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League One · Regular Season - 40 April 14, 2026 20:45
Bolton
#5 · 75 pts
5 – 1
Final score
Stevenage
#6 · 75 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Bolton
A. Cozier-Duberry (ast. J. Osei-Tutu) 13'
J. Kenny (ast. T. Gale) 30'
A. Cozier-Duberry (ast. S. Dalby) 49'
R. Rodrigues (ast. M. Burstow) 67'
M. Burstow 81'
64' (ast. J. Houghton) D. Kemp

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bolton a 50% win probability (draw 28%, Stevenage 21%). The final result was Bolton 5–1 Stevenage. In 1 previous meetings, Bolton have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Stevenage.

Match statistics
21
Total shots
9
9
Shots on target
3
2
Saves
4
67%
Possession
33%
8
Corners
3
13
Tackles
16
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽A. Cozier-Duberry · ast. J. Osei-Tutu
13'
⚽J. Kenny · ast. T. Gale
30'
39'
S. Earley / D. Sweeney ↕
42'
D. Phillips
⚽A. Cozier-Duberry · ast. S. Dalby
49'
↕ S. Dalby / M. Burstow
56'
↕ A. Cozier-Duberry / R. Apter
56'
59'
M. Phillips / J. Reid ↕
60'
J. Houghton / H. White ↕
60'
B. Lubala / J. Roberts ↕
64'
ast. J. Houghton · D. Kemp⚽
⚽R. Rodrigues · ast. M. Burstow
67'
↕ J. Kenny / K. Dempsey
68'
↕ R. Rodrigues / M. Conway
68'
74'
P. Patterson / D. Kemp ↕
↕ T. Gale / I. Cissoko
80'
⚽M. Burstow
81'
90'+2
S. Earley
Pre-match prediction
50.21%
Bolton ←
28.57%
X
21.22%
Stevenage
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Bolton) 50.21% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Bolton
1.30
—
—
Stevenage
0.83
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lincoln Lincoln 46 103
2 Cardiff Cardiff 46 91
3 Stockport County Stockport County 46 77
4 Bradford Bradford 46 77
5 Bolton Bolton 46 75
6 Stevenage Stevenage 46 75
7 Luton Luton 46 74
8 Plymouth Plymouth 46 73
9 Huddersfield Huddersfield 46 67
10 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 46 65
11 Wycombe Wycombe 46 63
12 Reading Reading 46 63
13 Blackpool Blackpool 46 60
14 Doncaster Doncaster 46 60
15 Barnsley Barnsley 46 59
16 Wigan Wigan 46 56
17 Burton Albion Burton Albion 46 54
18 Peterborough Peterborough 46 53
19 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 46 53
20 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 46 52
21 Exeter City Exeter City 46 49
22 Port Vale Port Vale 46 42
23 Rotherham Rotherham 46 41
24 Northampton Northampton 46 35
Lineups
Bolton Bolton 4-2-3-1
1
G 6.50
6 George Johnston George Johnston D 6.90
3 Chris Forino Chris Forino D 7.50
18 Eoin Toal Eoin Toal D 6.60
14 Jordi Osei-Tutu Jordi Osei-Tutu 1 👟 D 8.30
8 Josh Sheehan Josh Sheehan M 8.00
27 Rúben Rodrigues Rúben Rodrigues 1 ⚽ 68' M 7.30
11 Thierry Gale Thierry Gale 1 👟 80' M 7.30
10 Sam Dalby Sam Dalby 1 👟 56' M 6.70
19 A. Cozier-Duberry A. Cozier-Duberry 2 ⚽ 56' M 9.20
9
J. Kenny 1 ⚽ 68' F 7.70
Bench
29 Cyrus Christie Cyrus Christie D
20 Ibrahim Cissoko Ibrahim Cissoko 10' F 6.70
22
K. Dempsey 22' M 6.30
48 Mason Paul James Burstow Mason Paul James Burstow 1 ⚽ 1 👟 34' F 7.50
25 Max Conway Max Conway 22' D 7.00
15
R. Apter 34' M 6.30
Stevenage Stevenage 3-4-1-2
1
G 5.90
15 C. Goode C. Goode D 6.20
5 C. Piergianni C. Piergianni D 5.30
6 Dan Sweeney Dan Sweeney 39' D 5.90
11 Jordan Roberts Jordan Roberts 60' M 6.90
18 H. White H. White 60' M 7.00
23 Louis Thompson Louis Thompson M 6.30
17 Jasper Pattenden Jasper Pattenden M 6.20
8 D. Phillips D. Phillips 42' F 5.70
19 J. Reid J. Reid 59' F 5.90
10 Daniel Kemp Daniel Kemp 1 ⚽ 74' F 7.30
Bench
25 Matt Phillips Matt Phillips 31' M 6.00
14 Saxon Earley Saxon Earley 51' D 5.90
Best on the pitch
A. Cozier-Duberry
A. Cozier-Duberry
M · Bolton
9.20
2 ⚽
3 shots · 27 pass
Jordi Osei-Tutu
Jordi Osei-Tutu
D · Bolton
8.30
1 👟
1 shots · 64 pass
Josh Sheehan
Josh Sheehan
M · Bolton
8.00
1 shots · 88 pass
J. Kenny
F · Bolton
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots · 11 pass
Chris Forino
Chris Forino
D · Bolton
7.50
· 63 pass
Mason Paul James Burstow
Mason Paul James Burstow
F · Bolton
7.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 8 pass
Bolton Bolton — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.50 — — — 33 27% — — —
George Johnston D 90 6.90 — — — 60 52% — — —
Chris Forino D 90 7.50 — — — 63 57% 2 — —
Eoin Toal D 90 6.60 — — — 65 61% 2 — —
Jordi Osei-Tutu D 90 8.30 — 1 1 64 58% 5 — —
Josh Sheehan M 90 8.00 — — 1 88 81% 1 — —
Rúben Rodrigues M 68 7.30 1 — 3 33 25% 2 — —
Thierry Gale M 80 7.30 — 1 2 31 27% — — —
Sam Dalby M 56 6.70 — 1 1 10 9% 1 — —
A. Cozier-Duberry M 56 9.20 2 — 3 27 24% — — —
J. Kenny F 68 7.70 1 — 3 11 9% — — —
Ibrahim Cissoko F 10 6.70 — — — 11 11% — — —
K. Dempsey M 22 6.30 — — 2 11 10% — — —
Mason Paul James Burstow F 34 7.50 1 1 2 8 7% — — —
Max Conway D 22 7.00 — — — 21 20% — — —
R. Apter M 34 6.30 — — 3 8 6% — — —
Stevenage Stevenage — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 5.90 — — — 44 17% — — —
C. Goode D 90 6.20 — — — 32 25% 3 — —
C. Piergianni D 90 5.30 — — 1 21 13% — — —
Dan Sweeney D 39 5.90 — — — 11 7% — — —
Jordan Roberts M 60 6.90 — — — 17 13% 3 — —
H. White M 60 7.00 — — 2 22 19% 3 — —
Louis Thompson M 90 6.30 — — 1 27 23% 3 — —
Jasper Pattenden M 90 6.20 — — — 23 15% 2 — —
D. Phillips F 42 5.70 — — — 14 12% — — 1
J. Reid F 59 5.90 — — 1 12 7% — — —
Daniel Kemp F 74 7.30 1 — 3 19 17% 1 — —
Matt Phillips M 31 6.00 — — 1 8 8% — — —
Saxon Earley D 51 5.90 — — — 12 9% 1 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bolton vs Stevenage?
The final score was Bolton 5–1 Stevenage.
What did the model predict before Bolton vs Stevenage?
The model assigned 50% probability to a Bolton win, 28% to a draw, and 21% to an Stevenage win.