The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bologna a 41% win probability (draw 37%, Cagliari 20%). The final result was Bologna 0–0 Cagliari. In 1 previous meetings, Bologna have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Cagliari.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
5
4
Shots on target
2
0.49
Actual xG
1.07
2
Saves
4
65%
Possession
35%
7
Corners
2
19
Tackles
19
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
42'
I. Sulemana
/
A. Deiola
S. Sohm
/ J. Rowe
46'
52'
M. Adopo
J. Odgaard
/ S. Castro
63'
B. Dominguez
/ R. Orsolini
63'
E. Fauske Helland
68'
73'
P. Mendy
/
S. Esposito
F. Bernardeschi
/ L. Ferguson
78'
L. De Silvestri
/ N. Zortea
85'
89'
G. Zappa
/
M. Adopo
S. Castro
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
41.83%
Bologna
37.67%
X ←
20.5%
Cagliari
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
37.67%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.97
0.49
-0.48
0.63
1.07
+0.44
Cagliari dominated by xG (1.07 vs 0.49).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
25
G
33
Juan Miranda
D
26
Jhon Lucumí
D
Jhon Lucumí
D
5
E. Helland
D
E. Helland
D
29
Lorenzo De Silvestri
85'
D
6
N. Moro
M
N. Moro
M
8
R. Freuler
M
R. Freuler
M
30
Benjamín Domínguez
63'
M
23
Simon Sohm
45'
M
10
F. Bernardeschi
78'
M
F. Bernardeschi
78'
M
21
J. Odgaard
63'
F
J. Odgaard
63'
F
Bench
13
Federico Ravaglia
G
11
J. Rowe
52'
F
J. Rowe
52'
F
19
L. Ferguson
19'
M
L. Ferguson
19'
M
20
Nadir Zortea
12'
D
7
R. Orsolini
34'
F
R. Orsolini
34'
F
9
S. Castro
34'
F
S. Castro
34'
F
4
T. Pobega
M
T. Pobega
M
1
G
33
Adam Obert
D
22
D
26
D
32
Zé Pedro
D
Zé Pedro
D
90
M. Folorunsho
M
M. Folorunsho
M
14
Alessandro Deiola
42'
M
Alessandro Deiola
42'
M
10
Gianluca Gaetano
M
Gianluca Gaetano
M
8
Michel Adopo
89'
M
Michel Adopo
89'
M
2
Marco Palestra
M
Marco Palestra
M
94
S. Esposito
73'
F
S. Esposito
73'
F
Bench
15
Juan Rodríguez
D
Juan Rodríguez
D
31
Paul Mendy
24'
F
Paul Mendy
24'
F
25
Sulemana
55'
M
Sulemana
55'
M
Best on the pitch
E. Helland
D · Bologna
8.50
· 84 pass
Jhon Lucumí
D · Bologna
7.90
1 shots
· 79 pass
D · Cagliari
7.70
1 shots
· 27 pass
J. Rowe
F · Bologna
7.30
· 10 pass
Juan Miranda
D · Bologna
7.30
· 49 pass
Adam Obert
D · Cagliari
7.30
· 20 pass
Bologna — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 26% | — | — | — | |
| Juan Miranda | D | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 49 | 38% | 7 | — | — |
| Jhon Lucumí | D | 97 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 79 | 72% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Helland | D | 97 | 8.50 | — | — | — | 84 | 76% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Lorenzo De Silvestri | D | 85 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Moro | M | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 77 | 67% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Freuler | M | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 56 | 43% | — | — | — |
| Benjamín Domínguez | M | 63 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Simon Sohm | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Bernardeschi | M | 78 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 32 | 27% | — | — | — |
| J. Odgaard | F | 63 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| J. Rowe | F | 52 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| L. Ferguson | M | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Nadir Zortea | D | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| R. Orsolini | F | 34 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Castro | F | 34 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
Cagliari — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 40 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| Adam Obert | D | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | 4 | — | — |
| D | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | 3 | — | — | |
| D | 97 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 26% | 2 | — | — | |
| Zé Pedro | D | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Folorunsho | M | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| Alessandro Deiola | M | 42 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Gianluca Gaetano | M | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 35 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Michel Adopo | M | 89 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | — | 1 | — |
| Marco Palestra | M | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Esposito | F | 73 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Paul Mendy | F | 24 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Sulemana | M | 55 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bologna vs Cagliari?
The final score was Bologna 0–0 Cagliari.
What did the model predict before Bologna vs Cagliari?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Bologna win, 37% to a draw, and 20% to an Cagliari win.