Championship
· Regular Season - 43
April 17, 2026 21:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Coventry, result Draw
R. Morishita
54'
84'
(ast. V. Torp)
B. Thomas
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Coventry a 57% win probability (draw 22%, Blackburn 19%). The final result was Blackburn 1–1 Coventry. In 1 previous meetings, Blackburn have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Coventry.
Match statistics
4
Total shots
8
2
Shots on target
2
1.04
Actual xG
1.47
1
Saves
1
30%
Possession
70%
3
Corners
3
11
Tackles
13
4
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
Yuki Ohashi
7'
Yuri Ribeiro
51'
51'
Frank Onyeka
⚽R. Morishita
54'
62'
V. Torp
/
F. Onyeka
62'
R. Esse
/
J. Latibeaudiere
62'
H. Wright
/
E. Simms
Ryoya Morishita
65'
Taylor Gardner-Hickman
65'
M. Baradji
/ R. Hedges
71'
71'
B. Thomas-Asante
/
J. Rudoni
T. Gardner-Hickman
/ A. Forshaw
79'
84'
ast. V. Torp ·
B. Thomas⚽
90'
J. Eccles
/
E. Mason-Clark
Pre-match prediction
19.95%
Blackburn
22.94%
X ←
57.12%
Coventry
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
22.94%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.61
1.04
+0.43
1.80
1.47
-0.33
Coventry dominated by xG (1.47 vs 1.04).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
22
G
20
Eiran Cashin
D
Eiran Cashin
D
15
S. McLoughlin
D
S. McLoughlin
D
38
D
4
Y. Ribeiro
M
5
Taylor Gardner-Hickman
79'
M
31
K. Montgomery
M
2
R. Alebiosu
M
24
M. Baradji
71'
F
25
R. Morishita
1 ⚽
F
R. Morishita
1 ⚽
F
23
Y. Ohashi
F
Bench
28
Adam Forshaw
17'
M
3
H. Pickering
D
29
M. Jorgensen
F
27
N. Redmond
M
19
G
15
D
4
B. Thomas
1 ⚽
D
B. Thomas
1 ⚽
D
22
J. Latibeaudiere
62'
D
3
J. Dasilva
M
J. Dasilva
M
16
Frank Onyeka
62'
M
Frank Onyeka
62'
M
6
Matt Grimes
M
27
M. van Ewijk
M
M. van Ewijk
M
10
E. Mason-Clark
F
E. Mason-Clark
F
5
J. Rudoni
71'
F
9
E. Simms
62'
F
E. Simms
62'
F
Bench
23
Brandon Thomas-Asante
25'
F
Brandon Thomas-Asante
25'
F
11
H. Wright
34'
F
H. Wright
34'
F
28
J. Eccles
6'
M
20
K. Kesler-Hayden
D
14
R. Esse
34'
M
29
V. Torp
1 👟
34'
M
V. Torp
1 👟
34'
M
Best on the pitch
R. Alebiosu
M · Blackburn
8.50
· 25 pass
Matt Grimes
M · Coventry
7.60
· 104 pass
R. Morishita
F · Blackburn
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 22 pass
M. van Ewijk
M · Coventry
7.20
· 51 pass
D · Blackburn
7.20
· 20 pass
Taylor Gardner-Hickman
M · Blackburn
7.20
· 31 pass
Blackburn — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 7% | — | — | — | |
| Eiran Cashin | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| S. McLoughlin | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 13% | 2 | — | — | |
| Y. Ribeiro | M | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 16% | — | 1 | — |
| Taylor Gardner-Hickman | M | 79 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 25% | 2 | 1 | — |
| K. Montgomery | M | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 22% | — | — | — |
| R. Alebiosu | M | 96 | 8.50 | — | — | — | 25 | 18% | 4 | — | — |
| M. Baradji | F | 71 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | — | — | — |
| R. Morishita | F | 96 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 22 | 19% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Y. Ohashi | F | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
| Adam Forshaw | M | 17 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Coventry — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | — | — | — | |
| D | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 99 | 86% | 1 | — | — | |
| B. Thomas | D | 96 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 107 | 96% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Latibeaudiere | D | 62 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 68 | 59% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Dasilva | M | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 48 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| Frank Onyeka | M | 62 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 32 | 26% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Matt Grimes | M | 96 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 104 | 94% | 2 | — | — |
| M. van Ewijk | M | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 51 | 40% | — | — | — |
| E. Mason-Clark | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Rudoni | F | 71 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 30 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Simms | F | 62 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Brandon Thomas-Asante | F | 25 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| H. Wright | F | 34 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| J. Eccles | M | 6 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| R. Esse | M | 34 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| V. Torp | M | 34 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 13 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Blackburn vs Coventry?
The final score was Blackburn 1–1 Coventry.
What did the model predict before Blackburn vs Coventry?
The model assigned 19% probability to a Blackburn win, 22% to a draw, and 57% to an Coventry win.