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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 29 April 11, 2026 17:30
Borussia Dortmund
#2 · 70 pts
0 – 1
Final score
Bayer Leverkusen
#6 · 58 pts
42' R. Andrich

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Borussia Dortmund a 54% win probability (draw 18%, Bayer Leverkusen 26%). The final result was Borussia Dortmund 0–1 Bayer Leverkusen. In 2 previous meetings, Borussia Dortmund have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Bayer Leverkusen.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
8
1
Shots on target
4
1.26
Actual xG
0.60
3
Saves
0
53%
Possession
47%
5
Corners
5
16
Tackles
17
3
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
Ramy Bensebaini
5'
42'
R. Andrich⚽
Serhou Guirassy
45'
54'
P. Schick / C. Kofane ↕
↕ D. Svensson / M. Beier
59'
Maximilian Beier
63'
↕ F. Silva / S. Inacio
64'
↕ M. Sabitzer / C. Chukwuemeka
64'
74'
Lucas / M. Culbreath ↕
74'
E. Poku / N. Tella ↕
↕ J. Ryerson / A. Kabar
75'
↕ J. Bellingham / S. Ozcan
76'
90'+2
M. Tillman / I. Maza ↕
Pre-match prediction
54.5%
Borussia
18.51%
X
26.99%
Bayer ←
we assigned to the actual result (Bayer Leverkusen) 26.99% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Borussia
2.63
1.26
-1.37
Bayer
1.79
0.60
-1.19
Borussia Dortmund dominated by xG (1.26 vs 0.60). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Bayern München Bayern München 33 86
2 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 33 70
3 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 33 65
4 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 33 61
5 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 33 61
6 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 33 58
7 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 33 44
8 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 33 43
9 FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 33 43
10 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 33 37
11 Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 33 37
12 Union Berlin Union Berlin 33 36
13 Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 33 35
14 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 33 32
15 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 33 32
16 VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 33 26
17 1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 33 26
18 FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 33 26
Lineups
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 3-5-1-1
1
G. Kobel G 6.70
5
Ramy Bensebaini D 5.90
4
Nico Schlotterbeck D 8.00
3
D 7.50
24
D. Svensson 59' M 6.70
10
J. Brandt M 6.90
7
J. Bellingham 76' M 7.00
20 M. Sabitzer M. Sabitzer 64' M 6.90
26 J. Ryerson J. Ryerson 75' M 7.30
21
Fábio Silva 64' F 6.70
9
Serhou Guirassy F 6.20
Bench
17
Carney Chukwuemeka 30' M 7.20
49
L. Reggiani D
14
Maximilian Beier 35' F 6.70
25
N. Sule D
40
S. Inacio 30' F 6.60
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 3-4-2-1
1
G 6.60
12 E. Tapsoba E. Tapsoba D 7.30
5
D 8.30
8 R. Andrich R. Andrich 1 ⚽ D 8.00
20
A. Grimaldo M 7.00
24 Aleix García Aleix García M 7.70
25 E. Palacios E. Palacios M 7.50
42
M. Culbreath 74' M 6.60
23
N. Tella 74' F 6.50
30 I. Maza I. Maza F 6.70
35
Christian Kofane 54' F 6.00
Bench
6
E. Fernandez M
19 E. Poku E. Poku 20' F 6.60
28
J. Blaswich G
21
Lucas 20' D 6.90
10 M. Tillman M. Tillman 2' M
14 P. Schick P. Schick 40' F 6.20
Best on the pitch
D · Bayer
8.30
· 54 pass
Nico Schlotterbeck
D · Borussia
8.00
1 shots · 88 pass
R. Andrich
R. Andrich
D · Bayer
8.00
1 ⚽
2 shots · 48 pass
Aleix García
Aleix García
M · Bayer
7.70
1 shots · 92 pass
D · Borussia
7.50
· 87 pass
E. Palacios
E. Palacios
M · Bayer
7.50
· 85 pass
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G. Kobel G 94 6.70 — — — 30 25% — — —
Ramy Bensebaini D 94 5.90 — — 1 65 59% 1 1 —
Nico Schlotterbeck D 94 8.00 — — 1 88 84% 2 — —
D 94 7.50 — — — 87 80% 4 — —
D. Svensson M 59 6.70 — — 1 12 12% 1 — —
J. Brandt M 94 6.90 — — 4 44 39% 1 — —
J. Bellingham M 76 7.00 — — — 53 46% 3 — —
M. Sabitzer M 64 6.90 — — 1 34 32% — — —
J. Ryerson M 75 7.30 — — — 38 36% — — —
Fábio Silva F 64 6.70 — — — 17 14% — — —
Serhou Guirassy F 94 6.20 — — 3 19 15% — 1 —
Carney Chukwuemeka M 30 7.20 — — — 24 22% — — —
Maximilian Beier F 35 6.70 — — — 14 12% 3 1 —
S. Inacio F 30 6.60 — — — 11 9% 1 — —
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 94 6.60 — — — 29 20% — — —
E. Tapsoba D 94 7.30 — — — 58 55% 2 — —
D 94 8.30 — — — 54 50% 2 — —
R. Andrich D 94 8.00 1 — 2 48 42% 2 — —
A. Grimaldo M 94 7.00 — — 1 49 40% 3 — —
Aleix García M 94 7.70 — — 1 92 88% 2 — —
E. Palacios M 94 7.50 — — — 85 80% 2 — —
M. Culbreath M 74 6.60 — — — 17 15% 1 — —
N. Tella F 74 6.50 — — — 15 11% 1 — —
I. Maza F 92 6.70 — — 1 35 28% 1 — —
Christian Kofane F 54 6.00 — — 1 5 5% — — —
E. Poku F 20 6.60 — — — 8 7% 1 — —
Lucas D 20 6.90 — — — 14 13% — — —
M. Tillman M 2 — — — — — — — — —
P. Schick F 40 6.20 — — 2 8 8% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen?
The final score was Borussia Dortmund 0–1 Bayer Leverkusen.
What did the model predict before Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen?
The model assigned 54% probability to a Borussia Dortmund win, 18% to a draw, and 26% to an Bayer Leverkusen win.