Bolton 5–1 Stevenage — pre-match prediction — League One — April 14, 2026

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League One · Regular Season - 40 April 14, 2026 20:45 Toughsheet Community Stadium, Bolton

Bolton

5 – 1

Final score

Stevenage

#9 · 9 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Bolton

A. Cozier-Duberry (ast. J. Osei-Tutu) 13'

J. Kenny (ast. T. Gale) 30'

A. Cozier-Duberry (ast. S. Dalby) 49'

R. Rodrigues (ast. M. Burstow) 67'

M. Burstow 81'

64' (ast. J. Houghton) D. Kemp

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bolton a 50% win probability (draw 28%, Stevenage 21%). The final result was Bolton 5–1 Stevenage. In 1 previous meetings, Bolton have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Stevenage.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

Saves

67%

Possession

33%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

🟥 Red cards

Match Events

⚽A. Cozier-Duberry · ast. J. Osei-Tutu

13'

⚽J. Kenny · ast. T. Gale

30'

39'

S. Earley / D. Sweeney ↕

42'

D. Phillips

⚽A. Cozier-Duberry · ast. S. Dalby

49'

↕ S. Dalby / M. Burstow

56'

↕ A. Cozier-Duberry / R. Apter

56'

59'

M. Phillips / J. Reid ↕

60'

J. Houghton / H. White ↕

60'

B. Lubala / J. Roberts ↕

64'

ast. J. Houghton · D. Kemp⚽

⚽R. Rodrigues · ast. M. Burstow

67'

↕ J. Kenny / K. Dempsey

68'

↕ R. Rodrigues / M. Conway

68'

74'

P. Patterson / D. Kemp ↕

↕ T. Gale / I. Cissoko

80'

⚽M. Burstow

81'

90'+2

S. Earley

Pre-match prediction

50.21%

Bolton ←

28.57%

21.22%

Stevenage

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Bolton) 50.21% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Bolton

1.30

—

Stevenage

0.83

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Sheffield Wednesday	6	13
2	Huddersfield	6	12
3	Bradford	6	12
4	Cambridge United	6	11
5	Oxford United	5	10
6	Plymouth	6	10
7	AFC Wimbledon	6	10
8	Stockport County	6	9
9	Stevenage	6	9
10	Blackpool	6	8
11	Burton Albion	6	8
12	Luton	6	8
13	Leicester	6	8
14	Reading	5	7
15	Leyton Orient	6	7
16	Notts County	6	7
17	Mansfield Town	6	7
18	Barnsley	6	7
19	Wycombe	6	6
20	Milton Keynes Dons	6	5
21	Peterborough	6	5
22	Bromley	6	5
23	Wigan	6	4
24	Doncaster	6	3

Lineups

Bolton 4-2-3-1

G 6.50

G. Johnston D 6.90

C. Forino-Joseph D 7.50

E. Toal D 6.60

J. Osei-Tutu 1 👟 D 8.30

J. Sheehan M 8.00

Ruben Rodrigues 1 ⚽ 68' M 7.30

T. Gale 1 👟 80' M 7.30

S. Dalby 1 👟 56' M 6.70

A. Cozier-Duberry 2 ⚽ 56' M 9.20

J. Kenny 1 ⚽ 68' F 7.70

Bench

Cyrus Christie D

I. Cissoko 10' F 6.70

Kyle Dempsey 22' M 6.30

Mason Paul James Burstow 1 ⚽ 1 👟 34' F 7.50

M. Conway 22' D 7.00

R. Apter 34' M 6.30

Stevenage 3-4-1-2

G 5.90

C. Goode D 6.20

C. Piergianni D 5.30

D. Sweeney 39' D 5.90

J. Roberts 60' M 6.90

H. White 60' M 7.00

L. Thompson M 6.30

Jasper Pattenden M 6.20

D. Phillips 42' F 5.70

J. Reid 59' F 5.90

D. Kemp 1 ⚽ 74' F 7.30

Bench

Matt Phillips 31' M 6.00

S. Earley 51' D 5.90

Best on the pitch

A. Cozier-Duberry

M · Bolton

9.20

2 ⚽

3 shots · 27 pass

J. Osei-Tutu

D · Bolton

8.30

1 👟

1 shots · 64 pass

J. Sheehan

M · Bolton

8.00

1 shots · 88 pass

J. Kenny

F · Bolton

7.70

1 ⚽

3 shots · 11 pass

C. Forino-Joseph

D · Bolton

7.50

· 63 pass

Mason Paul James Burstow

F · Bolton

7.50

1 ⚽ 1 👟

2 shots · 8 pass

Bolton — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.50	—	—	—	33	27%	—	—	—
G. Johnston	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	60	52%	—	—	—
C. Forino-Joseph	D	90	7.50	—	—	—	63	57%	2	—	—
E. Toal	D	90	6.60	—	—	—	65	61%	2	—	—
J. Osei-Tutu	D	90	8.30	—	1	1	64	58%	5	—	—
J. Sheehan	M	90	8.00	—	—	1	88	81%	1	—	—
Ruben Rodrigues	M	68	7.30	1	—	3	33	25%	2	—	—
T. Gale	M	80	7.30	—	1	2	31	27%	—	—	—
S. Dalby	M	56	6.70	—	1	1	10	9%	1	—	—
A. Cozier-Duberry	M	56	9.20	2	—	3	27	24%	—	—	—
J. Kenny	F	68	7.70	1	—	3	11	9%	—	—	—
I. Cissoko	F	10	6.70	—	—	—	11	11%	—	—	—
Kyle Dempsey	M	22	6.30	—	—	2	11	10%	—	—	—
Mason Paul James Burstow	F	34	7.50	1	1	2	8	7%	—	—	—
M. Conway	D	22	7.00	—	—	—	21	20%	—	—	—
R. Apter	M	34	6.30	—	—	3	8	6%	—	—	—

Stevenage — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	5.90	—	—	—	44	17%	—	—	—
C. Goode	D	90	6.20	—	—	—	32	25%	3	—	—
C. Piergianni	D	90	5.30	—	—	1	21	13%	—	—	—
D. Sweeney	D	39	5.90	—	—	—	11	7%	—	—	—
J. Roberts	M	60	6.90	—	—	—	17	13%	3	—	—
H. White	M	60	7.00	—	—	2	22	19%	3	—	—
L. Thompson	M	90	6.30	—	—	1	27	23%	3	—	—
Jasper Pattenden	M	90	6.20	—	—	—	23	15%	2	—	—
D. Phillips	F	42	5.70	—	—	—	14	12%	—	—	1
J. Reid	F	59	5.90	—	—	1	12	7%	—	—	—
D. Kemp	F	74	7.30	1	—	3	19	17%	1	—	—
Matt Phillips	M	31	6.00	—	—	1	8	8%	—	—	—
S. Earley	D	51	5.90	—	—	—	12	9%	1	1	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Bolton vs Stevenage?

The final score was Bolton 5–1 Stevenage.

What did the model predict before Bolton vs Stevenage?

The model assigned 50% probability to a Bolton win, 28% to a draw, and 21% to an Stevenage win.