Bohemians 2–1 Drogheda United — pre-match prediction — Premier Division — May 15, 2026

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Premier Division · Regular Season - 17 May 15, 2026 20:45 Dalymount Park, Dublin

Bohemians

#3 · 53 pts

2 – 1

Final score

Drogheda United

#9 · 31 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Bohemians

D. Rooney (ast. M. Strods) 56'

P. Hickey (ast. M. Strods) 68'

86' (ast. K. Cruise) T. Oluwa

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bohemians a 59% win probability (draw 22%, Drogheda United 18%). The final result was Bohemians 2–1 Drogheda United. In 3 previous meetings, Bohemians have won 1 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Drogheda United.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.82

Actual xG

0.61

Saves

71%

Possession

29%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

46'

A. Quinn / J. Bolger ↕

J. Flores

50'

54'

B. Kavanagh

⚽D. Rooney · ast. M. Strods

56'

61'

J. Godden

65'

K. Cruise / W. Davis ↕

65'

D. Kareem / M. Doyle ↕

⚽P. Hickey · ast. M. Strods

68'

75'

L. Burney / C. Keeley ↕

75'

S. McGrath / B. Kavanagh ↕

D. Devoy

77'

↕ D. James-Taylor / C. Whelan

83'

86'

ast. K. Cruise · T. Oluwa⚽

↕ S. Diallo / N. Morahan

89'

R. Tierney

90'+2

↕ D. Rooney / L. Kavanagh

90'+3

↕ M. Strods / Z. Myers

90'+3

Pre-match prediction

59.1%

Bohemians ←

22.59%

18.31%

Drogheda

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Bohemians) 59.1% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Bohemians

2.13

1.82

-0.31

Drogheda

1.09

0.61

-0.48

Bohemians dominated by xG (1.82 vs 0.61). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Shamrock Rovers	30	56
2	St Patrick's Athl.	30	53
3	Bohemians	30	53
4	Dundalk	30	41
5	Derry City	30	37
6	Shelbourne	29	36
7	Galway United	29	34
8	Waterford	30	33
9	Drogheda United	30	31
10	Sligo Rovers	30	23

Lineups

Bohemians 4-2-3-1

K. Chorążka G 6.50

J. Flores D 6.90

P. Hickey 1 ⚽ D 7.90

C. Byrne D 7.20

D. Power D 6.90

D. Devoy M 7.30

S. Diallo 89' M 6.90

D. Rooney 1 ⚽ M 7.70

M. Strods 2 👟 M 7.00

R. Tierney M 6.90

D. James-Taylor 83' F 6.30

Bench

A. McDonnell M

C. Parsons F

C. Whelan 10' F 6.50

H. Vaughan M

Josh Harpur F

Leigh Kavanagh D

N. Morahan 4' M

P. Walters G

Zane Myers D

Drogheda United 4-2-3-1

Fynn Talley G 6.90

C. Kane D 6.00

James Bolger 45' D 7.00

C. Keeley 75' D 7.20

E. Agbaje D 7.00

Jago Godden M 6.60

S. Farrell M 6.60

T. Oluwa 1 ⚽ M 7.20

B. Kavanagh 75' M 6.20

W. Davis 65' M 6.20

M. Doyle 65' F 6.90

Bench

A. Quinn 48' D 6.50

Cian O'Connor M

Dare Kareem 28' F 6.70

J. Brennan M

K. Cruise 1 👟 28' D 7.30

L. Dennison G

Leo Burney 18' D 6.30

R. Brennan M

S. McGrath 18' M 6.50

Best on the pitch

P. Hickey

D · Bohemians

7.90

1 ⚽

1 shots · 61 pass

D. Rooney

M · Bohemians

7.70

1 ⚽

5 shots · 23 pass

D. Devoy

M · Bohemians

7.30

1 shots · 72 pass

K. Cruise

D · Drogheda

7.30

1 👟

· 8 pass

T. Oluwa

M · Drogheda

7.20

1 ⚽

1 shots · 11 pass

C. Byrne

D · Bohemians

7.20

· 63 pass

Bohemians — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
K. Chorążka	G	93	6.50	—	—	—	27	13%	—	—	—
J. Flores	D	93	6.90	—	—	1	58	47%	3	1	—
P. Hickey	D	93	7.90	1	—	1	61	55%	1	—	—
C. Byrne	D	93	7.20	—	—	—	63	55%	1	—	—
D. Power	D	93	6.90	—	—	—	32	29%	2	—	—
D. Devoy	M	93	7.30	—	—	1	72	65%	1	1	—
S. Diallo	M	89	6.90	—	—	—	63	52%	2	—	—
D. Rooney	M	93	7.70	1	—	5	23	19%	1	—	—
M. Strods	M	93	7.00	—	2	1	32	26%	—	—	—
R. Tierney	M	93	6.90	—	—	3	47	36%	1	1	—
D. James-Taylor	F	83	6.30	—	—	1	22	15%	—	—	—
C. Whelan	F	10	6.50	—	—	—	5	5%	—	—	—
N. Morahan	M	4	—	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—

Drogheda United — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Fynn Talley	G	93	6.90	—	—	—	28	8%	—	—	—
C. Kane	D	93	6.00	—	—	—	18	8%	—	—	—
James Bolger	D	45	7.00	—	—	—	10	4%	1	—	—
C. Keeley	D	75	7.20	—	—	—	19	16%	1	—	—
E. Agbaje	D	93	7.00	—	—	—	18	11%	7	—	—
Jago Godden	M	93	6.60	—	—	—	25	13%	2	1	—
S. Farrell	M	93	6.60	—	—	1	13	7%	2	—	—
T. Oluwa	M	93	7.20	1	—	1	11	4%	—	—	—
B. Kavanagh	M	75	6.20	—	—	1	20	13%	—	1	—
W. Davis	M	65	6.20	—	—	—	9	5%	2	—	—
M. Doyle	F	65	6.90	—	—	—	11	5%	4	—	—
A. Quinn	D	48	6.50	—	—	—	14	10%	2	—	—
Dare Kareem	F	28	6.70	—	—	1	2	2%	—	—	—
K. Cruise	D	28	7.30	—	1	—	8	4%	1	—	—
Leo Burney	D	18	6.30	—	—	—	4	3%	—	—	—
S. McGrath	M	18	6.50	—	—	—	3	3%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Bohemians vs Drogheda United?

The final score was Bohemians 2–1 Drogheda United.

What did the model predict before Bohemians vs Drogheda United?

The model assigned 59% probability to a Bohemians win, 22% to a draw, and 18% to an Drogheda United win.