✓Model correct — prediction Bohemians
D. Rooney
(ast. M. Strods)
56'
P. Hickey
(ast. M. Strods)
68'
86'
(ast. K. Cruise)
T. Oluwa
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bohemians a 59% win probability (draw 22%, Drogheda United 18%). The final result was Bohemians 2–1 Drogheda United. In 2 previous meetings, Bohemians have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Drogheda United.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
4
8
Shots on target
2
1.82
Actual xG
0.61
1
Saves
6
71%
Possession
29%
13
Corners
3
12
Tackles
22
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
46'
A. Quinn
/
J. Bolger
J. Flores
50'
54'
B. Kavanagh
⚽D. Rooney
· ast. M. Strods
56'
61'
J. Godden
65'
K. Cruise
/
W. Davis
65'
D. Kareem
/
M. Doyle
⚽P. Hickey
· ast. M. Strods
68'
75'
L. Burney
/
C. Keeley
75'
S. McGrath
/
B. Kavanagh
D. Devoy
77'
D. James-Taylor
/ C. Whelan
83'
86'
ast. K. Cruise ·
T. Oluwa⚽
S. Diallo
/ N. Morahan
89'
R. Tierney
90'+2
D. Rooney
/ L. Kavanagh
90'+3
M. Strods
/ Z. Myers
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
59.1%
Bohemians ←
22.59%
X
18.31%
Drogheda
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Bohemians)
59.1%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.13
1.82
-0.31
1.09
0.61
-0.48
Bohemians dominated by xG (1.82 vs 0.61).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Kacper Chorążka
G
Kacper Chorążka
G
6
J. Flores
D
J. Flores
D
12
P. Hickey
1 ⚽
D
P. Hickey
1 ⚽
D
24
Cian Byrne
D
16
Darragh Power
D
10
D. Devoy
M
D. Devoy
M
5
Sadou Diallo
89'
M
11
D. Rooney
1 ⚽
M
D. Rooney
1 ⚽
M
32
M. Strods
2 👟
M
M. Strods
2 👟
M
26
R. Tierney
M
R. Tierney
M
18
D. James-Taylor
83'
F
D. James-Taylor
83'
F
Bench
17
A. McDonnell
M
A. McDonnell
M
7
Connor Parsons
F
Connor Parsons
F
9
C. Whelan
10'
F
C. Whelan
10'
F
8
H. Vaughan
M
H. Vaughan
M
29
Josh Harpur
F
Josh Harpur
F
20
Leigh Kavanagh
D
Leigh Kavanagh
D
4
Niall Morahan
4'
M
Niall Morahan
4'
M
25
Paul Walters
G
23
Zane Myers
D
Zane Myers
D
44
Fynn Talley
G
Fynn Talley
G
3
Conor Kane
D
Conor Kane
D
18
James Bolger
45'
D
James Bolger
45'
D
22
Conor Keeley
75'
D
Conor Keeley
75'
D
2
Edwin Agbaje
D
Edwin Agbaje
D
6
Jago Godden
M
Jago Godden
M
17
S. Farrell
M
S. Farrell
M
11
Thomas Oluwa
1 ⚽
M
Thomas Oluwa
1 ⚽
M
10
B. Kavanagh
75'
M
B. Kavanagh
75'
M
24
Warren Davis
65'
M
Warren Davis
65'
M
14
M. Doyle
65'
F
M. Doyle
65'
F
Bench
4
Andrew Quinn
48'
D
Andrew Quinn
48'
D
30
Cian O'Connor
M
Cian O'Connor
M
15
Dare Kareem
28'
F
Dare Kareem
28'
F
29
Jamie Brennan
M
Jamie Brennan
M
31
Kieran Cruise
1 👟
28'
D
Kieran Cruise
1 👟
28'
D
5
Leo Burney
18'
D
Leo Burney
18'
D
1
Luke Dennison
G
Luke Dennison
G
19
R. Brennan
M
R. Brennan
M
33
Sean McGrath
18'
M
Sean McGrath
18'
M
Best on the pitch
P. Hickey
D · Bohemians
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 61 pass
D. Rooney
M · Bohemians
7.70
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 23 pass
D. Devoy
M · Bohemians
7.30
1 shots
· 72 pass
Kieran Cruise
D · Drogheda
7.30
1 👟
· 8 pass
Thomas Oluwa
M · Drogheda
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 11 pass
Cian Byrne
D · Bohemians
7.20
· 63 pass
Bohemians — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kacper Chorążka | G | 93 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 27 | 13% | — | — | — |
| J. Flores | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 58 | 47% | 3 | 1 | — |
| P. Hickey | D | 93 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 61 | 55% | 1 | — | — |
| Cian Byrne | D | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 63 | 55% | 1 | — | — |
| Darragh Power | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Devoy | M | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 72 | 65% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Sadou Diallo | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 63 | 52% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Rooney | M | 93 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 5 | 23 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Strods | M | 93 | 7.00 | — | 2 | 1 | 32 | 26% | — | — | — |
| R. Tierney | M | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 47 | 36% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D. James-Taylor | F | 83 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 15% | — | — | — |
| C. Whelan | F | 10 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Niall Morahan | M | 4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Drogheda United — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fynn Talley | G | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Conor Kane | D | 93 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 18 | 8% | — | — | — |
| James Bolger | D | 45 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 10 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Conor Keeley | D | 75 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Edwin Agbaje | D | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 18 | 11% | 7 | — | — |
| Jago Godden | M | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 25 | 13% | 2 | 1 | — |
| S. Farrell | M | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| Thomas Oluwa | M | 93 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 11 | 4% | — | — | — |
| B. Kavanagh | M | 75 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
| Warren Davis | M | 65 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Doyle | F | 65 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 5% | 4 | — | — |
| Andrew Quinn | D | 48 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 14 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Dare Kareem | F | 28 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Kieran Cruise | D | 28 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 8 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Leo Burney | D | 18 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Sean McGrath | M | 18 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bohemians vs Drogheda United?
The final score was Bohemians 2–1 Drogheda United.
What did the model predict before Bohemians vs Drogheda United?
The model assigned 59% probability to a Bohemians win, 22% to a draw, and 18% to an Drogheda United win.