42'
R. Andrich
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Borussia Dortmund a 54% win probability (draw 18%, Bayer Leverkusen 26%). The final result was Borussia Dortmund 0–1 Bayer Leverkusen. In 2 previous meetings, Borussia Dortmund have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Bayer Leverkusen.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
8
1
Shots on target
4
1.26
Actual xG
0.60
3
Saves
0
53%
Possession
47%
5
Corners
5
16
Tackles
17
3
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
Ramy Bensebaini
5'
42'
R. Andrich⚽
Serhou Guirassy
45'
54'
P. Schick
/
C. Kofane
D. Svensson
/ M. Beier
59'
Maximilian Beier
63'
F. Silva
/ S. Inacio
64'
M. Sabitzer
/ C. Chukwuemeka
64'
74'
Lucas
/
M. Culbreath
74'
E. Poku
/
N. Tella
J. Ryerson
/ A. Kabar
75'
J. Bellingham
/ S. Ozcan
76'
90'+2
M. Tillman
/
I. Maza
Pre-match prediction
54.5%
Borussia
18.51%
X
26.99%
Bayer ←
we assigned to the actual result (Bayer Leverkusen)
26.99%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.63
1.26
-1.37
1.79
0.60
-1.19
Borussia Dortmund dominated by xG (1.26 vs 0.60).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G. Kobel
G
G. Kobel
G
5
R. Bensebaïni
D
R. Bensebaïni
D
4
N. Schlotterbeck
D
N. Schlotterbeck
D
3
D
24
D. Svensson
59'
M
D. Svensson
59'
M
10
J. Brandt
M
J. Brandt
M
7
J. Bellingham
76'
M
J. Bellingham
76'
M
20
M. Sabitzer
64'
M
M. Sabitzer
64'
M
26
J. Ryerson
75'
M
J. Ryerson
75'
M
21
Fábio Silva
64'
F
Fábio Silva
64'
F
9
S. Guirassy
F
S. Guirassy
F
Bench
17
C. Chukwuemeka
30'
M
C. Chukwuemeka
30'
M
49
L. Reggiani
D
L. Reggiani
D
14
M. Beier
35'
F
M. Beier
35'
F
25
Niklas Süle
D
Niklas Süle
D
40
S. Inacio
30'
F
S. Inacio
30'
F
1
G
12
E. Tapsoba
D
E. Tapsoba
D
5
D
8
R. Andrich
1 ⚽
D
R. Andrich
1 ⚽
D
20
Álex Grimaldo
M
Álex Grimaldo
M
24
Aleix García
M
Aleix García
M
25
E. Palacios
M
E. Palacios
M
42
Montrell Culbreath
74'
M
Montrell Culbreath
74'
M
23
Nathan Tella
74'
F
Nathan Tella
74'
F
30
I. Maza
F
I. Maza
F
35
Christian Kofane
54'
F
Christian Kofane
54'
F
Bench
6
E. Fernández
M
E. Fernández
M
19
Ernest Poku
20'
F
Ernest Poku
20'
F
28
J. Blaswich
G
J. Blaswich
G
21
Lucas Vázquez
20'
D
Lucas Vázquez
20'
D
10
Malik Tillman
2'
M
Malik Tillman
2'
M
14
P. Schick
40'
F
P. Schick
40'
F
Best on the pitch
D · Bayer
8.30
· 54 pass
N. Schlotterbeck
D · Borussia
8.00
1 shots
· 88 pass
R. Andrich
D · Bayer
8.00
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 48 pass
Aleix García
M · Bayer
7.70
1 shots
· 92 pass
D · Borussia
7.50
· 87 pass
E. Palacios
M · Bayer
7.50
· 85 pass
Borussia Dortmund — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Kobel | G | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 30 | 25% | — | — | — |
| R. Bensebaïni | D | 94 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 59% | 1 | 1 | — |
| N. Schlotterbeck | D | 94 | 8.00 | — | — | 1 | 88 | 84% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 94 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 87 | 80% | 4 | — | — | |
| D. Svensson | M | 59 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Brandt | M | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | 4 | 44 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Bellingham | M | 76 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 53 | 46% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Sabitzer | M | 64 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 32% | — | — | — |
| J. Ryerson | M | 75 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 36% | — | — | — |
| Fábio Silva | F | 64 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| S. Guirassy | F | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 19 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
| C. Chukwuemeka | M | 30 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 22% | — | — | — |
| M. Beier | F | 35 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | 3 | 1 | — |
| S. Inacio | F | 30 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
Bayer Leverkusen — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| E. Tapsoba | D | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 58 | 55% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 94 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 54 | 50% | 2 | — | — | |
| R. Andrich | D | 94 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 48 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| Álex Grimaldo | M | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 40% | 3 | — | — |
| Aleix García | M | 94 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 92 | 88% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Palacios | M | 94 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 85 | 80% | 2 | — | — |
| Montrell Culbreath | M | 74 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 17 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Nathan Tella | F | 74 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Maza | F | 92 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Christian Kofane | F | 54 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Ernest Poku | F | 20 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Lucas Vázquez | D | 20 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Malik Tillman | M | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Schick | F | 40 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen?
The final score was Borussia Dortmund 0–1 Bayer Leverkusen.
What did the model predict before Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen?
The model assigned 54% probability to a Borussia Dortmund win, 18% to a draw, and 26% to an Bayer Leverkusen win.