Liga Profesional
· Regular Season - 14
April 12, 2026 02:30
M. Gimenez
45'
(pen.)
9'
(ast. G. Avalos)
M. Abaldo
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Boca Juniors a 47% win probability (draw 28%, Independiente 23%). The final result was Boca Juniors 1–1 Independiente.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
6
5
Shots on target
1
0
Saves
4
61%
Possession
39%
3
Corners
3
18
Tackles
11
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
9'
ast. G. Avalos ·
M. Abaldo⚽
35'
Matías Abaldo
45'+6
⚽M. Gimenez
(pen.)
45'
M. Gimenez
/ A. Bareiro
46'
Angel Romero
/ Miguel Merentiel
46'
A. Herrera
/ E. Zeballos
68'
A. Velasco
/ S. Ascacibar
69'
C. Rey Domenech
/ M. Delgado
74'
74'
J. Fedorco
/
K. Lomonaco
76'
Gabriel Ávalos
83'
N. Freire
/
I. Malcorra
83'
F. Valdez
/
M. Gutierrez
83'
Rodrigo Fernandez
/
M. Perez Curci
90'+3
Facundo Zabala
90'
F. Tempone
/
G. Avalos
Pre-match prediction
47.87%
Boca
28.96%
X ←
23.17%
Independiente
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
28.96%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.66
—
—
0.98
—
—
Lineups
1
A. Marchesin
G
27
Malcom Braida
D
Malcom Braida
D
26
D
4
D
24
Juan Barinaga
D
Juan Barinaga
D
30
Tomás Belmonte
M
Tomás Belmonte
M
38
C. Rey Domenech
74'
M
20
Alan Velasco
68'
M
Alan Velasco
68'
M
21
Ander Herrera
69'
M
Ander Herrera
69'
M
9
Milton Giménez
1 ⚽
45'
F
Milton Giménez
1 ⚽
45'
F
29
Ángel Romero
45'
F
Ángel Romero
45'
F
Bench
28
A. Bareiro
45'
F
A. Bareiro
45'
F
32
Ayrton Costa
D
Ayrton Costa
D
7
Exequiel Zeballos
21'
F
Exequiel Zeballos
21'
F
2
Lautaro Di Lollo
D
Lautaro Di Lollo
D
3
L. Blanco
D
L. Blanco
D
12
Leandro Brey
G
Leandro Brey
G
23
Marcelo Weigandt
D
Marcelo Weigandt
D
18
Milton Delgado
16'
M
Milton Delgado
16'
M
16
M. Merentiel
45'
F
M. Merentiel
45'
F
25
Santiago Ascacíbar
22'
M
Santiago Ascacíbar
22'
M
36
Tomás Aranda
M
Tomás Aranda
M
15
Williams Alarcón
M
Williams Alarcón
M
33
G
22
Facundo Zabala
D
Facundo Zabala
D
36
Sebastián Valdez
D
Sebastián Valdez
D
26
Kevin Lomónaco
74'
D
Kevin Lomónaco
74'
D
4
D
23
Iván Marcone
M
Iván Marcone
M
16
Mateo Perez
83'
M
Mateo Perez
83'
M
19
M. Abaldo
1 ⚽
M
M. Abaldo
1 ⚽
M
40
Ignacio Malcorra
83'
M
Ignacio Malcorra
83'
M
28
M. Gutiérrez
83'
M
M. Gutiérrez
83'
M
9
G. Ávalos
1 👟
89'
F
G. Ávalos
1 👟
89'
F
Bench
43
Facundo Valdéz
14'
F
Facundo Valdéz
14'
F
8
Lautaro Millán
M
Lautaro Millán
M
3
Milton Valenzuela
D
Milton Valenzuela
D
Best on the pitch
Alan Velasco
M · Boca
7.90
1 shots
· 27 pass
Juan Barinaga
D · Boca
7.70
· 41 pass
Ander Herrera
M · Boca
7.70
· 76 pass
M. Abaldo
M · Independiente
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 50 pass
G · Independiente
7.20
· 30 pass
Malcom Braida
D · Boca
7.00
· 57 pass
Boca Juniors — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Marchesin | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Malcom Braida | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 57 | 52% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 70 | 62% | 1 | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 69 | 58% | 1 | — | — | |
| Juan Barinaga | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 41 | 29% | 3 | — | — |
| Tomás Belmonte | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 66 | 57% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Rey Domenech | M | 74 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 43 | 38% | — | — | — |
| Alan Velasco | M | 68 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 20% | 5 | — | — |
| Ander Herrera | M | 69 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 76 | 66% | 4 | — | — |
| Milton Giménez | F | 45 | 6.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Ángel Romero | F | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Bareiro | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Exequiel Zeballos | F | 21 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Milton Delgado | M | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| M. Merentiel | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Santiago Ascacíbar | M | 22 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
Independiente — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 12% | — | — | — | |
| Facundo Zabala | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 43 | 34% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Sebastián Valdez | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Kevin Lomónaco | D | 74 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 12% | 2 | — | — | |
| Iván Marcone | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 51 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| Mateo Perez | M | 83 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Abaldo | M | 90 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 50 | 43% | — | 1 | — |
| Ignacio Malcorra | M | 83 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 29 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Gutiérrez | M | 83 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Ávalos | F | 89 | 5.90 | — | 1 | 3 | 21 | 10% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Facundo Valdéz | F | 14 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Boca Juniors vs Independiente?
The final score was Boca Juniors 1–1 Independiente.
What did the model predict before Boca Juniors vs Independiente?
The model assigned 47% probability to a Boca Juniors win, 28% to a draw, and 23% to an Independiente win.