 6.90 2 16 13% 1
Adam Forshaw M 17 6.20 3 2%
Coventry Coventry — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 96 6.50 26 22%
D 96 6.50 2 99 86% 1
B. Thomas D 96 6.90 1 1 107 96% 2
J. Latibeaudiere D 62 6.70 68 59% 1
J. Dasilva M 96 6.60 48 44% 1
F. Onyeka M 62 7.00 32 26% 2 1
Matt Grimes M 96 7.60 104 94% 2
M. van Ewijk M 96 7.20 51 40%
E. Mason-Clark F 90 6.20 2 25 19% 1
J. Rudoni F 71 6.90 2 30 26% 1
E. Simms F 62 5.90 5 4%
B. Thomas-Asante F 25 6.70 2 1%
H. Wright F 34 6.50 1 3 2%
J. Eccles M 6 3 2%
R. Esse M 34 6.70 10 8% 1
V. Torp M 34 6.90 1 13 10% 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Blackburn vs Coventry?
The final score was Blackburn 1–1 Coventry.
What did the model predict before Blackburn vs Coventry?
The model assigned 19% probability to a Blackburn win, 22% to a draw, and 57% to an Coventry win.