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Bohemians - Drogheda United

Premier Division May 15, 2026 20:45
#3 · 25 pts
vs
#6 · 19 pts
Weather at kick-off ☁️ Overcast 11.5°C 💨 6 km/h 🌧️ 22% · Dublin
⚡ Pre-match analysis
59.1%
Win
Bohemians
22.59%
Draw
18.31%
Win
Drogheda United
2.13
Expected xG
1.09
Model prediction
Bohemians
59.1%
Probability
36.4%
1X2 accuracy · 11 predictions (3 months)

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Bohemians a 59% win probability, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Drogheda United. Expected goals are 2.1 for Bohemians and 1.1 for Drogheda United (total 3.2), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.9% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Bohemians have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Drogheda United.

Score Matrix
↕ Bohemians Drogheda United →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.0% 4.4% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
1 8.5% 9.3% 5.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.1% 9.9% 5.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
3 6.4% 7.0% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 3.4% 3.7% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
5 1.5% 1.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
Recent form
W Dundalk 1–3
D Shelbourne 2–2
D Derry City 1–1
L St Patrick's Athl. 3–1
L Shamrock Rovers 2–1
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 26%
W Derry City 1–0
L Shamrock Rovers 4–1
W Sligo Rovers 1–0
W Shelbourne 3–4
L St Patrick's Athl. 1–3
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 20%
Playing profile
Bohemians Bohemians
Attack
41
Defence
65
Form
43
Drogheda United Drogheda United
Attack
38
Defence
49
Form
45
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
Bohemians
1
Draw
0
Drogheda United
D 3 Apr 2026 Premier Division 0–0
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 16 34
2 St Patrick's Athl. St Patrick's Athl. 16 31
3 Bohemians Bohemians 16 25
4 Dundalk Dundalk 16 22
5 Derry City Derry City 16 19
6 Drogheda United Drogheda United 15 19
7 Shelbourne Shelbourne 15 18
8 Galway United Galway United 15 17
9 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 16 16
10 Waterford Waterford 15 6
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Bohemians vs Drogheda United?
The model gives Bohemians a 59% win probability, 22% for a draw, and 18% for an Drogheda United win.
How many goals are expected in Bohemians vs Drogheda United?
Expected goals: Bohemians 2.1, Drogheda United 1.1 (total 3.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Bohemians vs Drogheda United?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.9%.