✓Model correct — prediction Bolton
A. Cozier-Duberry
(ast. J. Osei-Tutu)
13'
J. Kenny
(ast. T. Gale)
30'
A. Cozier-Duberry
(ast. S. Dalby)
49'
R. Rodrigues
(ast. M. Burstow)
67'
M. Burstow
81'
64'
(ast. J. Houghton)
D. Kemp
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bolton a 50% win probability (draw 28%, Stevenage 21%). The final result was Bolton 5–1 Stevenage. In 1 previous meetings, Bolton have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Stevenage.
Match statistics
21
Total shots
9
9
Shots on target
3
2
Saves
4
67%
Possession
33%
8
Corners
3
13
Tackles
16
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽A. Cozier-Duberry
· ast. J. Osei-Tutu
13'
⚽J. Kenny
· ast. T. Gale
30'
39'
S. Earley
/
D. Sweeney
42'
D. Phillips
⚽A. Cozier-Duberry
· ast. S. Dalby
49'
S. Dalby
/ M. Burstow
56'
A. Cozier-Duberry
/ R. Apter
56'
59'
M. Phillips
/
J. Reid
60'
J. Houghton
/
H. White
60'
B. Lubala
/
J. Roberts
64'
ast. J. Houghton ·
D. Kemp⚽
⚽R. Rodrigues
· ast. M. Burstow
67'
J. Kenny
/ K. Dempsey
68'
R. Rodrigues
/ M. Conway
68'
74'
P. Patterson
/
D. Kemp
T. Gale
/ I. Cissoko
80'
⚽M. Burstow
81'
90'+2
S. Earley
Pre-match prediction
50.21%
Bolton ←
28.57%
X
21.22%
Stevenage
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Bolton)
50.21%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.30
—
—
0.83
—
—
Lineups
1
G
6
George Johnston
D
George Johnston
D
3
Chris Forino
D
Chris Forino
D
18
Eoin Toal
D
Eoin Toal
D
14
J. Osei-Tutu
1 👟
D
J. Osei-Tutu
1 👟
D
8
J. Sheehan
M
J. Sheehan
M
27
Rúben Rodrigues
1 ⚽
68'
M
Rúben Rodrigues
1 ⚽
68'
M
11
Thierry Gale
1 👟
80'
M
Thierry Gale
1 👟
80'
M
10
Sam Dalby
1 👟
56'
M
Sam Dalby
1 👟
56'
M
19
A. Cozier-Duberry
2 ⚽
56'
M
A. Cozier-Duberry
2 ⚽
56'
M
9
J. Kenny
1 ⚽
68'
F
Bench
29
Cyrus Christie
D
Cyrus Christie
D
20
Ibrahim Cissoko
10'
F
Ibrahim Cissoko
10'
F
22
Kyle Dempsey
22'
M
Kyle Dempsey
22'
M
48
Mason Paul James Burstow
1 ⚽
1 👟
34'
F
Mason Paul James Burstow
1 ⚽
1 👟
34'
F
25
Max Conway
22'
D
Max Conway
22'
D
15
R. Apter
34'
M
1
G
15
C. Goode
D
C. Goode
D
5
C. Piergianni
D
C. Piergianni
D
6
Dan Sweeney
39'
D
Dan Sweeney
39'
D
11
Jordan Roberts
60'
M
Jordan Roberts
60'
M
18
H. White
60'
M
H. White
60'
M
23
Louis Thompson
M
Louis Thompson
M
17
Jasper Pattenden
M
Jasper Pattenden
M
8
D. Phillips
42'
F
D. Phillips
42'
F
19
J. Reid
59'
F
J. Reid
59'
F
10
Daniel Kemp
1 ⚽
74'
F
Daniel Kemp
1 ⚽
74'
F
Bench
25
Matt Phillips
31'
M
Matt Phillips
31'
M
14
Saxon Earley
51'
D
Saxon Earley
51'
D
Best on the pitch
A. Cozier-Duberry
M · Bolton
9.20
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 27 pass
J. Osei-Tutu
D · Bolton
8.30
1 👟
1 shots
· 64 pass
J. Sheehan
M · Bolton
8.00
1 shots
· 88 pass
J. Kenny
F · Bolton
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 11 pass
Chris Forino
D · Bolton
7.50
· 63 pass
Mason Paul James Burstow
F · Bolton
7.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 8 pass
Bolton — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 33 | 27% | — | — | — | |
| George Johnston | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 60 | 52% | — | — | — |
| Chris Forino | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 63 | 57% | 2 | — | — |
| Eoin Toal | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 65 | 61% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Osei-Tutu | D | 90 | 8.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 64 | 58% | 5 | — | — |
| J. Sheehan | M | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | 1 | 88 | 81% | 1 | — | — |
| Rúben Rodrigues | M | 68 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 33 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| Thierry Gale | M | 80 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 2 | 31 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Sam Dalby | M | 56 | 6.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Cozier-Duberry | M | 56 | 9.20 | 2 | — | 3 | 27 | 24% | — | — | — |
| J. Kenny | F | 68 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 3 | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Ibrahim Cissoko | F | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 11 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Kyle Dempsey | M | 22 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Mason Paul James Burstow | F | 34 | 7.50 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Max Conway | D | 22 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 21 | 20% | — | — | — |
| R. Apter | M | 34 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
Stevenage — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 17% | — | — | — | |
| C. Goode | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Piergianni | D | 90 | 5.30 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Dan Sweeney | D | 39 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Jordan Roberts | M | 60 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | 3 | — | — |
| H. White | M | 60 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| Louis Thompson | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| Jasper Pattenden | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Phillips | F | 42 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | — | — | 1 |
| J. Reid | F | 59 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Daniel Kemp | F | 74 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 19 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Matt Phillips | M | 31 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Saxon Earley | D | 51 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | 1 | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bolton vs Stevenage?
The final score was Bolton 5–1 Stevenage.
What did the model predict before Bolton vs Stevenage?
The model assigned 50% probability to a Bolton win, 28% to a draw, and 21% to an Stevenage win.