League One
· Regular Season - 46
May 02, 2026 16:00
J. Osei-Tutu
(ast. A. Cozier-Duberry)
20'
I. Cissoko
(ast. R. Rodrigues)
45'+3
(pen.)
15'
J. Clark
62'
(ast. L. Walsh)
H. Odoffin
90'+4
S. Morris
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Luton a 39% win probability (draw 24%, Bolton 35%). The final result was Bolton 2–3 Luton. In 1 previous meetings, Bolton have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Luton.
Match statistics
18
Total shots
11
12
Shots on target
6
3
Saves
10
56%
Possession
44%
5
Corners
3
20
Tackles
23
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
M. Conway
13'
15'
(pen.)
J. Clark⚽
⚽J. Osei-Tutu
· ast. A. Cozier-Duberry
20'
35'
L. Walsh
⚽I. Cissoko
· ast. R. Rodrigues
45'+3
I. Cissoko
60'
61'
S. Morris
/
J. Richards
62'
ast. L. Walsh ·
H. Odoffin⚽
C. Forino-Joseph
63'
63'
K. Palmer
I. Cissoko
/ T. Gale
73'
73'
G. Kodua
/
E. Lawrence
J. Sheehan
78'
R. Rodrigues
/ K. Dempsey
79'
81'
D. van den Berg
/
K. Palmer
81'
A. Al Hamadi
/
M. Andersen
M. Conway
/ C. Christie
86'
M. Burstow
/ J. McAtee
86'
88'
D. van den Berg
90'+4
S. Morris⚽
90'+7
(missed pen.)
N. Wells⚽
Pre-match prediction
35.4%
Bolton
24.81%
X
39.78%
Luton ←
we assigned to the actual result (Luton)
39.78%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.29
—
—
1.58
—
—
Lineups
1
G
25
Max Conway
86'
D
Max Conway
86'
D
3
Chris Forino
D
Chris Forino
D
18
Eoin Toal
D
Eoin Toal
D
14
Jordi Osei-Tutu
1 ⚽
D
Jordi Osei-Tutu
1 ⚽
D
27
Rúben Rodrigues
1 👟
79'
M
Rúben Rodrigues
1 👟
79'
M
8
Josh Sheehan
M
Josh Sheehan
M
20
Ibrahim Cissoko
1 ⚽
73'
M
Ibrahim Cissoko
1 ⚽
73'
M
9
J. Kenny
M
19
A. Cozier-Duberry
1 👟
M
A. Cozier-Duberry
1 👟
M
48
Mason Paul James Burstow
86'
F
Mason Paul James Burstow
86'
F
Bench
29
Cyrus Christie
14'
D
Cyrus Christie
14'
D
45
John McAtee
14'
F
John McAtee
14'
F
22
K. Dempsey
11'
M
15
R. Apter
M
11
Thierry Gale
17'
F
Thierry Gale
17'
F
24
J. Keeley
G
3
Kal Naismith
D
5
M. Andersen
81'
D
16
H. Odoffin
1 ⚽
D
25
D
8
L. Walsh
1 👟
M
L. Walsh
1 👟
M
32
E. Lawrence
73'
M
54
Kasey Palmer
81'
M
18
J. Clark
1 ⚽
M
J. Clark
1 ⚽
M
27
J. Richards
61'
M
21
N. Wells
F
Bench
12
A. Al Hamadi
9'
F
6
D. van den Berg
9'
M
17
N. Lonwijk
D
14
S. Morris
1 ⚽
29'
F
Best on the pitch
G · Bolton
8.00
· 37 pass
J. Keeley
G · Luton
7.90
· 47 pass
A. Cozier-Duberry
M · Bolton
7.60
1 👟
4 shots
· 34 pass
J. Clark
M · Luton
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 37 pass
Jordi Osei-Tutu
D · Bolton
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 39 pass
Ibrahim Cissoko
M · Bolton
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 19 pass
Bolton — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 37 | 27% | — | — | — | |
| Max Conway | D | 86 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 26% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Chris Forino | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 50 | 45% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Eoin Toal | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 61 | 55% | 2 | — | — |
| Jordi Osei-Tutu | D | 90 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 39 | 32% | 5 | — | — |
| Rúben Rodrigues | M | 79 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 33 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Josh Sheehan | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 55% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Ibrahim Cissoko | M | 73 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 19 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Kenny | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Cozier-Duberry | M | 90 | 7.60 | — | 1 | 4 | 34 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Mason Paul James Burstow | F | 86 | 6.70 | — | — | 5 | 22 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Cyrus Christie | D | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
| John McAtee | F | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| K. Dempsey | M | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Thierry Gale | F | 17 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
Luton — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Keeley | G | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 47 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Kal Naismith | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 19% | 4 | — | — |
| M. Andersen | D | 81 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Odoffin | D | 90 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 44 | 34% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 24% | 2 | — | — | |
| L. Walsh | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 47 | 42% | 2 | 1 | — |
| E. Lawrence | M | 73 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Kasey Palmer | M | 81 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Clark | M | 90 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 37 | 27% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Richards | M | 61 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | 3 | — | — |
| N. Wells | F | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 3 | 8 | 6% | 4 | — | — |
| A. Al Hamadi | F | 9 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| D. van den Berg | M | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| S. Morris | F | 29 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bolton vs Luton?
The final score was Bolton 2–3 Luton.
What did the model predict before Bolton vs Luton?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Bolton win, 24% to a draw, and 39% to an Luton win.