J. Osei-Tutu
(ast. A. Cozier-Duberry)
20'
I. Cissoko
(ast. R. Rodrigues)
45'+3
(pen.)
15'
J. Clark
62'
(ast. L. Walsh)
H. Odoffin
90'+4
S. Morris
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Luton a 39% win probability (draw 24%, Bolton 35%). The final result was Bolton 2–3 Luton. In 1 previous meetings, Bolton have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Luton.
Match statistics
18
Total shots
11
12
Shots on target
6
3
Saves
10
56%
Possession
44%
5
Corners
3
20
Tackles
23
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
M. Conway
13'
15'
(pen.)
J. Clark⚽
⚽J. Osei-Tutu
· ast. A. Cozier-Duberry
20'
35'
L. Walsh
⚽I. Cissoko
· ast. R. Rodrigues
45'+3
I. Cissoko
60'
61'
S. Morris
/
J. Richards
62'
ast. L. Walsh ·
H. Odoffin⚽
C. Forino-Joseph
63'
63'
K. Palmer
I. Cissoko
/ T. Gale
73'
73'
G. Kodua
/
E. Lawrence
J. Sheehan
78'
R. Rodrigues
/ K. Dempsey
79'
81'
D. van den Berg
/
K. Palmer
81'
A. Al Hamadi
/
M. Andersen
M. Conway
/ C. Christie
86'
M. Burstow
/ J. McAtee
86'
88'
D. van den Berg
90'+4
S. Morris⚽
90'+7
(missed pen.)
N. Wells⚽
Pre-match prediction
35.4%
Bolton
24.81%
X
39.78%
Luton ←
we assigned to the actual result (Luton)
39.78%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.29
—
—
1.58
—
—
Lineups
1
G
25
M. Conway
86'
D
M. Conway
86'
D
3
C. Forino-Joseph
D
C. Forino-Joseph
D
18
E. Toal
D
E. Toal
D
14
J. Osei-Tutu
1 ⚽
D
J. Osei-Tutu
1 ⚽
D
27
Ruben Rodrigues
1 👟
79'
M
Ruben Rodrigues
1 👟
79'
M
8
J. Sheehan
M
J. Sheehan
M
20
I. Cissoko
1 ⚽
73'
M
I. Cissoko
1 ⚽
73'
M
9
J. Kenny
M
J. Kenny
M
19
A. Cozier-Duberry
1 👟
M
A. Cozier-Duberry
1 👟
M
48
Mason Paul James Burstow
86'
F
Mason Paul James Burstow
86'
F
Bench
29
Cyrus Christie
14'
D
Cyrus Christie
14'
D
45
J. McAtee
14'
F
J. McAtee
14'
F
22
Kyle Dempsey
11'
M
Kyle Dempsey
11'
M
15
R. Apter
M
R. Apter
M
11
T. Gale
17'
F
T. Gale
17'
F
24
Joshua Keeley
G
Joshua Keeley
G
3
K. Naismith
D
K. Naismith
D
5
M. Andersen
81'
D
M. Andersen
81'
D
16
H. Odoffin
1 ⚽
D
H. Odoffin
1 ⚽
D
25
D
8
L. Walsh
1 👟
M
L. Walsh
1 👟
M
32
Emilio Lawrence
73'
M
Emilio Lawrence
73'
M
54
K. Palmer
81'
M
K. Palmer
81'
M
18
J. Clark
1 ⚽
M
J. Clark
1 ⚽
M
27
J. Richards
61'
M
J. Richards
61'
M
21
N. Wells
F
N. Wells
F
Bench
12
Ali Al Hamadi
9'
F
Ali Al Hamadi
9'
F
6
D. van den Berg
9'
M
D. van den Berg
9'
M
17
N. Lonwijk
D
N. Lonwijk
D
14
S. Morris
1 ⚽
29'
F
S. Morris
1 ⚽
29'
F
Best on the pitch
G · Bolton
8.00
· 37 pass
Joshua Keeley
G · Luton
7.90
· 47 pass
A. Cozier-Duberry
M · Bolton
7.60
1 👟
4 shots
· 34 pass
J. Clark
M · Luton
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 37 pass
J. Osei-Tutu
D · Bolton
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 39 pass
I. Cissoko
M · Bolton
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 19 pass
Bolton — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 37 | 27% | — | — | — | |
| M. Conway | D | 86 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 26% | 3 | 1 | — |
| C. Forino-Joseph | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 50 | 45% | 4 | 1 | — |
| E. Toal | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 61 | 55% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Osei-Tutu | D | 90 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 39 | 32% | 5 | — | — |
| Ruben Rodrigues | M | 79 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 33 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Sheehan | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 55% | 1 | 1 | — |
| I. Cissoko | M | 73 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 19 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Kenny | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Cozier-Duberry | M | 90 | 7.60 | — | 1 | 4 | 34 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Mason Paul James Burstow | F | 86 | 6.70 | — | — | 5 | 22 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Cyrus Christie | D | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
| J. McAtee | F | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Kyle Dempsey | M | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| T. Gale | F | 17 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
Luton — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Keeley | G | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 47 | 27% | — | — | — |
| K. Naismith | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 19% | 4 | — | — |
| M. Andersen | D | 81 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Odoffin | D | 90 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 44 | 34% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 24% | 2 | — | — | |
| L. Walsh | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 47 | 42% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Emilio Lawrence | M | 73 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Palmer | M | 81 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Clark | M | 90 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 37 | 27% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Richards | M | 61 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | 3 | — | — |
| N. Wells | F | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 3 | 8 | 6% | 4 | — | — |
| Ali Al Hamadi | F | 9 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| D. van den Berg | M | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| S. Morris | F | 29 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bolton vs Luton?
The final score was Bolton 2–3 Luton.
What did the model predict before Bolton vs Luton?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Bolton win, 24% to a draw, and 39% to an Luton win.