Liga Profesional
· Apertura - 14
April 12, 2026 00:30
M. Gimenez
45'
(pen.)
9'
(ast. G. Avalos)
M. Abaldo
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Boca Juniors a 47% win probability (draw 28%, Independiente 23%). The final result was Boca Juniors 1–1 Independiente. In 1 previous meetings, Boca Juniors have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Independiente.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
6
5
Shots on target
1
0
Saves
4
61%
Possession
39%
3
Corners
3
18
Tackles
11
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
9'
ast. G. Avalos ·
M. Abaldo⚽
35'
Matías Abaldo
45'+6
⚽M. Gimenez
(pen.)
45'
M. Gimenez
/ A. Bareiro
46'
Angel Romero
/ Miguel Merentiel
46'
A. Herrera
/ E. Zeballos
68'
A. Velasco
/ S. Ascacibar
69'
C. Rey Domenech
/ M. Delgado
74'
74'
J. Fedorco
/
K. Lomonaco
76'
Gabriel Ávalos
83'
N. Freire
/
I. Malcorra
83'
F. Valdez
/
M. Gutierrez
83'
Rodrigo Fernandez
/
M. Perez Curci
90'+3
Facundo Zabala
90'
F. Tempone
/
G. Avalos
Pre-match prediction
47.87%
Boca
28.96%
X ←
23.17%
Independiente
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
28.96%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.66
—
—
0.98
—
—
Lineups
1
A. Marchesin
G
27
M. Braida
D
M. Braida
D
26
D
4
D
24
J. Barinaga
D
J. Barinaga
D
30
T. Belmonte
M
T. Belmonte
M
38
C. Rey
74'
M
C. Rey
74'
M
20
A. Velasco
68'
M
A. Velasco
68'
M
21
Ander Herrera
69'
M
9
M. Giménez
1 ⚽
45'
F
M. Giménez
1 ⚽
45'
F
29
Á. Romero
45'
F
Á. Romero
45'
F
Bench
28
A. Bareiro
45'
F
A. Bareiro
45'
F
32
A. Costa
D
A. Costa
D
7
E. Zeballos
21'
F
E. Zeballos
21'
F
3
L. Blanco
D
L. Blanco
D
12
L. Brey
G
L. Brey
G
2
L. Di Lollo
D
L. Di Lollo
D
18
M. Delgado
16'
M
M. Delgado
16'
M
16
M. Merentiel
45'
F
M. Merentiel
45'
F
23
M. Weigandt
D
M. Weigandt
D
25
S. Ascacíbar
22'
M
S. Ascacíbar
22'
M
36
Tomás Aranda
M
Tomás Aranda
M
15
W. Alarcón
M
W. Alarcón
M
33
G
22
F. Zabala
D
F. Zabala
D
36
S. Valdez
D
S. Valdez
D
26
K. Lomónaco
74'
D
K. Lomónaco
74'
D
4
D
23
I. Marcone
M
I. Marcone
M
16
M. Perez
83'
M
M. Perez
83'
M
19
M. Abaldo
1 ⚽
M
M. Abaldo
1 ⚽
M
40
V. Malcorra
83'
M
V. Malcorra
83'
M
28
M. Gutiérrez
83'
M
M. Gutiérrez
83'
M
9
G. Ávalos
1 👟
89'
F
G. Ávalos
1 👟
89'
F
Bench
43
Facundo Valdéz
14'
F
8
Lautaro Millán
M
Lautaro Millán
M
3
M. Valenzuela
D
M. Valenzuela
D
Best on the pitch
A. Velasco
M · Boca
7.90
1 shots
· 27 pass
J. Barinaga
D · Boca
7.70
· 41 pass
Ander Herrera
M · Boca
7.70
· 76 pass
M. Abaldo
M · Independiente
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 50 pass
G · Independiente
7.20
· 30 pass
M. Braida
D · Boca
7.00
· 57 pass
Boca Juniors — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Marchesin | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | — | — | — |
| M. Braida | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 57 | 52% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 70 | 62% | 1 | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 69 | 58% | 1 | — | — | |
| J. Barinaga | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 41 | 29% | 3 | — | — |
| T. Belmonte | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 66 | 57% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Rey | M | 74 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 43 | 38% | — | — | — |
| A. Velasco | M | 68 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 20% | 5 | — | — |
| Ander Herrera | M | 69 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 76 | 66% | 4 | — | — |
| M. Giménez | F | 45 | 6.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Á. Romero | F | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Bareiro | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| E. Zeballos | F | 21 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
| M. Delgado | M | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| M. Merentiel | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| S. Ascacíbar | M | 22 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
Independiente — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 12% | — | — | — | |
| F. Zabala | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 43 | 34% | 2 | 1 | — |
| S. Valdez | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Lomónaco | D | 74 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 12% | 2 | — | — | |
| I. Marcone | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 51 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Perez | M | 83 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Abaldo | M | 90 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 50 | 43% | — | 1 | — |
| V. Malcorra | M | 83 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 29 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Gutiérrez | M | 83 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Ávalos | F | 89 | 5.90 | — | 1 | 3 | 21 | 10% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Facundo Valdéz | F | 14 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Boca Juniors vs Independiente?
The final score was Boca Juniors 1–1 Independiente.
What did the model predict before Boca Juniors vs Independiente?
The model assigned 47% probability to a Boca Juniors win, 28% to a draw, and 23% to an Independiente win.