✓Model correct — prediction Bolton
A. Cozier-Duberry
(ast. J. Osei-Tutu)
13'
J. Kenny
(ast. T. Gale)
30'
A. Cozier-Duberry
(ast. S. Dalby)
49'
R. Rodrigues
(ast. M. Burstow)
67'
M. Burstow
81'
64'
(ast. J. Houghton)
D. Kemp
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bolton a 50% win probability (draw 28%, Stevenage 21%). The final result was Bolton 5–1 Stevenage. In 1 previous meetings, Bolton have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Stevenage.
Match statistics
21
Total shots
9
9
Shots on target
3
2
Saves
4
67%
Possession
33%
8
Corners
3
13
Tackles
16
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽A. Cozier-Duberry
· ast. J. Osei-Tutu
13'
⚽J. Kenny
· ast. T. Gale
30'
39'
S. Earley
/
D. Sweeney
42'
D. Phillips
⚽A. Cozier-Duberry
· ast. S. Dalby
49'
S. Dalby
/ M. Burstow
56'
A. Cozier-Duberry
/ R. Apter
56'
59'
M. Phillips
/
J. Reid
60'
J. Houghton
/
H. White
60'
B. Lubala
/
J. Roberts
64'
ast. J. Houghton ·
D. Kemp⚽
⚽R. Rodrigues
· ast. M. Burstow
67'
J. Kenny
/ K. Dempsey
68'
R. Rodrigues
/ M. Conway
68'
74'
P. Patterson
/
D. Kemp
T. Gale
/ I. Cissoko
80'
⚽M. Burstow
81'
90'+2
S. Earley
Pre-match prediction
50.21%
Bolton ←
28.57%
X
21.22%
Stevenage
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Bolton)
50.21%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.30
—
—
0.83
—
—
Lineups
1
G
6
G. Johnston
D
G. Johnston
D
3
C. Forino-Joseph
D
C. Forino-Joseph
D
18
E. Toal
D
E. Toal
D
14
J. Osei-Tutu
1 👟
D
J. Osei-Tutu
1 👟
D
8
J. Sheehan
M
J. Sheehan
M
27
Ruben Rodrigues
1 ⚽
68'
M
Ruben Rodrigues
1 ⚽
68'
M
11
T. Gale
1 👟
80'
M
T. Gale
1 👟
80'
M
10
S. Dalby
1 👟
56'
M
S. Dalby
1 👟
56'
M
19
A. Cozier-Duberry
2 ⚽
56'
M
A. Cozier-Duberry
2 ⚽
56'
M
9
J. Kenny
1 ⚽
68'
F
J. Kenny
1 ⚽
68'
F
Bench
29
Cyrus Christie
D
Cyrus Christie
D
20
I. Cissoko
10'
F
I. Cissoko
10'
F
22
Kyle Dempsey
22'
M
Kyle Dempsey
22'
M
48
Mason Paul James Burstow
1 ⚽
1 👟
34'
F
Mason Paul James Burstow
1 ⚽
1 👟
34'
F
25
M. Conway
22'
D
M. Conway
22'
D
15
R. Apter
34'
M
R. Apter
34'
M
1
G
15
C. Goode
D
C. Goode
D
5
C. Piergianni
D
C. Piergianni
D
6
D. Sweeney
39'
D
D. Sweeney
39'
D
11
J. Roberts
60'
M
J. Roberts
60'
M
18
H. White
60'
M
H. White
60'
M
23
L. Thompson
M
L. Thompson
M
17
Jasper Pattenden
M
Jasper Pattenden
M
8
D. Phillips
42'
F
D. Phillips
42'
F
19
J. Reid
59'
F
J. Reid
59'
F
10
D. Kemp
1 ⚽
74'
F
D. Kemp
1 ⚽
74'
F
Bench
25
Matt Phillips
31'
M
Matt Phillips
31'
M
14
S. Earley
51'
D
S. Earley
51'
D
Best on the pitch
A. Cozier-Duberry
M · Bolton
9.20
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 27 pass
J. Osei-Tutu
D · Bolton
8.30
1 👟
1 shots
· 64 pass
J. Sheehan
M · Bolton
8.00
1 shots
· 88 pass
J. Kenny
F · Bolton
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 11 pass
C. Forino-Joseph
D · Bolton
7.50
· 63 pass
Mason Paul James Burstow
F · Bolton
7.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 8 pass
Bolton — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 33 | 27% | — | — | — | |
| G. Johnston | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 60 | 52% | — | — | — |
| C. Forino-Joseph | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 63 | 57% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Toal | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 65 | 61% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Osei-Tutu | D | 90 | 8.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 64 | 58% | 5 | — | — |
| J. Sheehan | M | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | 1 | 88 | 81% | 1 | — | — |
| Ruben Rodrigues | M | 68 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 33 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Gale | M | 80 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 2 | 31 | 27% | — | — | — |
| S. Dalby | M | 56 | 6.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Cozier-Duberry | M | 56 | 9.20 | 2 | — | 3 | 27 | 24% | — | — | — |
| J. Kenny | F | 68 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 3 | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| I. Cissoko | F | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 11 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Kyle Dempsey | M | 22 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Mason Paul James Burstow | F | 34 | 7.50 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| M. Conway | D | 22 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 21 | 20% | — | — | — |
| R. Apter | M | 34 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
Stevenage — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 17% | — | — | — | |
| C. Goode | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Piergianni | D | 90 | 5.30 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 13% | — | — | — |
| D. Sweeney | D | 39 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| J. Roberts | M | 60 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | 3 | — | — |
| H. White | M | 60 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Thompson | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| Jasper Pattenden | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Phillips | F | 42 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | — | — | 1 |
| J. Reid | F | 59 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 7% | — | — | — |
| D. Kemp | F | 74 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 19 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Matt Phillips | M | 31 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| S. Earley | D | 51 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | 1 | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bolton vs Stevenage?
The final score was Bolton 5–1 Stevenage.
What did the model predict before Bolton vs Stevenage?
The model assigned 50% probability to a Bolton win, 28% to a draw, and 21% to an Stevenage win.