Bohemians - Drogheda United
Premier Division
May 15, 2026 20:45
Weather at kick-off
☁️
Overcast
11.5°C
💨 6 km/h
🌧️ 22%
· Dublin
⚡ Pre-match analysis
59.1%
Win
Bohemians
22.59%
Draw
18.31%
Win
Drogheda United
2.13
1.09
Expected xG
Model prediction
Bohemians
59.1%
Probability
36.4%
1X2 accuracy · 11 predictions (3 months)
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Bohemians a 59% win probability, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Drogheda United. Expected goals are 2.1 for Bohemians and 1.1 for Drogheda United (total 3.2), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.9% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Bohemians have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Drogheda United.
Score Matrix
↕ Bohemians
Drogheda United →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 8.5% | 9.3% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 9.1% | 9.9% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 6.4% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | — |
| 5 | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Bohemians
Attack
41
Defence
65
Form
43
Drogheda United
Attack
38
Defence
49
Form
45
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
1
Draw
0
D
3 Apr 2026
0–0
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Shamrock Rovers
|
16 | 34 |
| 2 |
St Patrick's Athl.
|
16 | 31 |
| 3 |
Bohemians
|
16 | 25 |
| 4 |
Dundalk
|
16 | 22 |
| 5 |
Derry City
|
16 | 19 |
| 6 |
Drogheda United
|
15 | 19 |
| 7 |
Shelbourne
|
15 | 18 |
| 8 |
Galway United
|
15 | 17 |
| 9 |
Sligo Rovers
|
16 | 16 |
| 10 |
Waterford
|
15 | 6 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Bohemians vs Drogheda United?
The model gives Bohemians a 59% win probability, 22% for a draw, and 18% for an Drogheda United win.
How many goals are expected in Bohemians vs Drogheda United?
Expected goals: Bohemians 2.1, Drogheda United 1.1 (total 3.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Bohemians vs Drogheda United?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.9%.