42'
R. Andrich
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Borussia Dortmund a 54% win probability (draw 18%, Bayer Leverkusen 26%). The final result was Borussia Dortmund 0–1 Bayer Leverkusen. In 2 previous meetings, Borussia Dortmund have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Bayer Leverkusen.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
8
1
Shots on target
4
1.26
Actual xG
0.60
3
Saves
0
53%
Possession
47%
5
Corners
5
16
Tackles
17
3
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
Ramy Bensebaini
5'
42'
R. Andrich⚽
Serhou Guirassy
45'
54'
P. Schick
/
C. Kofane
D. Svensson
/ M. Beier
59'
Maximilian Beier
63'
F. Silva
/ S. Inacio
64'
M. Sabitzer
/ C. Chukwuemeka
64'
74'
Lucas
/
M. Culbreath
74'
E. Poku
/
N. Tella
J. Ryerson
/ A. Kabar
75'
J. Bellingham
/ S. Ozcan
76'
90'+2
M. Tillman
/
I. Maza
Pre-match prediction
54.5%
Borussia
18.51%
X
26.99%
Bayer ←
we assigned to the actual result (Bayer Leverkusen)
26.99%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.63
1.26
-1.37
1.79
0.60
-1.19
Borussia Dortmund dominated by xG (1.26 vs 0.60).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Gregor Kobel
G
Gregor Kobel
G
5
Ramy Bensebaini
D
Ramy Bensebaini
D
4
N. Schlotterbeck
D
N. Schlotterbeck
D
3
D
24
D. Svensson
59'
M
D. Svensson
59'
M
10
Julian Brandt
M
Julian Brandt
M
7
J. Bellingham
76'
M
J. Bellingham
76'
M
20
M. Sabitzer
64'
M
M. Sabitzer
64'
M
26
J. Ryerson
75'
M
J. Ryerson
75'
M
21
Fábio Silva
64'
F
Fábio Silva
64'
F
9
S. Guirassy
F
S. Guirassy
F
Bench
17
Carney Chukwuemeka
30'
M
Carney Chukwuemeka
30'
M
49
Luca Reggiani
D
Luca Reggiani
D
14
Maximilian Beier
35'
F
Maximilian Beier
35'
F
25
Niklas Süle
D
Niklas Süle
D
40
Samuele Inacio
30'
F
Samuele Inacio
30'
F
1
G
12
E. Tapsoba
D
E. Tapsoba
D
5
D
8
R. Andrich
1 ⚽
D
R. Andrich
1 ⚽
D
20
Álex Grimaldo
M
Álex Grimaldo
M
24
Aleix García
M
Aleix García
M
25
E. Palacios
M
E. Palacios
M
42
Montrell Culbreath
74'
M
Montrell Culbreath
74'
M
23
N. Tella
74'
F
30
I. Maza
F
I. Maza
F
35
Christian Kofane
54'
F
Christian Kofane
54'
F
Bench
19
E. Poku
20'
F
E. Poku
20'
F
6
Ezequiel Fernández
M
Ezequiel Fernández
M
28
Janis Blaswich
G
Janis Blaswich
G
21
Lucas Vázquez
20'
D
Lucas Vázquez
20'
D
10
M. Tillman
2'
M
M. Tillman
2'
M
14
P. Schick
40'
F
P. Schick
40'
F
Best on the pitch
D · Bayer
8.30
· 54 pass
N. Schlotterbeck
D · Borussia
8.00
1 shots
· 88 pass
R. Andrich
D · Bayer
8.00
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 48 pass
Aleix García
M · Bayer
7.70
1 shots
· 92 pass
D · Borussia
7.50
· 87 pass
E. Palacios
M · Bayer
7.50
· 85 pass
Borussia Dortmund — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregor Kobel | G | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 30 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Ramy Bensebaini | D | 94 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 59% | 1 | 1 | — |
| N. Schlotterbeck | D | 94 | 8.00 | — | — | 1 | 88 | 84% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 94 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 87 | 80% | 4 | — | — | |
| D. Svensson | M | 59 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Julian Brandt | M | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | 4 | 44 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Bellingham | M | 76 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 53 | 46% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Sabitzer | M | 64 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 32% | — | — | — |
| J. Ryerson | M | 75 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 36% | — | — | — |
| Fábio Silva | F | 64 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| S. Guirassy | F | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 19 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
| Carney Chukwuemeka | M | 30 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Maximilian Beier | F | 35 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Samuele Inacio | F | 30 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
Bayer Leverkusen — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| E. Tapsoba | D | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 58 | 55% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 94 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 54 | 50% | 2 | — | — | |
| R. Andrich | D | 94 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 48 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| Álex Grimaldo | M | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 40% | 3 | — | — |
| Aleix García | M | 94 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 92 | 88% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Palacios | M | 94 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 85 | 80% | 2 | — | — |
| Montrell Culbreath | M | 74 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 17 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Tella | F | 74 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Maza | F | 92 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Christian Kofane | F | 54 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| E. Poku | F | 20 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Lucas Vázquez | D | 20 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| M. Tillman | M | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Schick | F | 40 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen?
The final score was Borussia Dortmund 0–1 Bayer Leverkusen.
What did the model predict before Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen?
The model assigned 54% probability to a Borussia Dortmund win, 18% to a draw, and 26% to an Bayer Leverkusen win.