Serie A
· Regular Season - 35
May 03, 2026 12:30
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bologna a 41% win probability (draw 37%, Cagliari 20%). The final result was Bologna 0–0 Cagliari. In 1 previous meetings, Bologna have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Cagliari.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
5
4
Shots on target
2
0.49
Actual xG
1.07
2
Saves
4
65%
Possession
35%
7
Corners
2
19
Tackles
19
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
42'
I. Sulemana
/
A. Deiola
S. Sohm
/ J. Rowe
46'
52'
M. Adopo
J. Odgaard
/ S. Castro
63'
B. Dominguez
/ R. Orsolini
63'
E. Fauske Helland
68'
73'
P. Mendy
/
S. Esposito
F. Bernardeschi
/ L. Ferguson
78'
L. De Silvestri
/ N. Zortea
85'
89'
G. Zappa
/
M. Adopo
S. Castro
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
41.83%
Bologna
37.67%
X ←
20.5%
Cagliari
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
37.67%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.97
0.49
-0.48
0.63
1.07
+0.44
Cagliari dominated by xG (1.07 vs 0.49).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
25
G
33
Juan Miranda
D
Juan Miranda
D
26
Jhon Lucumí
D
Jhon Lucumí
D
5
Eivind Helland
D
Eivind Helland
D
29
Lorenzo De Silvestri
85'
D
Lorenzo De Silvestri
85'
D
6
Nikola Moro
M
Nikola Moro
M
8
R. Freuler
M
R. Freuler
M
30
Benjamín Domínguez
63'
M
Benjamín Domínguez
63'
M
23
Simon Sohm
45'
M
Simon Sohm
45'
M
10
F. Bernardeschi
78'
M
F. Bernardeschi
78'
M
21
Jens Odgaard
63'
F
Jens Odgaard
63'
F
Bench
13
Federico Ravaglia
G
Federico Ravaglia
G
11
J. Rowe
52'
F
J. Rowe
52'
F
19
Lewis Ferguson
19'
M
Lewis Ferguson
19'
M
20
Nadir Zortea
12'
D
Nadir Zortea
12'
D
7
Riccardo Orsolini
34'
F
Riccardo Orsolini
34'
F
9
S. Castro
34'
F
S. Castro
34'
F
4
Tommaso Pobega
M
Tommaso Pobega
M
1
G
33
A. Obert
D
A. Obert
D
22
D
26
D
32
J. Pedro
D
90
M. Folorunsho
M
14
A. Deiola
42'
M
10
G. Gaetano
M
8
M. Adopo
89'
M
2
M. Palestra
M
94
S. Esposito
73'
F
S. Esposito
73'
F
Bench
25
I. Sulemana
55'
M
15
J. Rodriguez
D
31
P. Mendy
24'
F
Best on the pitch
Eivind Helland
D · Bologna
8.50
· 84 pass
Jhon Lucumí
D · Bologna
7.90
1 shots
· 79 pass
D · Cagliari
7.70
1 shots
· 27 pass
J. Rowe
F · Bologna
7.30
· 10 pass
Juan Miranda
D · Bologna
7.30
· 49 pass
A. Obert
D · Cagliari
7.30
· 20 pass
Bologna — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 26% | — | — | — | |
| Juan Miranda | D | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 49 | 38% | 7 | — | — |
| Jhon Lucumí | D | 97 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 79 | 72% | 2 | — | — |
| Eivind Helland | D | 97 | 8.50 | — | — | — | 84 | 76% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Lorenzo De Silvestri | D | 85 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Nikola Moro | M | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 77 | 67% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Freuler | M | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 56 | 43% | — | — | — |
| Benjamín Domínguez | M | 63 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Simon Sohm | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Bernardeschi | M | 78 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 32 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Jens Odgaard | F | 63 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| J. Rowe | F | 52 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Lewis Ferguson | M | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Nadir Zortea | D | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Riccardo Orsolini | F | 34 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Castro | F | 34 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
Cagliari — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 40 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| A. Obert | D | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | 4 | — | — |
| D | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | 3 | — | — | |
| D | 97 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 26% | 2 | — | — | |
| J. Pedro | D | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Folorunsho | M | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Deiola | M | 42 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| G. Gaetano | M | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 35 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Adopo | M | 89 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Palestra | M | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Esposito | F | 73 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Sulemana | M | 55 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Mendy | F | 24 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bologna vs Cagliari?
The final score was Bologna 0–0 Cagliari.
What did the model predict before Bologna vs Cagliari?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Bologna win, 37% to a draw, and 20% to an Cagliari win.