← Bundesliga
1 – 1
Final score
#10 · 37 pts
J. Scally (ast. H. Bolin) 7'
(pen.) 90'+6 N. Amiri

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FSV Mainz 05 a 40% win probability (draw 25%, Borussia Mönchengladbach 34%). The final result was Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–1 FSV Mainz 05. In 1 previous meetings, Borussia Mönchengladbach have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for FSV Mainz 05.

Match statistics
6
Total shots
11
4
Shots on target
6
0.62
Actual xG
1.33
6
Saves
3
38%
Possession
62%
0
Corners
6
11
Tackles
12
4
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
J. Scally · ast. H. Bolin
7'
21'
D. Kohr
22'
A. Caci
66'
P. Mwene / N. Veratschnig
66'
A. Sieb / S. Becker
H. Bolin / F. Honorat
66'
K. Diks / F. C. Chiarodia
71'
J. Castrop / L. Ullrich
72'
K. Stoger / G. Reyna
72'
76'
W. Boving / P. Nebel
76'
S. Widmer / A. Caci
H. Tabakovic
82'
83'
N. Weiper / D. da Costa
H. Tabakovic / K. Takai
87'
88'
Y. Engelhardt
89'
P. Sander
90'+3
M. Nicolas
90'+6
90'+6
(pen.) N. Amiri
N. Elvedi
90'
Pre-match prediction
34.6%
Borussia
25.0%
X ←
40.4%
FSV
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 25.0% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Borussia
1.38
0.62
-0.76
FSV
1.56
1.33
-0.23
FSV Mainz 05 dominated by xG (1.33 vs 0.62). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Bayern München Bayern München 33 86
2 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 33 70
3 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 33 65
4 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 33 61
5 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 33 61
6 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 33 58
7 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 33 44
8 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 33 43
9 FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 33 43
10 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 33 37
11 Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 33 37
12 Union Berlin Union Berlin 33 36
13 Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 33 35
14 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 33 32
15 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 33 32
16 VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 33 26
17 1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 33 26
18 FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 33 26
Lineups
33
M. Nicolas G 9.00
4
K. Diks 71' D 7.00
30 N. Elvedi N. Elvedi D 7.30
16
P. Sander D 7.20
17
J. Castrop 72' M 7.00
7 K. Stöger K. Stöger 72' M 7.70
6
Yannik Engelhardt M 6.50
27
R. Reitz M 7.20
29
Joseph Scally 1 ⚽ M 7.50
38
H. Bolin 1 👟 66' F 6.90
15 H. Tabaković H. Tabaković 87' F 6.00
Bench
2
F. C. Chiarodia 24' D 6.60
9 F. Honorat F. Honorat 29' M 6.20
13
G. Reyna 23' M 6.90
26
L. Ullrich 23' D 6.30
25
R. Hack M
18
S. Machino F
36
W. Mohya M
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 3-1-4-2
33 Daniel Batz Daniel Batz G 7.00
31 D. Kohr D. Kohr D 7.30
4 Stefan Posch Stefan Posch D 7.90
21 Danny da Costa Danny da Costa 82' D 6.70
6 Kaishu Sano Kaishu Sano M 6.60
22 Nikolas Veratschnig Nikolas Veratschnig 66' M 6.50
10 Nadiem Amiri Nadiem Amiri 1 ⚽ M 7.30
8 Paul Nebel Paul Nebel 76' M 6.30
19 Anthony Caci Anthony Caci 76' M 7.90
20 Phillip Tietz Phillip Tietz F 6.30
23 S. Becker S. Becker 66' F 6.20
Bench
11 Armindo Sieb Armindo Sieb 29' F 6.20
48 Kacper Potulski Kacper Potulski D
44 Nelson Weiper Nelson Weiper 13' F 7.50
2 Phillipp Mwene Phillipp Mwene 29' D 6.70
24 Sota Kawasaki Sota Kawasaki M
30 S. Widmer S. Widmer 19' D 6.50
Best on the pitch
M. Nicolas
G · Borussia
9.00
· 27 pass
Anthony Caci
Anthony Caci
M · FSV
7.90
· 50 pass
Stefan Posch
Stefan Posch
D · FSV
7.90
· 73 pass
K. Stöger
K. Stöger
M · Borussia
7.70
· 41 pass
Joseph Scally
M · Borussia
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 17 pass
Nelson Weiper
Nelson Weiper
F · FSV
7.50
Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Nicolas G 95 9.00 27 15%
K. Diks D 71 7.00 1 42 35%
N. Elvedi D 95 7.30 46 42% 1
P. Sander D 95 7.20 47 38% 1 1
J. Castrop M 72 7.00 2 24 18% 1
K. Stöger M 72 7.70 41 36% 3
Yannik Engelhardt M 95 6.50 48 45% 1
R. Reitz M 95 7.20 1 31 22% 3
Joseph Scally M 95 7.50 1 1 17 12%
H. Bolin F 66 6.90 1 1 17 10% 1
H. Tabaković F 87 6.00 10 6% 1 1
F. C. Chiarodia D 24 6.60 3 2%
F. Honorat M 29 6.20 3 1%
G. Reyna M 23 6.90 6 3% 1
L. Ullrich D 23 6.30 4 3%
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Daniel Batz G 95 7.00 17 16%
D. Kohr D 95 7.30 2 86 77% 1 1
Stefan Posch D 95 7.90 73 62% 4
Danny da Costa D 82 6.70 70 61% 1
Kaishu Sano M 95 6.60 77 72%
Nikolas Veratschnig M 66 6.50 21 13% 2
Nadiem Amiri M 95 7.30 1 1 63 56%
Paul Nebel M 76 6.30 1 40 35%
Anthony Caci M 76 7.90 50 45% 4 1
Phillip Tietz F 95 6.30 4 26 21%
S. Becker F 66 6.20 3 17 10%
Armindo Sieb F 29 6.20 10 8%
Nelson Weiper F 13 7.50
Phillipp Mwene D 29 6.70 14 11%
S. Widmer D 19 6.50 15 15%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05?
The final score was Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–1 FSV Mainz 05.
What did the model predict before Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Borussia Mönchengladbach win, 25% to a draw, and 40% to an FSV Mainz 05 win.